USD/CAD climbs above 1.3900 as US Dollar bounces back, Canadian job data falters

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD rises sharply above 1.3900 on multiple tailwinds.
  • The Canadian Dollar weakens as job demand remained slow in October.
  • The US Dollar rebounds strongly on Trump’s policy outlook.

The USD/CAD pair jumps above the key resistance of 1.3900 in Friday’s North American session. The Loonie asset strengthens as the Canadian labor addition data for October came in weaker than expected and the US Dollar (USD) bounces back strongly.

The Canadian employment report showed that the economy added 14.5K workers, lower than estimates of 25K and from 46.7K in September. The Unemployment Rate remained steady at 6.5%, which was expected to accelerate to 6.6%.

Slower job demand solidifies expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could deliver another large interest rate cut in its last monetary policy meeting of this year in December. In the October meeting, the BoC reduced its key borrowing rates by 50 basis points (bps) to 3.75%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Wages accelerated to 4.9% compared to the similar month of the preceding year against 4.5% in September. Higher wage growth is less-likely to impact the BoC’s policy guidance with policymakers remaining confident about inflation staying within the tolerance.

The US Dollar Inde (DXY), which gauges Greenback’s value against six major currencies, extends its recovery to near 104.80. The outlook of the US Dollar remains firm as investors expect that Donald’ Trump’s protectionist policies would keep it competitive against other currencies. Trump vowed to hike import tariffs by 10% and lower corporate taxes in election campaigns.

Economic Indicator

Net Change in Employment

The Net Change in Employment released by Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of people in employment in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and indicates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Nov 08, 2024 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 14.5K

Consensus: 25K

Previous: 46.7K

Source: Statistics Canada

Canada’s labor market statistics tend to have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar, with the Employment Change figure carrying most of the weight. There is a significant correlation between the amount of people working and consumption, which impacts inflation and the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions, in turn moving the C$. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be CAD bullish, with currency markets usually reacting steadily and consistently in response to the publication.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC extends recovery as ETF records positive flows Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade in green above $91,500 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding from the key support level.
Author  FXStreet
Nov 27, Thu
Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade in green above $91,500 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding from the key support level.
placeholder
Bitcoin Takes a 'Major Leap Forward' with $97K Price Targets in SightBitcoin holds steady above $90,000 as traders eye $100,000, buoyed by Thanksgiving market lull.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 03: 47
Bitcoin holds steady above $90,000 as traders eye $100,000, buoyed by Thanksgiving market lull.
placeholder
S&P Slashes Vanke to Deep Junk, Warning of 'Unsustainable' Debt WallS&P has cut China Vanke’s rating to CCC- and warned its debt is “unsustainable” as the developer faces an 11.4 billion yuan maturity wall, seeks to delay a 2 billion yuan bond repayment and sees its securities plunge, stoking fresh worries that China’s property sector could slide back into crisis despite state ties.
Author  Mitrade
23 hours ago
S&P has cut China Vanke’s rating to CCC- and warned its debt is “unsustainable” as the developer faces an 11.4 billion yuan maturity wall, seeks to delay a 2 billion yuan bond repayment and sees its securities plunge, stoking fresh worries that China’s property sector could slide back into crisis despite state ties.
placeholder
Gold hits two-week top; eyes $4,200 as dovish Fed offsets USD uptick and risk-on moodGold (XAU/USD) attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Friday and climbs to a two-week high, with bulls now eyeing to reclaim the $4,200 mark amid dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
Author  FXStreet
22 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Friday and climbs to a two-week high, with bulls now eyeing to reclaim the $4,200 mark amid dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bulls remain focused on the $54.40 levelSilver remains steady near $54.00 after rejection at $54.40 area.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
Silver remains steady near $54.00 after rejection at $54.40 area.
goTop
quote