Ripple Price Forecast: Debut of cash-settled XRP futures on CME fails to trigger rally

Source Fxstreet
  • XRP slides for two consecutive days as sentiment in the broader market remains cautious.
  • In its debut, the XRP futures launch on CME Group’s derivatives platform exceeded $2.4 million in trading volume.
  • XRP’s stance above the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs signals a brief pause before the next breakout attempt.

Ripple (XRP) price trades broadly sideways around $2.34 on Tuesday, marking its second straight day of minor declines. This tight, range-bound action coincides with the launch of cash-settled XRP futures on CME Group’s derivatives platform.

XRP’s price remained relatively flat even as other major assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), ticked higher during the late American session on Monday and the Asian session on Tuesday.

The uptick followed a call between United States (US) President Donald Trump and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin on Monday. President Trump hinted at a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, with the two conflicting nations expected to begin talks immediately.

XRP futures CME debut attracts over $2.4 million in volume

XRP futures contracts started trading on the CME Group’s derivatives platform on Monday, posting an impressive $2.4 million in trading volume during their first session.

CME data shows nine standard XRP futures (each accounting for 50,000 XRP) traded on the first day, summing to approximately $1 million in notional volume at an average price of $2.35. 

The lion’s share of trading activity was linked to micro contracts, which reached 236 at the end of the session (each accounting for 2,500 XRP), totalling over $1.38 million in volume.

XRP futures contracts | Source: CME Group

The XRP futures contracts are cash-settled and benchmarked to the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate, which is established daily. This product, which has been designed for institutional and retail traders, boasts flexible hedging and trading strategies.

XRP futures contracts | Source: CME Group

Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse said in a post on X on Monday that “the launch of regulated XRP futures on CME Group marks a key institutional milestone for XRP.”

The Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently classified XRP as a commodity, paving the way for CME Group to list the cash-settled futures contracts.

Sentiment around XRP has been shifting frequently in the past few weeks, affecting market dynamics. This sentiment has been a product of Judge Analisa Torres' denial of a joint motion by Ripple and the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) seeking an indicative ruling to dissolve the $125 million penalty imposed in 2024 in favour of a $50 million settlement fee.

XRP’s uptrend falters, tests key support levels

XRP’s price hovers around $2.34 at the time of writing, after extending the decline from highs that reached $2.65 last week. The cross-border remittance token holds above a key support at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $2.28. 

If this level gives way, the 100-day EMA at roughly $2.26 could provide the next line of defence. Further declines might see XRP test the 200-day EMA near $2.04.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has confirmed a sell signal on the daily chart below, signaling a heavy upside likely to extend the pullback. A sell signal manifests with the MACD line (blue) crossing beneath the signal line (red).

The downward trending Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator at 51 reflects XRP’s correction from recent highs. If XRP drops below the initial support at $2.26, the RSI could fall under the 50 midline, indicating stronger bearish momentum.

XRP/USD daily chart

On the other hand, the SuperTrend indicator flaunts a buy signal, defying the ongoing drop in the price of XRP. This indicator utilises the Average True Range (ATR) to gauge volatility in the market. It can be used as a dynamic support and resistance line  as it sends a buy signal when the price flips above the SuperTrend line and changes its colour from red to green. 

Ripple FAQs

Ripple is a payments company that specializes in cross-border remittance. The company does this by leveraging blockchain technology. RippleNet is a network used for payments transfer created by Ripple Labs Inc. and is open to financial institutions worldwide. The company also leverages the XRP token.

XRP is the native token of the decentralized blockchain XRPLedger. The token is used by Ripple Labs to facilitate transactions on the XRPLedger, helping financial institutions transfer value in a borderless manner. XRP therefore facilitates trustless and instant payments on the XRPLedger chain, helping financial firms save on the cost of transacting worldwide.

XRPLedger is based on a distributed ledger technology and the blockchain using XRP to power transactions. The ledger is different from other blockchains as it has a built-in inflammatory protocol that helps fight spam and distributed denial-of-service (DDOS) attacks. The XRPL is maintained by a peer-to-peer network known as the global XRP Ledger community.

XRP uses the interledger standard. This is a blockchain protocol that aids payments across different networks. For instance, XRP’s blockchain can connect the ledgers of two or more banks. This effectively removes intermediaries and the need for centralization in the system. XRP acts as the native token of the XRPLedger blockchain engineered by Jed McCaleb, Arthur Britto and David Schwartz.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Cardano Price Forecast: ADA on the verge of correction as momentum weakensCardano (ADA) trades in red on Tuesday at the time of writing, hovering around its key support level at $0.72. A decisive close below this level could trigger a correction. ADA’s falling daily active addresses and Decentralized Exchange (DEX) trading volume further support the bearish outlook.
Author  FXStreet
8 hours ago
Cardano (ADA) trades in red on Tuesday at the time of writing, hovering around its key support level at $0.72. A decisive close below this level could trigger a correction. ADA’s falling daily active addresses and Decentralized Exchange (DEX) trading volume further support the bearish outlook.
placeholder
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable while below 93.00 and 23.6% Fibo. levelThe AUD/JPY cross comes under renewed selling pressure following the previous day's modest uptick and drops to a nearly two-week low during the first half of the European session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
The AUD/JPY cross comes under renewed selling pressure following the previous day's modest uptick and drops to a nearly two-week low during the first half of the European session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Gold price edges lower amid easing haven demand, headwinds from Fed and TrumpGold (XAU/USD) price edges slightly lower on Tuesday, looking for direction after giving back the previous day’s gains, falling back to around $3,226 at the time of writing.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) price edges slightly lower on Tuesday, looking for direction after giving back the previous day’s gains, falling back to around $3,226 at the time of writing.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD challenges strong resistance at nine-day EMA around $32.50Silver price (XAG/USD) seems to extend its losses for the third successive session, trading around $32.30 per troy ounce during the European hours on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) seems to extend its losses for the third successive session, trading around $32.30 per troy ounce during the European hours on Tuesday.
placeholder
Bitcoin Market Update: Spot Demand Climbs As Short-Term Profits Lose SteamBitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of strength despite experiencing a minor pullback in its most recent trading session.
Author  NewsBTC
9 hours ago
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of strength despite experiencing a minor pullback in its most recent trading session.
goTop
quote