MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that weaker US jobs data have not triggered a strong reaction in Dollar or rates, as markets await key Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases and another Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) before the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

Deutsche Bank strategists note that Friday’s mixed United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report led to a notable repricing of September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) odds, with futures-implied probability of a hike falling to 44%.

BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam note that weaker United States (US) labor data have lowered real-rate expectations and extended the Dollar decline, creating a more supportive environment for risk assets and duration.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidates losses, trading below 100.00 at the time of writing on Monday, holding near its lowest levels since mid-June.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux reports that weaker US employment data and downward revisions have sharply reduced expectations for a September Fed hike, though one move remains priced for December.

Dow Jones futures are steady around 54,150 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain 0.16% to trade near 7,790 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.39%, trading near 29,950.

The US Dollar (USD) edges up against its peers on Monday after a vertical decline on Friday. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 99.70.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 100.00 region after sinking through Friday's session. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) showed the US economy shedding 23K jobs against forecasts of an 80K gain, with June revised down to 20K, and Average Hourly Earnings slowing to 3.2% on the year.

The American labour market contracted in July and the Dow Jones Industrial Average answered with a gain of roughly 65 points, a tenth of a percent, trading near 54,000 into the afternoon.

TD Securities strategists note that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after the disappointing July Payrolls report, but see limited downside against G10 currencies unless softer US inflation further reduces Fed hike expectations.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is down 0.36%m at 99.58 following a weaker-than-expected US jobs report. The data has eased pressures on the Federal Reserve to hike rates, as inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% goal.

ING’s Chief International Economist James Knightley notes that the weak July US jobs report has pushed market pricing away from a September Federal Reserve rate hike, with the Dollar softening and 2-year yields falling.

The US Dollar (USD) consolidates against its major currency peers on Friday, with investors awaiting the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for July, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the July United States (US) non-farm payrolls to show resilient labor demand, with consensus around 80k jobs and unemployment steady at 4.2%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.

The United States Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, consolidates during the Asian session on Friday as traders keenly await the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs data.

Halpenny highlights MUFG’s G10 regression models showing the US Dollar undervalued against most peers, implying risk premia tied to Middle East conflict, inflation concerns and political interference at the Federal Reserve.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the US Dollar (USD) has recovered part of its recent losses as concerns over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) credibility ease, but sees limited scope for a sustained rebound.

OCBC’s Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that softer US inflation and debate over the Fed’s reaction function have eroded US Dollar upside momentum, even as the Fed remains data dependent. Upcoming US employment data are seen as critical for policy direction.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding gains after two days of losses and trading around 99.80 during the European session on Thursday.

Dow Jones futures rise 0.19% to trade around 54,600 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain 0.09% to trade near 7,760, while Nasdaq 100 futures decline 0.35%, trading near 29,510.

ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole notes improved Gulf-related risk sentiment has weighed slightly on the Dollar, but stable Federal Reserve rate expectations remain supportive.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.75 in the early European trading hours on Thursday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, trades with a negative bias for the third straight day and hovers around the 99.65 region during the Asian session on Thursday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 54,500 on Wednesday, 0.76% higher and at a fresh record, roughly 1,400 points above the high it set in early July. The bid rests on the Strait of Hormuz reopening within days, after Washington called off a fresh round of strikes and pointed at talks.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, trades modestly lower near 99.80 on Wednesday, shedding around 0.15% after a stagflationary batch of United States (US) data.

TD Securities strategists expect only modest US Dollar (USD) weakness if July payrolls or the unemployment rate disappoint.

On Wednesday, the US removed Iran-related sanctions, according to the US Treasury Department’s website. The US Treasury lifted sanctions imposed on two aircraft linked to the IRGC and three airlines.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Dollar is mixed as global equities rise and Oil stabilizes. Haddad argues the USD rally from May has likely ended, with US Dollar Index (DXY) expected to consolidate in a 96.00–100.00 range.

TD Securities strategists notes that United States (US) JOLTS job openings fell more than expected in June, though they remain elevated versus private indicators. They also expect the United States (US) ISM Services Index to rise in July, projecting 55.0 versus June’s 54.0 and a consensus of 54.5.