Gold: Prices continue to hold north of $3000 – TDS
Source Fxstreet
Macro funds played a role in last week's melt-up in Gold prices, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Recent liquidations are likely related to constrained risk-budgets
"Our advanced positioning analytics corroborates our view that macro funds played a role in last week's melt-up in Gold prices, suggesting that recent liquidations likely related to constrained risk-budgets, as opposed to a directional view on Gold."
"Considering this cohort's net position still remains at levels broadly consistent with early-2024, and that prices continue to hold north of $3000/oz, we think their repleted warchest will chase the run higher in prices, fueling more FOMO into the yellow metal. It's still 'heads I win, tails you lose', but it's the other side of the coin that is now screaming FOMO."
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The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
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