Japan’s Akazawa: We won’t fixate on July 9 in US trade talks

Source Fxstreet

Japan's top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa said on Friday that Japan will not fixate on the looming date for so-called reciprocal tariffs to go back to higher levels, per Bloomberg. Akazawa added that trade negotiations with the US "remained in a fog" despite efforts by both sides to seek the deal. 

Key quotes

To avoid any misunderstanding, I would like to confirm that I have not said at all that July 9 is the deadline for negotiations between Japan and the US.  

It is also possible that the US side may find it difficult to allocate sufficient time domestically to make substantial progress in the Japan-US negotiations. 

This is truly the case for both sides. We are not solely doing the tariff negotiations. 

Both Japan and the US have national interests that can’t be compromised. 

Protecting the profits of the automotive industry, which is our key industry, is in Japan’s interest. 

We're looking for the possibility of a deal in ministerial-level negotiations. But the outlook remains in a fog.  

Market reaction

At the time of writing, the USD/JPY pair is trading 0.09% lower on the day to trade at 145.30.

Japanese Yen FAQs

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.

One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.

Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.

The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.

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