Polymarket partners with Parcl to launch real-time housing prediction markets

Polymarket and housing data platform Parcl have formed a strategic alliance to introduce real-time housing and real estate prediction markets on Polymarket. Parcl will provide the daily housing indices that serve as settlement references, while Polymarket will list the markets for active real-time prediction.

Polymarket, a blockchain-based market prediction platform, has entered a strategic partnership with Parcl, a real-time housing data and onchain real estate platform. The partnership aims to introduce real estate prediction markets on Polymarket. The real estate prediction markets will track Parcl’s published price indices to provide traders with real-time, data-driven reference points for predicting future home prices. 

Polymarket partners with Parcl to launch real estate prediction markets

Real Estate Markets are officially live on @Polymarket 🏠

Predict home values, exclusively powered by Parcl data. pic.twitter.com/AGj1WKUGRC

— Parcl (@Parcl) January 5, 2026

The duo will list the markets on Polymarket while Parcl will provide independent index data and settlement reference values specifically oriented for transparent verification. The partnership aims to merge real estate, the largest asset class in the world, with blockchain-based prediction infrastructure. 

According to a press release issued on January 5, the real estate markets will offer a more streamlined way for analysts and traders to trade housing outcomes using distinct sentiment indicators and auditable public data.

Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl, stated that prediction markets have experienced substantial momentum, representing a transformative shift in how market participants express their views. The executive highlighted that real estate should be among the major categories in the prediction market infrastructure. 

On the other hand, Matthew Modabber, CMO of Polymarket, stated that the prediction market platform will utilize Parcl’s real-time housing indices to launch housing markets that settle consistently and transparently.

The press release highlighted that the partnership will focus on the U.S. housing market, utilizing templates that include questions related to index movements across defined periods. These prompts include “whether a city’s home price index finishes up or down over a year, quarter, or month.” The markets will track Parcl’s resolution page to determine the final settlement, a move aimed at ensuring transparency for participants. 

The two entities will launch the prediction markets in stages, with the first set of markets targeting highly liquid cities based on demand. Polymarket and Parcl will also collaborate to develop standardized market templates, streamlining the process of creating new markets with consistent terms, dates, and resolution references. The partnership shows prediction markets are evolving beyond politics, sports, pop culture, and macrobets to incorporate real estate markets.

Polymarket secures $2 billion at a $9 billion valuation

The news comes after Cryptopolitan reported that Polymarket secured $2 billion in new funding in October 2025 at a valuation of $9 billion. According to the report, Polymarket planned to raise funds again with a valuation between $12 billion and $15 billion.

A separate report, dated January 4, highlighted growing concerns over insider trading on the prediction market. One particular trader made $80,000 overnight after predicting a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. The trader stated that the U.S. had deployed its largest aircraft carrier, which led him to believe that a strike on Venezuela was imminent. 

The trader then used a bot to watch Domino’s pizza orders around the Pentagon at night, which usually indicated signs of late-night government operations. After getting the bot’s alerts, the trader placed a huge stake on ‘Will the U.S. strike Venezuela’ shares on the betting platform. In the morning, President Trump confirmed that the U.S. had struck Venezuela and captured President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. The attack was highly controversial, raising mixed reactions globally. 

Data from Polygonscan, Polygon’s blockchain explorer, shows that Polymarket has facilitated more than 20 million transactions since January 1. In mid-December, Cryptopolitan reported that Polygon increased its total transactions to levels not seen since 2021 due to a surge in Polymarket trading activities. The report highlighted that Polygon’s success reflected Polymarket’s performance in November.

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