Why Nutanix Stock Ascended in August

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Its fourth-quarter results crushed analyst estimates.

  • Analysts were quick to raise their price targets on the stock in the wake of that earnigs report.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Nutanix ›

Cloud and enterprise software company Nutanix (NASDAQ: NTNX) probably doesn't want the summer to end, given how well its stock did in August. Boosted by the estimates-trouncing fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year report it posted toward the end of the month and a subsequent wave of analyst price targets, its shares exited August with a more than 16% gain.

A fabulous final frame

The month didn't exactly start on a high note for Nutanix. Four days into it, the company divulged in a regulatory filing that it aimed to reduce its workforce by roughly 5%. Stating that this decision was reached after a review of its business structure, Nutanix said the move will cost it roughly $33 million to $43 million. The reductions should be complete by the end of October.

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Image source: Getty Images.

The company had better news to impart with that earnings report. The final frame of its 2026 fiscal year saw it book just over $757 million in revenue, up 16% year over year. Annual recurring revenue at the end of the quarter and year was also 16% higher, at $2.55 billion.

Net income not under generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP, or adjusted) was more than $175 million, or $0.60 per diluted share. That was a robust 61% higher than the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 result.

It was also far above the consensus analyst estimate of $0.49. The same could be said for the company's revenue that quarter, which well exceeded the average pundit expectation of slightly more than $738 million.

In its earnings release, Nutanix quoted CEO Rajiv Ramaswami as saying the quarter "was a strong finish to fiscal 2026, a year in which we delivered solid top and bottom line performance and added over 3,000 new customers."

Management clearly doesn't believe that will be the last time the company will outperform.

It proffered strong guidance for both revenue and free cash flow (FCF) for the entirety of fiscal 2027. The top-line is forecast at $3.18 billion to $3.23 billion, while the outlook for FCF is $850 million to $950 million.

A bunch of bulls

For obvious reasons, investors liked what they heard about the quarter and reacted by driving Nutanix's stock higher in the days that followed. Some were probably influenced by the series of analyst price target raises immediately following earnings. The raisers included pundits from top financial companies Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo.

I'd be inclined to agree with those prognosticators and the bullish investors buying in at the end of the month. Nutanix continues to have a compelling business proposition with its "hyperconverged infrastructure," which bundles advanced compute, networking, and storage on a single platform. I think this stock has quite a high ceiling these days.

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Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Nutanix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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