USD/CAD: Losses need to extend below 1.3540 to put any sort of technical pressure – Scotiabank
Source Fxstreet
USD/CAD trades little changed on the session. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the pair’s outlook.
Further strength in commodity prices may give the CAD reason to improve
Further strength in commodity prices may give the CAD reason to improve but, for now, negative spreads and changeable risk appetite seem likely to keep it subdued.
The USD’s early 2024 uptrend remains intact on the chart short-term price action does suggest some resistance developing around the 1.3600 point. High upper shadows on the daily candle chart imply firm selling pressure on USD gains above the figure.
The intraday chart actually shows a clear, bearish rejection of Thursday’s push to the figure zone. Trend momentum remains USD-bullish, however, and spot losses need to extend below 1.3540 to put any sort of technical pressure on the USD from here.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Dollar presses 102 as the 10-year yield sits at 5.14% — and October hike odds are only 17%The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
Tesla (TSLA) will report its third-quarter 2026 financial results after the U.S. stock market close on October 21, Eastern Time, and host an earnings conference call at 17:30 that day. Th
The Dow gained 500 points and the two AI names that matter fell after hours — Netflix's guide is the tellThe Dow closed 529.85 points higher at 52,495.88 (+1.02%) and the VIX fell 6.13% to 17.31, but the two stocks that carry the AI trade moved the other way after Tuesday's close: Netflix slipped to $64.74 (-5.8%) after guiding Q4 EPS of $0.67, below the street, while SpaceX jumped about 8% to near $160 on its first profit as a public company and revenue up 161%. Netflix is now below its 52-week low of $65.08. Here are the numbers, the $65 / $70 levels and the two catalysts that matter this week.
The Dow closed 529.85 points higher at 52,495.88 (+1.02%) and the VIX fell 6.13% to 17.31, but the two stocks that carry the AI trade moved the other way after Tuesday's close: Netflix slipped to $64.74 (-5.8%) after guiding Q4 EPS of $0.67, below the street, while SpaceX jumped about 8% to near $160 on its first profit as a public company and revenue up 161%. Netflix is now below its 52-week low of $65.08. Here are the numbers, the $65 / $70 levels and the two catalysts that matter this week.
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 22, 2026. Read on for the details.
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Related Instrument
