A leading market expert recently hinted at an impending bottom for Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that within the next 328 days, the cryptocurrency could reach a price range between $38,000 and $50,000.
Although Bitcoin’s performance this year has lagged behind US stock markets and gold, it has still managed to achieve notable highs, currently trading nearly 20% below its record peak of $126,000 reached earlier in October.
However, the current market landscape is marked by considerable uncertainty among investors, with fear and selling pressure leading Bitcoin to consolidate just above the $100,000 mark.
In a recent social media post on X (formerly Twitter), analyst Ali Martinez expressed confidence in his forecast, anticipating that a bottom may occur around October 2026, implying a potential drop of 51% toward the $50,000 level and approximately 63% down to $38,000 in the most pessimistic scenario.
Martinez has observed historical patterns throughout various market cycles. He pointed out that in both the 2015–2017 and 2018–2021 cycles, there were exactly 1,064 days between the bear market bottom and the bull market peak.
Notably, the current cycle, which began from the November 2022 bottom and led to the recent all-time high of $126,220, is now approaching 1,082 days. This recurring timing structure suggests that Bitcoin may have already reached its cycle top.
While Martinez’s assertions do not guarantee an outcome, he stated that these historical patterns reinforce his forecast, while suggesting that the market is entering the “early stages of a post-peak retracement phase.”
At the time of writing, the market’s leading cryptocurrency trades at $103,320, recording losses of 3% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com