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GBP/USD nears 1.3600 as Hormuz reopening dents US Dollar

GBP/USD advances during the North American session as breaking news revealed Iran’s reopening of the Strait of Hormuz following the agreement of a ceasefire in Lebanon, which pushed the British Pound to a daily high near 1.3600. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3567, up 0.36%.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps on weaker Dollar, revived Fed rate‑cut bets

Silver (XAG/USD) surges on Friday, trading around $82.60 at the time of writing, up 5.40% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) weakens and markets reassess the outlook for United States (US) monetary policy.

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Iran could close Strait of Hormuz if US navy blockade persists – Fars News

Citing an Iranian official, Fars News Agency reported on Friday that if the US naval blockade persists, Tehran will consider it a violation of the ceasefire and close the Strait of Hormuz, per Reuters.

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SEK: Growth and flows outweigh carry concerns – Nordea

Nordea’s Henrik Unell maintains a constructive stance on the Swedish Krona, arguing that carry should be secondary to growth prospects and equity flows.

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EUR/USD edges higher as Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, Oil tumbles

The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Greenback comes under heavy selling pressure after Iran’s decision to reopen the Strait of Hormuz improved overall market sentiment and raised hopes for a potential US-Iran peace agreement.

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Germany: China shock shows tentative turn – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Robin Winkler argues that German manufacturing faces an ongoing "China shock" as Germany’s trade deficit with China has reached a record size and now exceeds its surplus with the US.

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Asian FX: Surpluses rise without currency strength – Commerzbank

Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank flags surging trade and current account surpluses in China, Taiwan and South Korea alongside weak currencies versus Euro (EUR) and, for the Won (KRW), even versus US Dollar (USD).

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Sweden: Core downside surprise shapes VAT impact view – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team reviews Sweden’s March inflation, highlighting a downside surprise in core inflation and energy, driven by a sharper-than-expected fall in electricity prices and broad food price declines.

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US President Trump: Israel prohibited from bombing Lebanon

In a post published on Truth Social on Friday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will get the "nucelar dust" from Iran, created by their B2 bombers.

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Energy: Softer inflation shock expected – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas economist Hélène Baudchon compares the current Oil and gas price surge linked to the war in Iran with the 2022 energy shock.

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Israeli PM Netanyahu: Trump determined to continue blockade of Hormuz Strait

In a video statement released on Friday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that they have the opportunity to make a historic deal with Lebanon, per Reuters.

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WTI Oil falls near $80 as Iran fully reopens Strait of Hormuz, easing supply fears

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil price collapses on Friday, trading near $81.50 at the time of writing after losing 9.12% during the day. The move marks a sharp acceleration lower after the Crude briefly surged above $90 earlier in the day before sellers took control.

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UK: Political risk lifts long yields – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts flag a sharp rise in 10‑year gilt yields after a report that former United States (US) ambassador Peter Mandelson failed security vetting, with the decision allegedly overruled.

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ECB: June hike path outlined as inflation lingers – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich now expect the ECB to deliver four consecutive 25 bp rate hikes starting in June, despite recent ceasefire news in the Middle East.

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ECB’s President Lagarde: Inflation could turn out higher than the baseline

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), gave a statement at the fifty-third meeting of the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMF) on Friday.

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Copper: Medium-term upside on tightening outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts highlight that the International Copper Study Group has already shifted its 2026 view to a deficit and is likely to project further tightening into 2027.

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GBP/JPY slips as Iran signals Hormuz reopening, Oil prices tumble

GBP/JPY trades with a mild downside bias on Friday in relatively calm market conditions, with the Japanese Yen modestly outperforming the British Pound as growing expectations around a potential US–Iran peace agreement weigh on Oil prices.

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USD/JPY falls as Hormuz reopening, risk mood hit US Dollar

USD/JPY falls toward 158.20 at the time of writing, down 0.61% on Friday after hitting a daily high of 159.53 earlier. The pair now faces notable selling pressure as improving geopolitical conditions in the Middle East reduce demand for safe-haven US Dollar (USD).

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Ripple Price Forecast: XRP holds above critical threshold as risk-on sentiment expands

Ripple (XRP) is trading at $1.44 at the time of writing on Friday, its upside seemingly capped by its weekly peak around $1.47. Still, the overall tone remains bullish as the remittance token holds above key support levels at $1.40 and $1.30.

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USD: Range trade view holds – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that global markets are consolidating as investors watch whether the US-Iran ceasefire becomes a durable agreement.

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US considers $20 billion deal with Iran to limit enriched uranium - Axios

The United States (US) and Iran are currently negotiating a draft agreement aimed at ending the conflict, according to a report by Axios. The talks focus on a three-page memorandum of understanding that includes several measures related to Iran’s nuclear program.

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Iran's Foreign Minister: Passage for all commercial vessels through Hormuz is completely open

Abbas Araghchi, the foreign minister of Iran, announced on Friday that in line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire.

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USD/CAD: Modest downside as Fed cuts loom – ING

ING keeps a mildly bearish profile for USD/CAD into year‑end, driven mainly by expected Dollar weakness once the Federal Reserve resumes cutting in 3Q. Canada’s domestic backdrop is less supportive, with the Bank of Canada worried about upcoming USMCA talks and jobs.

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NZD/USD steadies below 0.5900 as markets await developments in the Middle East

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) shows marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, trading around 0.5885 at the time of writing, after pulling back from monthly highs, around 0.5920 earlier this week.

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GBP/USD: Fading momentum caps Pound strength – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that GBP/USD reversed sharply after nearing 1.3600, with intraday downside now expected to stay within a 1.3495–1.3555 range.

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Canada Canadian Portfolio Investment in Foreign Securities up to $25.36B in February from previous $11.39B

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Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities below expectations ($23.81B) in February: Actual ($6.17B)

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Gold steady near $4,800 as US-Iran deal hopes grow, Fed rate cut bets return

Gold (XAU/USD) holds steady on Friday as expectations grow around a potential US-Iran peace agreement. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,807, up nearly 0.35% on the day, and remains on track for a fourth consecutive weekly gain.

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