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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar eases into weekend as markets eye central bank meetings

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is losing momentum near the 98.50 price zone and continues drifting lower from recent highs as markets unwind part of the recent US Dollar (USD) rally despite still strong United States (US) data and ongoing Middle East tensions.

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USD: Inflation shock risk from Hormuz blockade – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that the ongoing United States (US) blockade in the Strait of Hormuz is building a significant inflation shock for the US and globally, with Oil and input costs surging.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures flat as Iran diplomacy wobbles, UoM sentiment beats

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures are trading broadly flat in the early afternoon GMT on Friday, holding above 49,100 after a choppy session that saw prices swing between 48,900 and 49,500.

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US Dollar Index (DXY) holds gains near 99.00 as geopolitical tensions grow

The US Dollar (USD) remains strong against its main peers on Friday, with the USD Index (DXY) steady at the upper range of the 98.00s, as investors are reluctant to take excessive risks. The DXY is on track for a 0.4% weekly gain as tensions between the US and Iran escalate.

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DXY: Fed repricing supports US currency – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts note that strong United States (US) Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data have reinforced perceptions of economic resilience and rising price pressures, leading markets to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts.

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USD: Cautious tone into weekend – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that Gulf tensions and broadening inflation pressures are keeping investors wary of short US Dollar (USD) positions. He highlights firm short-dated US yields as markets price a stagflationary oil shock and a potentially more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed).

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Dow Jones futures remains subdued due to stalled US-Iran peace efforts

Dow Jones futures pares its daily losses but remain in the negative territory, declining by 0.13%, trading above 49,400 during the European hours on Friday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening.

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USD: Liquidity backstops and war pressures – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister discusses how US allies in Middle East and Asia are seeking Dollar swap lines as conflicts curb energy exports and tourism.

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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Aims to stabilize above 20-day EMA after three-day rally

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, holds onto gains near the weekly high around 99.00 in the Asian trade on Friday.

Forex Today: Greenback steadies near two-week highs amid strong US data and Middle East tensions

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose on Thursday and remains on a winning streak near the 98.70 area, supported by stronger-than-expected US data and persistent geopolitical uncertainty, as conflicting headlines keep markets cautious.

출처  Fxstreet1776972330
Dow Jones Industrial Average treads water as semiconductors extend record streak

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures are drifting near 49,400 on Thursday, trading just below the flatline after swinging between 49,100 and 49,600 over the past two sessions.

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USD: Statecraft focus reshapes FX benchmarks – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every highlights how United States (US) economic statecraft is reinforcing the global role of the US Dollar (USD) through tools such as suspended Dollar shipments to Iraq and potential new swap lines for Gulf and Asian allies.

출처  Fxstreet1776950795
US President Trump: Ordered to shoot and kill

United States (US) President Donald Trump just announced through Truth Social that he has ordered to "shoot and kill" any boat that is putting mines in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz.

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USD: Fed politics skew downside risks – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that Kevin Warsh’s path to the Fed chair and related independence concerns mostly point to a weaker Dollar in 2026.

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US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 214K vs 212K expected

The US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday that the number of US citizens filing new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 214K for the week ending April 18, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up from 207K to 208K.

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USD: Energy shock view anchors DXY range – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that higher crude Oil prices and rising global bond yields are supporting the US Dollar (USD), with USD firmer against major currencies.

USD: Risk rotation supports greenback – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that resilient United States (US) equities and higher Oil prices have driven flows away from low-yielding, energy-importer currencies toward the Dollar and commodity FX.

출처  Fxstreet1776938398
S&P 500: Record high faces conflict headwinds – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists report the S&P 500 closed at a fresh record, supported by strong earnings and tech leadership, even as most constituents declined. Futures now point lower as the Iran conflict and higher Oil prices weigh on risk sentiment.

출처  Fxstreet1776935940
Dow Jones futures retreats as US-Iran peace efforts stall

Dow Jones futures fall 0.54% to near 49,400, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also declining 0.39% and 0.36% below 7,150 and 27,000, respectively, during the European hours on Thursday ahead of the United States (US) regular opening.

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USD: Returns support limit downside – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlights that stronger United States (US) equities and higher Oil prices are creating an unusual risk mix that is keeping US Dollar (USD) weakness contained.

US Dollar Index holds gains above 98.50 as Middle East uncertainty prevails

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its gains for the third successive day and trading around 98.70 during the Asian hours on Thursday.

출처  Fxstreet1776915088
Forex Today: US Dollar stays resilient as Hormuz tensions keep markets on edge

The US Dollar Index (DXY) held firm near the 98.60 area as investors continued to favor the Greenback amid lingering uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict.

출처  Fxstreet1776884548
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rebound from Hormuz selloff amid ceasefire

DJIA futures turned higher during the Wednesday US session, with the contract recovering from an overnight low below 49,100 to trade back near 49,500 as risk appetite rebuilt.

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DXY: Equities cap rebound prospects – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the US Dollar (USD) was largely unmoved by Kevin Warsh’s Senate hearing, as he defended Federal Reserve independence and avoided clear policy guidance.

출처  Fxstreet1776869173
USD: Stagflation risk supports resilience – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that renewed Oil-driven inflation risks are tightening global financial conditions, lifting the US Dollar (USD) as yields rise and risk appetite weakens.

출처  Fxstreet1776865352
US Dollar Index holds firm as US naval blockade undermines Iran ceasefire extension

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, holds steady on Wednesday, hovering near one-week highs as the extension of the US-Iran ceasefire is seen as a temporary pause in military escalation rather than a real breakthrough, suggesting th

USD: Geopolitics and Oil keep risks elevated – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that President Trump’s ceasefire extension has offered only limited relief, with Oil near USD 100 and risk sentiment deteriorating.

S&P 500: Rebound in futures after Iran-driven selloff – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts report that S&P 500 futures are rebounding after the index suffered its worst day since late March, pressured by Iran-related geopolitical risks and a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook.

출처  Fxstreet1776847952
Dow Jones futures rise as US-Iran ceasefire extends

Dow Jones futures gain 0.59% above 49,600, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also advancing 0.63% and 0.81% to near 7,150 and 26,850, respectively, during the European hours on Wednesday ahead of the United States (US) regular opening.

출처  Fxstreet1776846030
USD: Recovery restrained as conflict risk seen low – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chang Wei Liang notes that while oil climbing toward $100 on stalled Iran-US talks has supported the US Dollar, this rebound will be capped by low conflict risks.

출처  Fxstreet1776840959
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