Euro trims losses against the British Pound, supported by ECB tightening hopes

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP picks up to the 0.8500 area from 13-month lows at 0.8455.
  • Heightened hopes that the ECB might hike rates in September are buoying the Euro.
  • Investors' confidence in the next UK PM's fiscal responsibility has been boosting the Pound over the last few weeks.

The Euro (EUR) trades higher against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, returning to levels near 0.8500 from 13-month lows of 0.8455 amid speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will hike rates in the coming months. The EUR/GBP pair, however, remains on track for its fourth consecutive weekly decline, having depreciated about 2.20% since mid-June. 

The common currency is drawing some support from the alleviated risk aversion on Friday and heightened hopes that the European Central Bank (ECB) will hike rates in September. A Reuters poll released on Thursday revealed that 70% of the respondents anticipated a quarter-point rate hike in September, following a pause at July's meeting.

Comments from ECB speakers this week have supported this view, with most policymakers highlighting their concern about the high inflationary levels and showing ready to hike interest rates if necessary.

Later on Friday, June’s final Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is expected to confirm that price pressures eased to 2.8% from 3.2% in the previous month, although these figures pre-date the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the recent increase in Crude prices.

The Pound, on the other hand, has surged over the last few weeks, in the face of a political impasse in the UK. Investors’ confidence that the next cabinet will respect Chancellor Reeves’ fiscal rules has kept the Sterling supported, while speculation that the Bank of England might hike interest rates before year-end provided an additional boost to the Pound earlier in the week.

Economic Indicator

Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)

The Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The MoM figure compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the previous month. Core HICP excludes volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco. The Core HICP is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Jul 17, 2026 09:00

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: 0.2%

Source: Eurostat

Economic Indicator

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Jul 17, 2026 09:00

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 2.8%

Previous: 2.8%

Source: Eurostat

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Pinduoduo Earnings Incoming: Morgan Stanley Sees Long-Term Profit Potential​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 20, 2024
​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Gold Price Trend Forecast: June CPI Plus Fed Chair Congressional Testimony, Can Gold Price Hold Above $4,000?As of the Asian session on July 14, gold ( XAUUSD) prices consolidated around the $4,000 mark, briefly slipping below $4,000 intraday to hit a low of $3,983.23. Looking at the market acti
Author  TradingKey
Jul 14, Tue
As of the Asian session on July 14, gold ( XAUUSD) prices consolidated around the $4,000 mark, briefly slipping below $4,000 intraday to hit a low of $3,983.23. Looking at the market acti
placeholder
WTI rises as Trump's threats strikes on IranWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $79.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have climbed following threats from US President Donald Trump regarding additional military strikes on Iran.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 15, Wed
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $79.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have climbed following threats from US President Donald Trump regarding additional military strikes on Iran.
goTop
quote