The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.4% on the month against consensus for a 0.1% decline, following May's 0.5% increase, and the annual rate dropped to 3.5% from 4.2%, well under the 3.8% forecast. Core prices were flat MoM and eased to 2.6% YoY versus 2.8% expected.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues recent US Dollar strength rests on increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve expectations that may be overdone.
TD Securities strategists expect the US Dollar to retain some residual strength in Q3 as positioning normalizes and traditional safe-haven demand returns.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the rebound in Oil is lifting US inflation expectations and supporting the Dollar. Haddad highlights sticky US inflation, a resilient labor market and US economic outperformance as factors keeping Fed pricing hawkish.
Dow Jones futures lose 0.26% to trade around 52,620 during European trading hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.03% and 0.42%, trading near 7,560 and 29,600, respectively.
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes the Dollar strengthened as US Treasury yields rose and equities sold off, helped by renewed US–Iran tensions and higher Oil prices.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, sticks to modest intraday losses through the early European session on Tuesday as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the latest US consumer inflation figures.
BNY Markets’ John Velis and David Tam note that June Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show softer headline inflation on lower energy, but recent events have lifted Oil prices again, complicating short-term forecasts.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground after two days of gains and is trading around 101.20 during the Asian session on Tuesday.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) surges toward 101.30, gaining around 0.3% as escalating tensions between the United States (US) and Iran boost safe-haven demand and drive energy prices sharply higher.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) regains momentum on Monday after hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller boosted expectations of an interest rate hike as early as this month.
Risk aversion set Monday's tone, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average wore it better than most of its peers; the index trades near 52,525, down 117 points, or 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite sheds 1% and the S&P 500 gives back 0.4%.
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has gained modestly as renewed US–Iran tensions lift Brent Oil back to USD80, with markets rebuilding a geopolitical risk premium.
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) Index has been confined between 100.5 and 102 for three weeks as traders await clarity on whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will proceed with a potential rate hike later this year.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) traded mixed, but expects USD to edge slightly higher over the next couple of months as US labor markets stabilize and inflation remains sticky.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts some sellers following an intraday uptick to the 101.22 area on Monday and fills a modest weekly bullish gap.
Dow Jones futures lose 0.12% to trade around 52,840 during European trading hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.45% and 1.30%, trading near 7,580 and 29,640, respectively.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect the US Dollar (USD) to appreciate by around 2–3% by end-2026, supported versus low-yielding currencies such as the Euro (EUR) and Swiss Franc (CHF).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining stronger for the second successive day, trading around 101.10 during the Asian session on Monday.
The upcoming week will bring a major test for the US Dollar (USD), with investors focusing on the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony and a broad set of activity indicators.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades within a volatile range on Friday as a sparse US economic calendar leaves traders watching developments in the Middle East after renewed hostilities between the United States (US) and Iran this week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades at 52,609 on Friday, up 0.26%, two sessions after printing a record 53,333 and one news cycle into the second official death of the US-Iran ceasefire.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading lower for the third consecutive day on Friday.
The US Dollar (USD) extends its losing streak for the third trading day on Friday amid signs of de-escalation in the ongoing clash between the United States (US) and Iran.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is down 0.14% to 100.93 as tensions in the Middle East ease, driving Oil prices lower and trimming Fed hawkish bets spurred by the energy shock.
DJIA trades near 52,480, higher by around 0.28%, clawing back only a sliver of Wednesday's Gulf-driven rout.
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the New York Fed’s latest Liberty Street Economics analysis warns many United States (US) firms still plan tariff-related price increases, implying persistent inflation pressures that matter for the US Dollar (USD) and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions.
Dow Jones futures gain 0.17% to trade around 52,710 during European trading hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.34% and 0.74%, trading near 7,550 and 29,690, respectively.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the previous day's pullback from the 101.25-101.30 region and attracts some follow-through sellers on Thursday.