Two Crypto “Buy” Calls for 2027: Bitcoin Looks Plausible, XRP Looks Like a High-Conviction Bet

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  • Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick sees big upside into 2027, but his Bitcoin path may be getting revised as market structure changes.

  • Bitcoin’s cleaner bull case is still “ETF-driven access + institutional portfolio sizing,” not day-to-day hype.

  • XRP’s upside hinges on ETF adoption and payment-network penetration—two variables that can move fast, but also fail quietly. 

Regulation is turning from “headline risk” into “plumbing”

A friendlier U.S. policy tone matters, not because it magically pumps prices, but because it changes who is allowed to buy, how, and at what internal compliance cost. The stablecoin framework debate has moved into real legislative pathways, and accounting constraints that once made custody unattractive for banks have been rolled back in a way that lowers friction. 
Add the White House push around a strategic Bitcoin reserve/digital asset stockpile, and you get the same signal institutions care about most: policy is trying to reduce uncertainty, not increase it.

Bitcoin: the “boring” thesis is the strong one

Kendrick’s core Bitcoin argument is basically: if ETFs keep acting as the default on-ramp, demand becomes more durable than the old cycle of retail euphoria. That’s the part that doesn’t require a heroic story—just steady allocation behavior.

But here’s the catch: forecasts themselves are not static. Public reporting shows Kendrick has recently trimmed parts of his Bitcoin roadmap after the October drawdown, pointing to weaker support from corporate-style Bitcoin treasury demand and a market that needs ETFs to do more of the heavy lifting. 
So if you’re using older target ladders (like “$225k in 2027”), treat them as a snapshot, not a contract.

What would make Bitcoin’s 2027 upside feel “earned”?

  • ETF flows stop being episodic and start looking like policy-driven, model-driven allocation.

  • Macro volatility doesn’t force institutions to de-risk every time rates reprice.

  • The “sell pressure sources” (miners/treasuries/leveraged longs) don’t all dump at once.

XRP: the upside case exists—so does the skepticism

On paper, XRP’s pitch is simple: faster, cheaper cross-border settlement rails than legacy systems. In practice, the hard question is whether financial institutions want a volatile bridge asset when stablecoins exist.

Kendrick has been cited projecting XRP rising toward $10.40 by 2027, with ETF approval and flows as key catalysts. 
That’s not impossible—but it’s high dependency:

  • ETF access has to translate into sustained AUM, not a launch-week spike.

  • Payment/settlement usage must scale in a way that actually increases structural demand (not just trading volume).

  • Competing rails (including stablecoins) can’t simply absorb the same use cases more cleanly.

The way to frame XRP honestly in a “news + analysis” style: it’s a convex bet. If the catalysts hit, it can rip. If they don’t, you’re holding a narrative.

What to watch (so you don’t get trapped by vibes)

  • ETF flow consistency (weeks, not days)

  • Regulatory follow-through beyond headlines (implementation details)

  • Market structure: who is buying—direct spot, ETF wrappers, or leveraged derivatives?

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  • TradingKey 2025 Markets Recap & Outlook | Global Central Banks 2025 Recap and 2026 Outlook: Navigating Post-Easing Recovery and Diverging Paths
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    The above content was completed with the assistance of AI and has been reviewed by an editor.


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