Why Figs Stock Keeps Going Up

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Figs crushed earnings last week -- and the stock was already rising before earnings came out.

  • Two analysts chimed in Friday to declare Figs stock a buy.

  • With the stock trading for 22x FCF, they are right.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Figs ›

For the fourth day in a row, Figs (NYSE: FIGS) stock is growing -- up 3.5% through 9:45 a.m. ET -- and some analysts think it's ripe for more.

Shares of the supplier of scrubs to medical industry workers gained for two days ahead of earnings last week -- then surged nearly 27% on earnings day after reporting twice as much profit as Wall Street had forecast. Not everyone was impressed; Telsey Advisory lowered its price target on Figs stock to $16 after the report. But two other analysts, Adrienne Yih at Barclays and Ashley Owens at KeyBanc, begged to differ -- both raising their price targets to $20 per share.

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And predicting Figs stock could rise another 36% in the next 12 months.

1 glowing green stock arrow climbs on a stock screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

Figs' Q2 earnings report

Figs grew its sales 29% year over year last quarter, to $196.6 million, booking both more orders and bigger orders from its customers. Scrubs sales grew 26%, non-scrubs sales grew 40%, and international sales of both grew 67%.

With numbers like these, though, why did even one out of three (stock) doctors surveyed say that Figs stock might not go up much more?

How to value Figs stock

A seemingly high P/E ratio could be one reason. Figs' price-to-earnings ratio is a lofty 38x, which may seem expensive relative to even 29% sales growth. But here's the thing:

Figs grew its earnings much faster than its sales, with GAAP net profit up 300% year over year. Free cash flow flipped from negative to positive, and over the past 12 months, Fig has generated $97 million in positive FCF -- about 60% more than its reported profit.

Valued on FCF and adjusted for net cash, I get a 22x enterprise value-to-FCF ratio for Figs stock. At its current growth rate, that makes Figs stock dirt cheap.

Should you buy stock in Figs right now?

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Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Figs. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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