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Gold Weekly Forecast: Sell-off intensifies, putting the $4,000 handle at risk

Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to start the week before turning south and plunging to its lowest level since November, below $4,000. Although the precious metal managed to find a foothold, it struggled to stage a decisive rebound and ended the week deep in negative territory.

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Brent: Hormuz risk premium still fragile – OCBC

OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Brent Oil has dropped sharply on optimism over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after a US–Iran deal, but warn markets may be underpricing security risks.

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Gold: More pain before recovery – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Head of Commodity Strategy Bart Melek highlights that Gold recently broke below $4,000/oz as higher US rates and a firmer Dollar weigh on the metal.

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Oil: Market optimism faces supply risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s commodity team, led by Barbara Lambrecht, warns that recent declines in Oil prices may prove temporary as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is only gradually recovering and US inventories sit well below seasonal norms.

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Silver Price Forecast: RSI stays in oversold territory as XAG/USD struggles below $60

Silver (XAG/USD) steadies on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat after the latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data showed underlying inflation remained relatively contained.

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Gold: Stabilisation not confirmed reversal – OCBC

OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Gold is tentatively stabilising after a sharp selloff, with prices back above USD4,000 and some dip-buying interest emerging as Dollar and real yield pressures ease.

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Gold holds above $4,000 as US PCE data cools near-term Fed rate-hike bets

Gold (XAU/USD) steadies above the $4,000 mark on Friday as a softer US Dollar (USD) and lower Treasury yields provide support after the latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report broadly met forecasts, reducing expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate h

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Gold: Rate worries keep environment challenging – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts highlight a weakening Gold market, with prices briefly slipping below USD 4,000 per troy ounce before recovering.

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds immediate support below $4,000 as US Dollar corrects

Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.6% higher to near $4,050 during the European trading session on Friday. The precious metal recovers after discovering support near $3,960 in the past two trading days.

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Oil: Hormuz risks and fragile Iran deal – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights renewed security concerns for Oil as a cargo ship was hit near Oman, raising questions about safety in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite this, Brent trades around $73.8, at the lower end of its weekly range.

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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.19 per troy ounce, up 0.56% from the $57.87 it cost on Thursday.

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Gold: Debasement trade over as prices slide – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s team highlights a sharp reversal in Gold, with prices down 20% year-to-date and over 11% this month, undermining the Dollar debasement narrative.

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미국 구리 관세 6월 30일 최종 확정; COMEX 재고량 사상 최고치인 650,000톤 기록, 골드만은 관세 발효 후 구리가 14,000달러를 돌파할 수 있다고 전망

TradingKey - 미국의 구리 관세 결정을 앞두고 카운트다운이 시작됐다. 미국 상무부는 정련동에 대한 수입 관세 부과 여부를 최종 결정하기 위해 6월 30일까지 백악관에 '무역확장법 제232조' 관세 조사 보고서를 제출해야 한다.지난해 7월 트럼프 행정부는 구리 관세 계획을 발표하며 반가공 구리와 구리 집약적 파생상품에 50%의 관세를 우선 부과했다.

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WTI Oil struggles below $70 amid expectations of higher Middle East supply

Crude Oil prices edge lower on Friday, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel changing hands at $69.65 at the time of writing. This is the lowest price since February 27, one day before the US and Israel launched a joint attack on Iran.

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Gold: Steadies after sharp correction – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey observe that Gold stabilized after dropping below the $4,000/oz mark earlier in the week, supported by lower US Treasury yields following softer US inflation data.

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Brent Oil: Supply risks offset by strong flows – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that Brent Oil initially spiked after reports of an Iranian attack on a cargo ship near Oman and a pause in U.N. escort operations in the Strait of Hormuz.

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Oil: Downside momentum persists as flows recover – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil rebounded after a vessel was struck in the Persian Gulf, but they stress that price momentum remains to the downside as flows through the Strait of Hormuz recover.

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WTI falls below $70.50 due to oil supply surge from Middle East

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) depreciates after registering over 2% gains in the previous day, trading around $70.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD sees fresh down leg below $55.60 amid firm Fed rate hike bets

Silver price (XAG/USD) is down 2.5% to near $56.50 during the Asian trading session on Friday.

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India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

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Gold weakens back below $4,000 as Fed hike bets and Hormuz risks support safe-haven USD

Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest recovery move and meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) dip-buying.

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UN’s IMO pauses Strait of Hormuz evacuation plan after cargo ship attacked

The UN's International Maritime Organization (IMO) paused the planned evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded in the Strait of Hormuz after a Singapore-flagged ship passing through the waterway was attacked, BBC reported on Friday.

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Gold declines below $4,050 as US PCE inflation supports Fed hike bets

Gold price (XAU/USD) declines to around $4,020 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the decline as traders have ramped up bets of a US rate hike. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report is due later on Friday.

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Crude Oil bounces on a Hormuz scare it doesn't believe

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spent Thursday doing its now-familiar trick of grabbing a geopolitical bid and then quietly handing most of it back.

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Silver catches a bid, not a bottom

Silver enjoyed a rare green session on Thursday, and reading much into it would be a mistake. The metal bounced off a session low near 56.50, briefly spiking close to 59.00 just after the US data hit the wires, before fading back to around 58.00, up roughly 0.8% on the day.

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Gold price rebounds as US Dollar’s rally stalls despite high Core PCE

Gold (XAU/USD) price recovers on Thursday, up by almost 1% as the Greenback drops despite inflation data suggesting that a ‘higher-for-longer' scenario favors the Federal Reserve (Fed) holding rates steady, despite US President Donald Trump’s desires for lower interest rates.

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WTI rebounds while traders monitor fresh developments in the Strait of Hormuz

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude Oil edges higher on Thursday, snapping a three-day losing streak as short covering lifts prices following the recent selloff to a more than three-month low. At the time of writing, WTI is trading around $71.50, up more than 2% on the day.

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Silver price rebounds after in-line US PCE data eases Dollar support

Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds on Thursday, trading around $58.65 at the time of writing, up 2.16% on the day.

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Crude Oil: Inventory draws and shorts set stage for rebound – TD Securities

TD Securities commodity strategists Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that crude Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are gradually normalizing, but around 10–11m b/d of Middle East production remains offline.

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WTI Oil extends decline as Hormuz traffic normalizes, US Iran waiver lifts supply

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $69.30 at the time of writing, down 0.65% on Thursday. The American benchmark Crude is now posting a fourth consecutive day of losses, weighed down by a convergence of supply-side factors reshaping market expectations.

출처  Fxstreet1782392351
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