Cardano Price Forecast: ADA downside risks intensify, opening the door to $0.27

Source Fxstreet
  • Cardano price hovers around $0.34 on Monday, following three consecutive weeks of correction since early January.
  • Derivatives data backs the bearish outlook, with declining open interest signaling reduced trader participation.
  • The technical outlook suggests sellers are in control of the momentum, increasing the risk of a deeper pullback toward $0.27.

Cardano (ADA) price hovers around $0.34 at the time of writing on Monday, after three consecutive weeks of correction since early January. The falling Open Interest (OI) further supports the ongoing correction signaling waning investor participation. On the technical side, bears are in control of the momentum, suggesting the potential for a deeper correction targeting the $0.27 mark.

Waning investor participation in Cardano

Cardano's futures Open Interest (OI) at Binance exchange dropped to $108.55 million on Sunday, the lowest level since December 25, according to Coinglass data. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

ADA futures OI chart. Source: Coinglass

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA could retest October lows

Cardano's price faced rejection from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.39 on January 14 and declined nearly 10% over the next four days, closing below the daily support at $0.38. ADA continued its correction, falling by more than 9% last week. At the time of writing on Monday, ADA hovers around $0.34.

If ADA continues its correction, it could extend the decline toward the December 31 low of $0.32. A close below this level could extend losses toward the October 10 low of $0.27.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 39, below its neutral level of 50, indicating bearish momentum gaining traction. In addition, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover on January 18, which remains intact with rising red histogram bars below the neutral level, further supporting the negative outlook.

ADA/USDT daily chart

On the other hand, if ADA recovers, it could extend the recovery toward the daily support level at $0.38.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin To Anchor America Party—’Fiat Is Hopeless,’ Says Elon MuskMusk Pitches Bitcoin As Pillar Of America Party
Author  Bitcoinist
Jul 07, 2025
Musk Pitches Bitcoin As Pillar Of America Party
placeholder
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 17, 2025
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
placeholder
Gold rises on softer US Dollar, traders await Trump's address on Iran warGold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally to near $4,775 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal surges amid a weakening US Dollar (USD) and cooling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 20
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally to near $4,775 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal surges amid a weakening US Dollar (USD) and cooling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $72.00 amid fading safe-haven demandSilver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 19
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
placeholder
Gold retreats sharply from two-week top/$4,800 as Trump’s Iran comments boost USDGold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 03
Gold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote