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The Dollar Index is climbing out of a fiscal hole

The Dollar Index trades just above 99.00 and roughly a quarter of a percent higher, having printed its high just short of 99.25 after 14:00 GMT and not retested it since.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average ignores a revision made of inflation

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades a shade beneath 53,500 and roughly 100 points lower on the session, after a 12:30 GMT data drop the wires filed as uneventful.

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US Dollar: Pressure builds as risk premia rise – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele notes that sentiment towards the Dollar is weakening as fiscal concerns and rising risk premia outweigh the support from higher US Treasury yields.

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US Dollar Index: Range-bound consolidation as PCE looms – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is firm, consolidating just above recent lows following the US Treasury buyback announcement.

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US Dollar Index: Range trade persists as data soft – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the DXY Index’s recent recovery stalled slightly above 99 and has reverted to a 98.5–99.0 range after last week’s sell-off linked to higher US long bond yields.

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US Dollar: Shaky basis trade risks weigh – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur explains how the US Treasury Secretary’s vague secondary sanctions comments and falling US yields have left the Dollar stabilizing but vulnerable.

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Dow Jones futures hold flat as traders await US PCE inflation data, Nvidia earnings

Dow Jones futures gain steadies around 53,650 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.11%, to trade near 7,680, and Nasdaq 100 futures fall by 0.23% to trade around 29,210.

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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Bears prevail with the 200-day SMA capping rallies 

The US Dollar (USD) nurses marginal gains on Wednesday and holds a mild recovery attempt from the three-month highs hit last week, but seems unable to extend gains past the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), just above 99.00, which keeps the broader bearish structure intact.

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US Dollar: Buyback impact stays marginal – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that U.S. cross‑border exposures have stabilized, with Dollar FX hedges broadly unchanged and U.S. equity holdings recovering as risk sentiment improves.

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US Dollar: Core PCE and Warsh remarks in focus – OCBC

OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that lower energy prices have helped pull US and European yields down, supporting a more benign macro backdrop without stoking USD debasement fears.

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The US Dollar Index stops paying for hawks who cannot vote

A non-voting regional Federal Reserve president published a conditional hold on Tuesday, tying the current target range to continued evidence that inflation is actually coming down, and the Dollar Index has not moved for it.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average round-trips between Ottawa and the Treasury

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has built a 300-point advance and handed every point of it back inside a single vertical break, and it trades just beneath 53,500 for a gain of roughly a tenth of a percent. The session range runs better than 320 points against a net of 67.

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US Dollar: Credibility risks for USD – TD Securities

TD Securities argues that Jackson Hole is more about Federal Reserve (Fed) credibility than new guidance for the US Dollar (USD). They see rate expectations staying anchored, but warn that any failure by Chair Warsh to reaffirm the inflation mandate could weigh on USD.

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US Dollar: Bond market supports cautious consolidation – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar is drawing support from the US bond market as long-dated yields stabilise, while US-Canada trade tensions and Iran-related sanctions risks complicate the outlook.

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US Dollar: Fragmentation risks and reserve diversification – MUFG

Michael Wan at MUFG discusses US threats of economic punishment on countries dealing with Iran and new sanctions on over 60 entities.

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US Dollar: Debasement fears meet historical skepticism – MUFG

MUFG analysts Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note that the Dollar Index (DXY) is consolidating after a modest rebound, even as markets focus on US fiscal concerns, Treasury buybacks and perceived USD debasement.

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Dow Jones futures advance as tech stocks rebound ahead of looming Nvidia earnings

Dow Jones futures gain by 0.18%, trading around 53,590 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures advance by 0.28%, to trade near 7,690, and Nasdaq 100 futures rise by 0.58% to trade around 29,270.

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US Dollar: Policy crosscurrents shape outlook – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that renewed policy uncertainty and Federal Reserve (Fed) reaction risks are constraining US Dollar (USD) gains, even as higher US real yields and a resilient US economy limit downside.

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US Dollar: Data weakness keeps downside risks elevated - TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that the US Dollar (USD) has re-entered a bearish regime after the Treasury buyback announcement pushed the US Dollar Index (DXY) below its 200‑day SMA.

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United States Dollar Index holds gains near 99.00 amid escalating geopolitical risks

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its gains for the second successive day and trading around 99.00 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.

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Forex Today: US Dollar firms on safe-haven demand ahead of data-heavy Tuesday

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 99.00 mark for the first time since last Wednesday's plunge.

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US Dollar Index: Cautious rebound capped near 100 – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe that the US Dollar (USD) is modestly stronger as markets start the week cautiously, with equities defensive and Treasuries firmer.

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The Dollar Index takes its orders from the Treasury

A currency whose central bank has held five times, prices no cut this year and still carries an increase by December should not be sitting at the bottom of its three-month range.

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The Treasury bids and offers the Dow Jones Industrial Average

The same department that spent the morning telling the bond market it has roughly 950 billion Dollars available to hold long yields down will spend the afternoon announcing sanctions designed to tighten the oil chokepoint that drove those yields up.

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US Dollar: Weakness may stabilize as US growth advantage persists - BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Treasury’s buyback announcement initially pushed longer-term Treasuries lower, weakened the Dollar and boosted Gold. He argues the USD slump should stabilize this week, with the US growth advantage offsetting fiscal concerns.

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US Dollar: Policy risks keep downside bias – ING

ING’s Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note the Dollar starts the week soft as markets await US policy signals from the White House.

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US Dollar: Debasement narrative caps upside – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the US Treasury’s expanded long-end buyback programme has revived market fears of Dollar debasement, driving a weaker USD, stronger Gold and higher breakevens.

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US Dollar: Event-driven risks shape debasement narrative – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar is broadly stable as investors focus on US Treasury actions to contain long-term yields and renewed talk of Dollar debasement.

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US Dollar: Warsh speech shapes Dollar and Treasuries – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets will focus on Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole appearance, with July PCE data seen as a precursor for U.S. rates and Dollar moves.

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Dow Jones futures slip as US Treasury pledges buybacks, Middle East tensions persist

Dow Jones futures remain subdued around 53,350 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.17%, to trade near 7,680, and Nasdaq 100 futures fall by 0.65% to trade around 29,200.

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