Palantir's differentiated software has translated into impressive financial results, with revenue growth accelerating in 12 consecutive quarters.
CEO Alex Karp says Palantir can maintain its current margin profile and revenue growth trajectory for the next 18 months due to demand for sovereign AI.
Palantir trades at an expensive valuation of 144 times earnings, but most Wall Street analysts still expect the stock to climb higher in the next year.
Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) is one of the most popular artificial intelligence trades on the market, particularly among retail investors. The stock has essentially moved sideways this year despite a series of strong financial results, but investors have reason to think it could break higher in the coming months.
Recent commentary from CEO Alex Karp suggests the company can maintain its impressive revenue growth trajectory for the foreseeable future, and most Wall Street analysts believe the stock is undervalued. Here are the important details.
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Palantir develops data integration and analytics platforms for customers in the public and private sectors. The company also provides an adjunct artificial intelligence platform (AIP) that serves as an orchestration tool for large language models (LLMs).
Palantir has received praise from several independent research firms. Dresner Advisory Services has ranked the company as a leader in three market studies: AI, data science, and machine learning; model operations; and agentic AI. And Forrester Research has recognized Palantir as a leader in AI decisioning platforms.
Palantir reported tremendous financial results in the second quarter, beating consensus estimates on both the top and bottom lines. Revenue rose 93% to $1.9 billion, marking the 12th consecutive acceleration, and non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) net income increased 215% to $0.41 per diluted share. Palantir also achieved a phenomenal Rule of 40 score of 155%.
Here's the good news: During a recent CNBC interview, CEO Alex Karp said Palantir was a "business unlike any other." He also said the company was "poised to grow with these margins and this revenue growth for another 18 months."
Karp pins his confidence on the strong demand for sovereign AI, meaning systems that ensure a company has absolute control over its proprietary data and model weights. "Demand for AI sovereignty has now been unleashed," said Karp. "Palantir is the only company that has demonstrated it can transform tokens into actual economic value."
Palantir plays a critical role in the AI value chain. Companies like Anthropic and OpenAI have built incredible models, but businesses need an application layer not only to unlock operational value with those models but also to safeguard proprietary data. Palantir is that application layer.
One way Palantir has differentiated itself is through its unique software architecture. Whereas most analytics products focus on reporting through spreadsheets and charts, Palantir built its platforms around a decision-making framework called an ontology. Think of an ontology as a real-time digital twin for an organization. It connects abstract data to physical assets, creating an intuitive interface that lets users surface insights and take action.
Here's the bottom line: Most analytics products are simply visualization dashboards, but Palantir actually bridges the gap between data and decision-making, allowing its software to create real operational value. And ontology-based software is the secret to its success. CEO Alex Karp says the company's ontology makes large language models "safe, useful, and precise."
Wall Street expects Palantir's adjusted earnings to increase at 56% annually through 2027. That is impressive, but the current price-to-earnings ratio of 144 still looks very expensive by comparison. Those figures give a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5, and values above 2 are generally considered rich.
Nevertheless, Palantir has such a long runway for growth that most Wall Street analysts anticipate upside in the stock. Palantir has a median 12-month target price of $205 per share among 35 analysts. That implies 18% upside from its current share price of $173.
Personally, I think investors should be cautious with Palantir. While the stock has traded sideways this year, it has also climbed more than 60% since late June, and the valuation is not cheap. I think it's OK to purchase a few shares today, but I would limit the position to no more than 1% of my portfolio.
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Trevor Jennewine has positions in Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.