AST SpaceMobile trades at a steep 382x price-to-sales ratio, betting heavily on a future that hasn't yet materialized.
Major carrier partnerships give AST SpaceMobile a path to potentially massive recurring revenue, but it's far from guaranteed.
With only a handful of satellites currently in orbit, significant execution risk remains before the company can deliver on its ambitious promise.
AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS) is one of the most aggressively valued stocks on the market. The company trades at a $39 billion market cap on just $54.3 million in trailing-12-month (TTM) revenue, a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of over 382.
If the company can deliver on its promise, the payoff could be enormous. AST is building a satellite constellation designed to deliver cellular broadband directly to standard smartphones. Its partners include AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, and now TELUS -- carriers collectively serving billions of subscribers. If commercial service activates at scale, recurring revenue could reach tens of billions annually. It's also recently landed a defense contract, adding another potential revenue stream.
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But that's a lot of "ifs." AST has a handful of satellites in orbit and plans to launch dozens more by year end, but it still has a long way to go, and there is significant execution risk.
At this valuation, you're paying a premium for a future that's far from guaranteed. Still, there's enough of an opportunity here for investors with a very high risk tolerance.
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Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends AST SpaceMobile. The Motley Fool recommends TELUS, Verizon Communications, and Vodafone Group Public. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.