CFTC: GBP is breaking records – Rabobank

Source Fxstreet

The US Dollar (USD) net long positions have increased. The Euro (EUR) net long positions surged, driven by an increase in long positions, and the Pound Sterling (GBP) net long positions increased for the third consecutive week, in dramatic fashion, driven by an increase in long positions. Rabobank’s senior FX strategist Jane Foley notes.

GBP outperforms everyone

“USD net long positions have increased, driven by a decrease in short positions. Joe Biden announced his decision to drop out of the US presidential race over the weekend. We expect the “Trump trade” to unwind, at least partially, and the implications of this decision to be reflected in next week’s COT positioning.”

“EUR net long positions surged, driven by an increase in long positions, ahead of last week’s ECB policy meeting. The ECB released its decision to maintain the 4.25% refinancing rate, as anticipated by Bloomberg surveyed analysts and traders alike. It left the door wide open for a move in September.”

“GBP net long positions increased for the third consecutive week, in dramatic fashion, driven by an increase in long positions. GBP longs are at record levels at 0.183M contracts. GBP has retained its position as the best performing G10 currency year-to-date following the UK July 4 election.”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Brent Nears $110 Amid Saudi Pipeline Outage, How Much Further Can Oil Rise?Supply risks in the Middle East continue to heat up, with international oil prices fluctuating at high levels.During Tuesday's Asian trading session, Brent crude futures (UKOIL-F) rose to
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
Supply risks in the Middle East continue to heat up, with international oil prices fluctuating at high levels.During Tuesday's Asian trading session, Brent crude futures (UKOIL-F) rose to
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
8 hours ago
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 37
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 07: 49
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
goTop
quote