GBP/JPY hits session lows near 202.30 after weak UK employment data

Source Fxstreet
  • The Pound retreated from highs near 203.20 to session lows right above 202.30 on Tuesday.
  • UK employment data disappoints and paves the path for further BoE monetary easing.
  • Risk appetite and pressures on the BoJ to keep an easy monetary policy are weighing on the Yen.

The Pound has come under pressure on Tuesday, following disappointing UK labour market data. The GBP/JPY extended its reversal from Monday’s highs near 203.20 to session lows right above 202.30, before picking up to the 202.60 area at the time of writing.

Data released by National Statistics earlier on the day showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate rose to a four-year high of  5% in the three months to September, against expectations of a steady 4.9% reading.

The higher jobless rate comes on the back of a 29,000 increase in jobless claimants in October, which surpasses the market consensus of a 20,300 increase following a 400 increase in the previous month. These figures have taken the claimant count rate to 4.4% in October,, up from 4.3% in September.

Beyond that, wage growth has eased to a 4.8% year-on-year pace in the three months ending in September, from 5% in the previous month, disappointing markets, which were expecting a 4.9% reading. These figures, coupled with the steady consumer inflation numbers released in October, pave the path for further BoE monetary easing in December.

From a broader perspective, the pair remains steady near recent highs with Yen weakness keeping the Sterling from falling further. A higher appetite for risk on hopes of a US government reopening and Japanese PM Takaichi’s comments pressuring the  Bank of Japan (BOJ) against hiking rates in December, are keeping the JPY on the back foot on Tuesday.

Economic Indicator

ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by the UK Office for National Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the UK Economy. If the rate goes up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the UK labor market. As a result, a rise leads to a weakening of the UK economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while an increase is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Nov 11, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 5%

Consensus: 4.9%

Previous: 4.8%

Source: Office for National Statistics

The Unemployment Rate is the broadest indicator of Britain’s labor market. The figure is highlighted by the broad media, beyond the financial sector, giving the publication a more significant impact despite its late publication. It is released around six weeks after the month ends. While the Bank of England is tasked with maintaining price stability, there is a substantial inverse correlation between unemployment and inflation. A higher than expected figure tends to be GBP-bearish.

Economic Indicator

Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

The Average Earnings Including Bonus, released by the UK Office of National Statistics, is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. Generally, an increase in earnings is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Nov 11, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 4.8%

Consensus: 4.9%

Previous: 5%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC readies for home run in 2024 with two bullish fundamentals on tapBitcoin prices could return to 2021 highs around $69,000 in 2024 on expectations of the next bull cycle.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 22, 2023
Bitcoin prices could return to 2021 highs around $69,000 in 2024 on expectations of the next bull cycle.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
The dollar weakened, equities dipped, and gold hit record highsThe dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
Author  Cryptopolitan
Sep 17, 2025
The dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD opens lower around $4,450 on fears of widening Iran conflictsGold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 30, Mon
Gold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote