Gold price extends its upside as investors bet on rate cuts

■Gold price trades on a stronger note on Tuesday amid the softer USD. 

■The hope for Fed rate cuts, rising geopolitical risks, and strong gold demand support the yellow metal. 

■Investors await the Fed’s Waller, Williams, Barr, Bostic, Collins, and Mester later on Tuesday. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally on Tuesday after retracing from a record high earlier. The renewed gold demand is bolstered by higher bets on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed), ongoing geopolitical tensions, along with the strong demand stemming from central banks and Asian buyers. 

Nonetheless, the lack of fresh catalysts in a quiet session in terms of top-tier economic data might limit the precious metal’s upside. Gold traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak, with the Fed’s Waller, Williams, Barr, Bostic, Collins, and Mester scheduled to speak later on Tuesday. The FOMC Minutes will be the highlight on Wednesday. Furthermore, the hawkish stance from Fed officials is likely to lift the Greenback and drag the USD-denominated Gold lower. 

Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price holds gains amid the rate cut expectation

Gold reached a record high on Monday at $2,450, and silver prices moved toward 12-year highs. Gold has risen 18% this year, while silver has gained 35%. 

Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr said that the central bank “will need to allow our restrictive policy some further time to continue to do its work.” 

Fed policymaker Philip Jefferson, another permanent voting member of the Fed's rate-setting committee, said inflation was still easing, although nowhere near as quickly as he expected. 

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said that policy is restrictive and that it would take a while before the central bank gains confidence that inflation is headed to 2%.  

Investors see a 76% odd of rate cut from the Fed by 25 basis points (bps) in September and two cuts by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.   

Technical Analysis: Gold price’s constructive stance remains intact

Gold price posts modest gains on the day. According to the four-hour timeframe, the yellow metal keeps the positive stance unchanged as it holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with an upward slope. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands in the bullish zone around 69.00, suggesting the support level to likely to hold rather than break. 

Any follow-through buying could make another attempt at breaking above an all-time high of $2,450. Further north, the next hurdle is seen at the $2,500 psychological mark. 

On the other hand, the resistance-turned support level of $2,420 acts as an initial support level for XAU/USD. The additional downside filter to watch is the $2,400 round number. The key contention level will emerge at the 100-period EMA at $2,355.