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US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Q3 earnings season starts Tuesday with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting before the open — with the S&P 500 just 7 points from its record close, bank stocks down 7.5% over the past month, and September CPI landing the next day. Here are the numbers to watch, the two-sided setup and the levels that matter.
USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
The U.S. will release its September CPI data on Wednesday (October 14) Eastern Time, which will be one of the most important inflation reports ahead of the Federal Reserve's October 27-28