Asia FX: Tech-driven risk-off weighs before NFP – MUFG

Source Fxstreet

MUFG analysts Khang Sek Lee and Lin Li note that the recent tech-led equity selloff has undermined Asia FX, offsetting support from lower Oil prices and US yields. Safe-haven demand has lifted the Dollar and Japanese Yen, while upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls data could reinforce expectations of further Fed tightening, adding pressure on Asia FX, particularly tech-sensitive currencies like TWD and KRW.

Risk sentiment pressures regional currencies

"For Asia FX, the sharp deterioration in risk sentiment threatens to outweigh the relief from lower oil prices and US yields in Asia’s trading session today, especially for tech-sensitive currencies such as TWD and KRW."

"Amidst the risk-off episode, the dollar has regained some ground with the DXY rising towards 101.6 as investors sought safe-haven assets."

"Attention turns to today’s US nonfarm payrolls report, with markets expecting 70k jobs added in October, up from 29k in September."

"Stronger-than-expected JOLTS and ADP data suggest a better-than-expected US labour demand, raising the risk of further Fed tightening, adding another source of pressure for Asia FX."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Brief: Nasdaq Falls Over 5%, AI Stocks Plunge as Nvidia Drops Over 9%, Micron Falls Over 17%, SanDisk Drops Over 22% During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
Author  TradingKey
Nov 06, Fri
During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 6, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 06, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold's $250 week runs into the last payrolls before DecemberSpot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 06, Fri
Spot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
placeholder
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 06, Fri
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
goTop
quote