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"More avenues opening for US Dollar weakness ahead": MUFG on why Treasury buyback could backfire

The US Dollar (USD) has extended its decline following the US Treasury’s unexpected decision to double its long-end bond buybacks, an intervention designed to push down long-term borrowing costs.

출처  Fxstreet1787232190
US Dollar: Consolidation after treasury buybacks – DBS

DBS Group Research strategist Chang Wei Liang notes ongoing Dollar weakness after the US Treasury unexpectedly doubled long-dated bond buybacks, pushing DXY below 99.

출처  Fxstreet1787231124
US Dollar: Treasury buybacks raise fiscal questions – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) notes that US long-term Treasury yields have retraced most of their decline following the Treasury’s expanded buyback announcement, while the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure.

출처  Fxstreet1787227915
US Dollar: Downside risks grow as yields contained – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart highlight that the US Treasury’s unscheduled expansion of long-end buybacks triggered the largest daily US Dollar drop since March outside intervention episodes.

출처  Fxstreet1787225336
US Dollar: Policy-driven yield retreat – UBS

UBS' chief economist Paul Donovan notes that the United States (US) Treasury’s plan to at least double purchases of long-term US government bonds triggered a rally, pushing 10-year yields down to levels seen a week ago.

출처  Fxstreet1787217384
Dow Jones futures gain on Treasury bond buyback relief

Dow Jones futures inch lose 0.11% to trade around 53,470 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures remain inching lower by 0.06%, trading near 7,720, and Nasdaq 100 futures remain steady around 29,520.

출처  Fxstreet1787215836
US Dollar: Upside capped as yields ease – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the US Dollar weakened after US Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a major expansion of long-dated Treasury buybacks, which pushed long-end yields lower.

출처  Fxstreet1787214284
US Dollar: Under pressure as yields capped – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong say the Dollar has weakened to its lowest level since May as expanded Treasury buybacks pushed long-end US yields lower.

출처  Fxstreet1787211521
98.75 support tested; US Dollar Index under pressure amid US debt buyback plan

The US Dollar (USD) took a beating on Wednesday after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a plan to buy back long-term government debt to ease Bond yields.

출처  Fxstreet1787210334
US Dollar: Risk-on pattern with softer DXY – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that US Treasury buy-back operations and a drop in longer-dated yields have supported equities and weighed on the Dollar.

출처  Fxstreet1787209842
United States Dollar Index weakens below 99.00 on Fed repricing, Treasury bond buybacks

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 98.80 in the early European trading hours on Thursday.

출처  Fxstreet1787200660
The Dollar Index answers to the Treasury, not the Fed

The Dollar Index closed Wednesday 0.86% lower just beneath 98.80, its weakest close since mid-May, and it closed on the session low. The document that did the damage was not a central bank document.

출처  Fxstreet1787174371
Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies on a bid nobody made

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,600 on Wednesday, more than 230 points and 0.44% higher, and none of that gain is about earnings, growth or the Federal Reserve.

출처  Fxstreet1787157708
United States Dollar Index falls as US Treasury doubles long-dated debt buybacks

The US Dollar Index (DXY) comes under fresh selling pressure on Wednesday as longer-term US Treasury yields fall sharply following the Treasury Department’s decision to expand its buyback operations.

출처  Fxstreet1787149089
US Dollar: Exposure normalizes as real rates fall – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that international investors are aggressively cutting Dollar exposure as real-yield support erodes following the July FOMC meeting. The bank sees the Dollar decline as a normalization of previously extreme U.S. asset holdings rather than a collapse in U.S. exceptionalism.

출처  Fxstreet1787137660
US Dollar: Higher yields threaten housing and risk sentiment – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights how elevated US Treasury yields and rising mortgage rates are beginning to weigh on the US housing market, with Housing Starts and Pending Home Sales softening.

출처  Fxstreet1787130050
Dow Jones futures pause as tech sell-off, oil pressures weigh on sentiment

Dow Jones futures inch higher 0.06% to trade around 53,440 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures remain steady near 7,710, and Nasdaq 100 futures edge lower 0.03%, trading near 29,580.

출처  Fxstreet1787127502
United States Dollar Index slumps in countdown to FOMC minutes

The US Dollar (USD) trades lower against its major currency peers on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the July policy meeting, which will be published at 18:00 GMT.

출처  Fxstreet1787127488
US Dollar: Range-bound trading as FOMC minutes loom – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that the Dollar remains supported by higher energy prices and long-end US yields, but FX volatility is still low, favouring carry trades.

출처  Fxstreet1787126978
United States Dollar Index hovers above 99.50 due to safe-haven support

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is steadying after registering minor gains in the previous day and trading around 99.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

출처  Fxstreet1787105271
US President Trump says no Iran talks; naval blockade remains

The US President Donald Trump posted on his social network that “there are no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect. The Hormuz Strait is open and operating.

출처  Fxstreet1787091233
A two-decade yield high buys the Dollar Index nothing

The highest long-dated US yields in nearly two decades have moved the Dollar Index by three hundredths of a point. Spot holds just above 99.50 after a session range of 17 pips, still beneath a flat 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 99.75 that has capped every attempt for a fortnight.

출처  Fxstreet1787074128
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has a term premium problem

A quarter-point Federal Reserve increase by December stopped being a certainty over the past eight days, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is lower for it. Spot trades near 53,400, down roughly 105 points on the session and about 2.5% beneath the record just short of 54,750 set on August 5.

출처  Fxstreet1787074048
US Dollar: Safe haven status faces debt-market strains – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses how rising global bond yields and mounting concerns over United States (US) fiscal discipline are challenging the traditional safe haven role of US Treasuries and the US Dollar (USD).

출처  Fxstreet1787052250
US Dollar: Dovish Fed repricing versus strong flows – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights a mixed backdrop for the Dollar, with dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) repricing seen capping US Dollar (USD) rebounds even as foreign demand remains strong.

출처  Fxstreet1787043484
Dow Jones futures drop as soaring US yields, US-Iran friction rattle markets

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.25%, trading around 53,410 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline 0.52% to near 7,730, and Nasdaq 100 futures slip 0.92%, trading near 29,820.

출처  Fxstreet1787041408
United States Dollar Index extends recovery from two-month low; trades above 99.50

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, builds on the overnight goodish rebound from the 99.30 area, or the lowest level since June 5, and gains some follow-through traction on Tuesday.

출처  Fxstreet1787039712
US Dollar: Carry-supported but rangebound near term – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that still-attractive US Dollar (USD) carry and softer United States (US) data, which have reduced the odds of a September Fed hike, should keep the Dollar rangebound.

출처  Fxstreet1787036931
The Dow Jones Industrial Average prices the war last

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gave up close to 260 points to beneath 53,500, roughly half a percent lower, on the day the 60-day negotiating window meant to end the war over the Strait of Hormuz expired with nothing agreed to replace it.

출처  Fxstreet1787003817
The US Dollar Index cannot rally with Washington on the offer

The Dollar Index trades near 99.50, roughly a tenth of a percent lower, having opened directly on its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and failed there inside the first minutes, with a session low just above 99.25 taking out the August range.

출처  Fxstreet1786983860
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