USD/CAD climbs above 1.3900 as US Dollar bounces back, Canadian job data falters

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD rises sharply above 1.3900 on multiple tailwinds.
  • The Canadian Dollar weakens as job demand remained slow in October.
  • The US Dollar rebounds strongly on Trump’s policy outlook.

The USD/CAD pair jumps above the key resistance of 1.3900 in Friday’s North American session. The Loonie asset strengthens as the Canadian labor addition data for October came in weaker than expected and the US Dollar (USD) bounces back strongly.

The Canadian employment report showed that the economy added 14.5K workers, lower than estimates of 25K and from 46.7K in September. The Unemployment Rate remained steady at 6.5%, which was expected to accelerate to 6.6%.

Slower job demand solidifies expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could deliver another large interest rate cut in its last monetary policy meeting of this year in December. In the October meeting, the BoC reduced its key borrowing rates by 50 basis points (bps) to 3.75%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Wages accelerated to 4.9% compared to the similar month of the preceding year against 4.5% in September. Higher wage growth is less-likely to impact the BoC’s policy guidance with policymakers remaining confident about inflation staying within the tolerance.

The US Dollar Inde (DXY), which gauges Greenback’s value against six major currencies, extends its recovery to near 104.80. The outlook of the US Dollar remains firm as investors expect that Donald’ Trump’s protectionist policies would keep it competitive against other currencies. Trump vowed to hike import tariffs by 10% and lower corporate taxes in election campaigns.

Economic Indicator

Net Change in Employment

The Net Change in Employment released by Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of people in employment in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and indicates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Nov 08, 2024 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 14.5K

Consensus: 25K

Previous: 46.7K

Source: Statistics Canada

Canada’s labor market statistics tend to have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar, with the Employment Change figure carrying most of the weight. There is a significant correlation between the amount of people working and consumption, which impacts inflation and the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions, in turn moving the C$. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be CAD bullish, with currency markets usually reacting steadily and consistently in response to the publication.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Who Can Challenge TSMC? Q1 Net Profit Jumps 58% Year-on-Year, AI Demand Becomes Biggest Driver On April 16, TSMC ( TSM) reported its first-quarter 2026 financial results, with core financial metrics exceeding market expectations across the board and profitability achieving a breakt
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
On April 16, TSMC ( TSM) reported its first-quarter 2026 financial results, with core financial metrics exceeding market expectations across the board and profitability achieving a breakt
placeholder
AUD/USD climbs above 0.7170 as truce hopes lift risk appetiteThe Australian Dollar extended its gains on Wednesday, up by 0.72% as risk appetite improved amid speculation of a de-escalation of the conflict, keeping oil prices in check as WTI held above $91, despite posting losses of nearly 0.80%. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.7173.
Author  TradingKey
20 hours ago
The Australian Dollar extended its gains on Wednesday, up by 0.72% as risk appetite improved amid speculation of a de-escalation of the conflict, keeping oil prices in check as WTI held above $91, despite posting losses of nearly 0.80%. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.7173.
placeholder
Nasdaq Index Rises for 10 Straight Days, Why Has Tesla Barely Risen?On April 14, the Nasdaq notched its tenth consecutive session of gains, marking its longest winning streak since 2023. It has risen nearly 14% from its recent lows, as the 'Magnificent Se
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 25
On April 14, the Nasdaq notched its tenth consecutive session of gains, marking its longest winning streak since 2023. It has risen nearly 14% from its recent lows, as the 'Magnificent Se
placeholder
Gold eases from four-week top as Hormuz risks temper USD weaknessGold (XAU/USD) hits a nearly four-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through buying and currently trades just below the $4,850 level, nearly unchanged for the day.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 33
Gold (XAU/USD) hits a nearly four-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through buying and currently trades just below the $4,850 level, nearly unchanged for the day.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD approaches $78.00 boosted by Iran peace hopesSilver (XAG/USD) is rushing higher on Tuesday, reaching fresh two-week highs right below $78.00 at the time of writing, after bouncing from lows around $72.60 on Monday.
Author  TradingKey
Apr 14, Tue
Silver (XAG/USD) is rushing higher on Tuesday, reaching fresh two-week highs right below $78.00 at the time of writing, after bouncing from lows around $72.60 on Monday.
goTop
quote