USD/CAD climbs above 1.3900 as US Dollar bounces back, Canadian job data falters

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD rises sharply above 1.3900 on multiple tailwinds.
  • The Canadian Dollar weakens as job demand remained slow in October.
  • The US Dollar rebounds strongly on Trump’s policy outlook.

The USD/CAD pair jumps above the key resistance of 1.3900 in Friday’s North American session. The Loonie asset strengthens as the Canadian labor addition data for October came in weaker than expected and the US Dollar (USD) bounces back strongly.

The Canadian employment report showed that the economy added 14.5K workers, lower than estimates of 25K and from 46.7K in September. The Unemployment Rate remained steady at 6.5%, which was expected to accelerate to 6.6%.

Slower job demand solidifies expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could deliver another large interest rate cut in its last monetary policy meeting of this year in December. In the October meeting, the BoC reduced its key borrowing rates by 50 basis points (bps) to 3.75%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Wages accelerated to 4.9% compared to the similar month of the preceding year against 4.5% in September. Higher wage growth is less-likely to impact the BoC’s policy guidance with policymakers remaining confident about inflation staying within the tolerance.

The US Dollar Inde (DXY), which gauges Greenback’s value against six major currencies, extends its recovery to near 104.80. The outlook of the US Dollar remains firm as investors expect that Donald’ Trump’s protectionist policies would keep it competitive against other currencies. Trump vowed to hike import tariffs by 10% and lower corporate taxes in election campaigns.

Economic Indicator

Net Change in Employment

The Net Change in Employment released by Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of people in employment in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending and indicates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Nov 08, 2024 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 14.5K

Consensus: 25K

Previous: 46.7K

Source: Statistics Canada

Canada’s labor market statistics tend to have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar, with the Employment Change figure carrying most of the weight. There is a significant correlation between the amount of people working and consumption, which impacts inflation and the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions, in turn moving the C$. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be CAD bullish, with currency markets usually reacting steadily and consistently in response to the publication.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Steady Climb and the Sudden Surge of Silver and Copper: Will Their Bull Run Extend Into 2026?TradingKey - In 2025, gold prices steadily climbed, posting a stunning 56% gain; silver's rally was even more potent, surging over 100% year-to-date and breaching the $61 mark. Since November, copper
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
TradingKey - In 2025, gold prices steadily climbed, posting a stunning 56% gain; silver's rally was even more potent, surging over 100% year-to-date and breaching the $61 mark. Since November, copper
placeholder
Solana Bulls Eye $145 Breakout as Institutional Flows and Derivatives AlignSolana (SOL) targets a breakout above $145 as four days of ETF inflows, rising futures open interest, and growing on-chain liquidity signal a return of bullish momentum.
Author  Mitrade
10 hours ago
Solana (SOL) targets a breakout above $145 as four days of ETF inflows, rising futures open interest, and growing on-chain liquidity signal a return of bullish momentum.
placeholder
Bitcoin Breaks Above $94K Again: Is the Bull Market Back?​Bitcoin has reclaimed the $94,000 mark, suggesting a possible short-term bullish uptrend, despite concerns over liquidity.
Author  Mitrade
10 hours ago
​Bitcoin has reclaimed the $94,000 mark, suggesting a possible short-term bullish uptrend, despite concerns over liquidity.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD refreshes record high, looks to build on move beyond $61.00Silver (XAG/USD) enters a bullish consolidation phase during the Asian session and oscillates in a narrow range near the all-time peak, around the $61.00 neighborhood, touched this Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
Silver (XAG/USD) enters a bullish consolidation phase during the Asian session and oscillates in a narrow range near the all-time peak, around the $61.00 neighborhood, touched this Wednesday.
placeholder
Oversupply is crushing oil prices, Can Even Fed Rate Cuts Save Prices?TradingKey - Global oil prices extended declines Tuesday, erasing last week's gains. WTI and Brent crude futures fell further, pressured by renewed Iraqi supply and Saudi price cuts, despite looming F
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 43
TradingKey - Global oil prices extended declines Tuesday, erasing last week's gains. WTI and Brent crude futures fell further, pressured by renewed Iraqi supply and Saudi price cuts, despite looming F
goTop
quote