Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen argues that the S&P 500’s modest pullback versus past Oil shocks reflects markets pricing a short conflict, resilient macro data and still‑dovish central banks.
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes discusses Robin Brooks’ view that the Dollar looks significantly overvalued versus G10 rate differentials and could fall sharply on a ceasefire, with Oil tumbling and safe-haven flows reversing.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading in a choppy range on Tuesday with markets on edge as the ultimatum from US President Donald Trump to reach a deal with Iran nears its deadline.
The cryptocurrency market is sending mixed signals on Tuesday, with some coins like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) cooling, while Zcash (ZEC) and SPX6900 (SPX) are breaking out.
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage highlights a growing divergence between the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and Australian Dollar (AUD) as markets favor currencies backed by real assets.
Silver (XAG/USD) is showing a mild bearish momentum on Tuesday’s European trading session, with the reversal from Monday's high, at 81.13, extending to levels below $72.00, amid vanishing hopes of a peace deal in Iran.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surrenders its early gains against the US Dollar (USD) and flattens around 1.3240 during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Citing an unidentified senior US official, Axios reported on Tuesday that the US military conducted strikes on military targets located on Iran's Kharg Island.
ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Aluminium supply risks have intensified after Iranian attacks on Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah smelter and Aluminium Bahrain’s plant.
Commerzbank analysts highlight that Brent has climbed above $111 per barrel as the Iran conflict continues and Trump links any ceasefire deal to free Oil traffic through the Strait of Hormus.
TD Securities analysts highlight a record monthly rise in the Melbourne Institute Inflation Gauge, pushing headline and trimmed mean inflation to their highest non-COVID levels since 2008. At the same time, Australian household spending growth is modest and momentum is slowing.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that a prolonged energy shock from the Iran conflict heightens financial stability risks and supports the Dollar beyond what rate differentials imply.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades higher to near $4,675.00, but is broadly sideways, during the European trading session on Tuesday.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is trading higher against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, but the pair failed to find any significant acceptance above 0.6950.
According to a Reuters report, a senior Iranian official has rejected a temporary ceasefire called in the two-tier deal by the United States, which was delivered by Pakistan.
The Euro (EUR) extends losses against the British Pound (GBP) for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, approaching the bottom of its near-term horizontal range at 0.8700, from Monday’s highs at 0.8735.
National Bank of Canada (NBC) economists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms describe recent Euro (EUR) weakness versus Dollar (USD) after the Iran conflict and energy shock, but keep a recovery bias for EUR/USD.
Zcash (ZEC) is up 4% at press time on Tuesday, attempting to break above a resistance trendline and reverse the prevailing five-month decline. A double-digit surge in ZEC futures Open Interest (OI) in the last 24 hours signals renewed retail strength for the privacy coin.
Japan’s Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said during European trading hours on Tuesday that the administration remains focused on mitigating risks to the Japanese economy in the wake of the Middle East war.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY traded quietly between 159.28 and 159.82, closing at 159.68, with a firm underlying tone.
Societe Generale economists describe a quiet week in the UK, with Gilt yields easing as markets trimmed Bank of England (BoE) hike expectations after Governor Bailey pushed back on tightening.
EUR/CAD gains ground as the Euro (EUR) receives support from the hawkish tone of the European Central Bank (ECB). The currency cross is trading around 1.6100 during the European hours on Tuesday.
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its decline, trading below $69,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after being rejected from a key technical level the previous day.
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $72.88 per troy ounce, up 0.12% from the $72.79 it cost on Monday.