Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD unlikely to make any major leaps in the short term – Commerzbank
Source Fxstreet
Gold has been under pressure as the market mulled the Fed’s interest rate path. Strategists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.
Weak demand from automotive industry and downturn in Gold are weighing on Palladium
Prices on the precious metal exchanges are under pressure: Palladium is the biggest loser, dropping around 15% since the beginning of the year. Weak demand from the automotive industry and the recent downturn in the Gold market are weighing on the price. The latter is mainly due to disappointed hopes of quick interest rate cuts.
We believe that the first interest rate cut in the US is not expected until May, so the Gold price is unlikely to make any major leaps in the short term.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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TradingKey Daily Market Brief: Nasdaq Falls Over 5%, AI Stocks Plunge as Nvidia Drops Over 9%, Micron Falls Over 17%, SanDisk Drops Over 22% During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
Gold's $250 week runs into the last payrolls before DecemberSpot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Spot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
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