Why Intel Stock Just Popped

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers raised his price target on AMD stock to $615 per share today.

  • Many of his feelings about AMD's prospects translate directly to Intel stock.

  • In particular: a shift from GPUs to CPUs in the AI market.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Intel ›

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) stock jumped 4.2% through 11 a.m. ET on Tuesday after Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers raised his price target on rival Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) stock to $615 per share this morning.

Rakers didn't specifically mention Intel in the note, but what he did say seems to be getting investors more excited about the stock he didn't mention than the one he did. (AMD shares are up only 3.6%.)

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Intel cube statue with lit up logo on a plaza.

Image source: Intel.

Why Wells Fargo likes chip stocks

Once archrivals in semiconductors, both AMD and Intel have been relegated to the role of also-rans in the race for artificial intelligence dominance -- second-stringers just trying to catch up to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which is way out ahead. But Rakers sees potential in AMD as the AI market switches from a preference for GPUs to train large-language models to CPUs that may be more useful for answering AI questions (i.e., "inference").

Most of the AI money remains in GPUs, with Rakers forecasting revenue of $15.6 billion this year, $40.6 billion in 2027, and $63 billion in 2028 for AMD's GPU business, for example. But CPUs are growing fast as well, and Rakers sees CPU revenue growing 68% in 2026, followed by 28% growth in 2027, and 22% more in 2028.

And if he's right about this about AMD, it could mean good things for Intel as well.

What's next for Intel stock

Even if he is right about the big picture, there's still valuation to consider -- and the risk that Intel's success in CPUs is already baked into the stock price.

Consider that at 30 times earnings, Nvidia's not being priced very highly for its dominance, while AMD costs 180 times earnings, and Intel shares fetch more than 900x! At these prices, Nvidia seems the safer bet.

Should you buy stock in Intel right now?

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Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Intel, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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