TD Securities’ macro team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj, Howard Du and Linda Cheng, maintains a bearish view on the Dollar despite a hawkish market reaction to Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar has surrendered around half of its post-Jackson Hole gains, even as front-end US rates remain firmly supported. He argues that concerns over long-end yields and potential Treasury intervention are feeding a debasement narrative.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar has recovered most of its recent pullback as Fed funds futures price a 67% chance of a 25 bps rate hike on September 16 and 60 bps of tightening over twelve months.

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar has gained modestly after Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, with US Dollar Index (DXY) up around 0.3% since Friday’s open and 2‑year Treasury yields sharply higher.

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.45% to trade near 53,000 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.5%, to trade around 7,660, while Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.83% to trade around 29,270.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs back above the mid-99.00s during the first half of the European session.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong have reset their forecasts after the earlier US Dollar (USD) sell-off but still projects moderate USD strength into early 2027.

The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly higher against its peers on Tuesday, as long-dated United States (US) Treasury Yields rally due to surging oil prices in the wake of renewed Middle East conflicts.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed just short of 53,300, roughly 250 points and about 0.5% lower, after American forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island and Tehran answered with missile and drone attacks on bases in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates.

The Dollar Index trades just beneath 99.50 and 0.26% lower, on a session that handed it every input a currency is supposed to rally on.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,250, roughly 300 points lower on the session, after American forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island and Tehran answered with attacks on bases in Jordan and assets in the United Arab Emirates.

OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech eased debasement concerns and supported the Dollar, with Gold lower and the US yield curve flatter.

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that recent U.S. inflation data left the macro narrative intact, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech pushed markets to reprice September hike odds and lifted the Dollar. The focus now shifts to U.S.

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech boosted the US Dollar by signalling openness to tighter monetary policy and a possible September rate hike.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech has sharply increased market-implied odds of a September Federal Reserve rate hike, supporting the Dollar and short-term Treasury yields.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts some sellers at the start of a new week and erodes a part of Friday's strong gains to a two-week high.

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.15% to near 53,500 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.12%, to trade near 7,710, while Nasdaq 100 futures gain by 0.05% to trade around 29,500.

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike.

The US Dollar (USD) is slightly down in the Asian trading session at the start of the week. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against its peers, corrects 0.1% to near 99.58 after a strong Friday.

TD Cowen’s Washington Strategy team, led by Chris Krueger, notes that a durable rebound in the Dollar hinges on stronger US policy follow-through and renewed upside surprises in US data.

The Federal Reserve chair used the largest speaking slot on the calendar to commit to nothing and the futures market repriced September anyway.

US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies on Friday, gaining 0.36% to trade around 99.50 at the time of writing, as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium prompt investors to sharply reassess the outlook for US interest rates.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is mixed near a one‑week high as major FX pairs test key technical levels, including EUR/USD at its 200‑day moving average and USD/JPY near 160.00.

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart argue that Jackson Hole only becomes a significant FX event for the Dollar when the Federal Reserve Chair delivers a clear policy surprise or commits to future action.

ING’s Chris Turner notes a quiet, risk-positive week for global markets, with low volatility and mixed G10 FX, as the Dollar debasement theme fails to extend.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar has stabilized after last week’s setback, with Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech seen as the next key test.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining minor support after registering minor losses in the previous day and trading around 99.20 during the Asian hours on Friday.

The US Dollar Index trades just above 99.00 on Thursday, unchanged on the session across a range of less than a fifth of a point. That sits roughly 2.6% beneath the June peak just under 102.00 and beneath a rolling 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 100.00 and a flat 200-day near 99.75.

The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will be making direct asks to finance ministers at the G20 meeting, to cut off economic flows that sustain the Iranian regime and the Islamic Republic Guards Corps, according to Fox Business News (FBN).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,600 on Thursday, ahead 0.29% on the session across a range running from the 53,300 area to just above 53,700.