Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bulls mount $721M leverage amid US Government sell-off scare

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin price plunged below $92,000 on Thursday, on course to close trading at a 40-day low.
  • US authorities approved the sale of 69,370 BTC seized from the Silk Road marketplace.
  • Following a 10% price correction in the last 48 hours, BTC bulls have deployed $721 million in leverage to avert a breakdown below $90,000.

Bitcoin price dipped to $91,800 on Thursday, marking its lowest in 43 days, dating back to December 9. Derivatives markets data shows concentrated BTC long positions around the $90,000 mark, as bulls move to halt the downtrend. 

Bitcoin losses hit 10% as markets price in $6.5B sell-off from US Government  

Bitcoin price suffered a sharp decline, dropping over 10% within two days as the market volatility intensified on Thursday.

Investor sentiment, already fragile following hotter-than-expected JOLTs jobs data, faced another bearish shock as news surfaced of an impending $6.5 billion Bitcoin sell-off by the United States (US) Government.

The US Government has reportedly received clearance to liquidate 69,370 BTC seized from the infamous Silk Road marketplace. 

Court documents revealed that Chief US District Judge Richard Seeborg denied a motion to block the forfeiture, allowing the Department of Justice to move forward with selling the crypto haul.

The scale of the sell-off has spooked traders, amplifying bearish headwinds in a week that began on a downtrend.

Bitcoin price action, January 8 2025. | BTCUSDT (Binance)

BTC price reacted swiftly, plunging from $95,060 to $91,800 as shown in the chart above. 

Market speculation is now rife on if the sell-off occurs before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, who has campaigned on a pro-Bitcoin stance. 

Trump's proposals include leveraging seized funds to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, adding an ironic twist to the gGovernment's crypto liquidation narrative.

Bulls mount $721 lLeverage to avert $90K breakdown 

Following a 10.5% loss over the past two days, Bitcoin holders are making desperate moves to keep prices from falling below the critical $90,000 threshold.

While overall crypto market sentiment remains bearish, bullish traders are attempting to establish a support wall at this key level.

Coinglass’ Liquidation Map data highlights the total leverage deployed on long and short positions near significant price points.

This metric offers insight into pivotal BTC price support and resistance levels to monitor in the short term.

Bitcoin Liquidation Map | Coinglass

At first glance, the chart shows that short traders currently dominate, with over $3.55 billion in active short positions compared to $1.3 billion in long positions. 

However, a closer look reveals that BTC bulls have concentrated over $721 million in active leverage positions around the $90,000 mark—accounting for nearly 60% of active long BTC futures contracts.

During market dips, large leverage positions near key price levels can prompt traders to make covering spot purchases to avoid liquidation losses.

Essentially, holders of the $721 million in BTC long contracts around $90,000 are now incentivized to make covering spot purchases.

If selling pressure eases, these covering buys could trigger a mild rebound in BTC prices in the coming days.

Bitcoin price forecast: Holding $90,000 support could trigger an early rebound 

Bitcoin price outlook shows signs of a potential reversal as the double bottom pattern at $90,000 signals a possible rebound.

This technical formation, historically known for marking trend reversals, is further validated by the rising BTC trading volume, indicating heightened market participation and buying interest. 

Beyond that, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) line trending above the current price also indicates buying pressure is building up. 

Bitcoin price forecast | BTCUSD

Conversely, bearish scenarios remain plausible if Bitcoin fails to sustain above the critical $90,000 support level.

The chart reflects dominance by short traders, with significant selling pressure that could drive prices lower.

A breakdown below this level would negate the double bottom’s bullish implications, potentially dragging BTC toward $84,000, where further liquidity may be tested.

For now, the double bottom and increasing volumes provide cautious optimism for a rebound.

A sustained break above $93,217 (VWAP level) could open the path toward $100,000, aligning with the bullish target implied by the double bottom structure.


 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 26
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
3 hours ago
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote