USD Index: Weekly close below 104.00 should add to negative technical pressure – Scotiabank

Source Fxstreet

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is mild lift on the day. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the index outlook.

Upside potential remains limited

The USD seems to be stretching its yield-based valuation somewhat and upside potential remains limited without new motivation for markets. 

There is a hint of USD vulnerability on the weekly DXY chart. The Index closed well off last week’s high, suggesting a rejection of the 61.8% retracement of the DXY’s Q4 decline (104.77). A lower close this week (below 104.00) should add to negative technical pressure on the USD generally.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 19, 2025
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Gold rallies to over two-week high, eyes $4,150 as traders track US-Iran diplomacy effortsGold (XAU/USD) rallies to an over two-week high, around the $4,140-$4,141 area, during the Asian session on Wednesday amid hopes that US-Iran diplomacy could ease energy prices and temper hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 22, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies to an over two-week high, around the $4,140-$4,141 area, during the Asian session on Wednesday amid hopes that US-Iran diplomacy could ease energy prices and temper hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote