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Forex Today: US Dollar extends slide as softer US data and Iran optimism reshape markets

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 98.10 region, reaching multi-week lows as softer inflation data and improving global sentiment led to a broad sell-off of the Greenback. Declining Oil prices and easing yields further contributed to the downward pressure.

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USD/KRW: Two-way trade with geopolitical risk – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/KRW traded higher on heightened Middle East tensions and Oil gains, with Korean Won pressured as a higher-beta, net Oil importer currency.

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WTI Oil retreats for second day on US-Iran diplomacy hopes, Hormuz risks cap downside

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil declines on Tuesday, with the barrel trading around $89.10 at the time of writing, down 3.93% on the day.

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USD/SGD: MAS tightening supports stronger Singapore Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Moses Lim note that Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has tightened policy by slightly increasing the pace of Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) appreciation, focusing on inflation rather than growth.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs as soft PPI, Iran ceasefire hopes lift sentiment

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained around 300 points, or 0.6%, trading near 48,500. The S&P 500 rose 1.1% while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.8%, led by a broad rally in technology names.

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USD/JPY tumbles as softer US data and BoJ hawkish tilt collide with shifting war sentiment

The USD/JPY pair is trading with a bearish bias near the 158.90 region on Tuesday, extending recent losses as the US Dollar (USD) continues to soften amid improving risk sentiment on renewed hopes of United States (US)-Iran negotiations.

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Asia FX: Mixed implications of Strait of Hormuz risk – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan highlights that Trump has begun a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but risk assets have rebounded as talks between the US and Iran continue.

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ECB’s President Lagarde: We have to be data dependent

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), spoke to Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. She claimed that they need to keep an eye on the medium term while checking data.

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USD/CAD pares losses as Oil slides below $90 on US-Iran talks optimism

USD/CAD trims some of its earlier losses on Tuesday as easing Oil prices on renewed US-Iran talks optimism weigh on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD), helping the pair recover from intraday lows even as improving risk sentiment keeps the US Dollar (USD) under broad pressure.

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Bessent says Fed should wait for Warsh before cutting rates now

The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent crossed the wires earlier, stating that he’s “quite confident” that core prices would continue to edge lower in the US despite the Iran war, and that he’s pressing the Federal Reserve to cut rates.

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Bittensor Price Forecast: TAO accelerates sell-off despite broader crypto market recovery

Bittensor (TAO) is in an active downward trend, down nearly 3% to trade around $252 at the time of writing on Tuesday. Sentiment surrounding the crypto Artificial Intelligence (AI) market has remained significantly depressed since last week, following the exit of subnet developer Covenant AI.

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United States 52-Week Bill Auction up to 3.56% from previous 3.485%

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps near $79 as Dollar weakens on softer US inflation

Silver (XAG/USD) surges on Tuesday, trading around $78.80 at the time of writing, up 4.16% on the day as strong buying interest pushed Silver to a daily high of $79.32.

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GBP/USD nears 1.3590 as softer US PPI sinks Dollar demand

The Pound Sterling advances as traders remain optimistic about a possible resolution to the US-Iran conflict. At the same time, the US Dollar weakens amid a hot US inflation report that missed forecasts for a higher print. The GBP/USD trades near 1.3590, gaining 0.61%.

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GBP/USD: Upside bias with limited resistance – Scotiabank

Scotiabank notes the Pound is up 0.3% versus the Dollar, trading at pre‑conflict highs as investors welcome strong demand for UK debt. Domestic data risk is light before trade and industrial production, while BoE speakers, including Gov. Bailey, pose event risk.

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BoE’s Greene: Second-round effects

Megan Greene, external member of the Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), Reuters reported on Tuesday that the United Kingdom’s (UK) economic activity was weak before the Iran war but that at the same time, the war impact is inflationary.

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WH Sr. Adviser Hassett: Outlook for Fed having room to cut rates is going to be very solid

Kevin Hassett, Senior Adviser for the White House told Fox Business on Tuesday that they expect a rapid reduction in energy prices once the Strait of Hormuz is reopened.

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Fed’s Goolsbee: We will get inflation to 2%

Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, told AP at the Semafor World Economy conference on Tuesday that the longer the Middle East concerns go, the cut could be pushed out of 2026.

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EUR/USD rises to 1.1800 as USD hits six-week lows on US-Iran deal hopes, soft PPI

The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with EUR/USD extending gains for a seventh consecutive day and returning to levels last seen when the US-Iran conflict began. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1800, up roughly 0.37% on the day.

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China: Trade surplus slide raises growth risks – ING

ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s March trade surplus dropped to a 13‑month low as exports slowed and imports surged, especially in tech-related categories.

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USD/CAD: Bearish setup as valuation gap narrows – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is making modest gains versus a softer US Dollar (USD), though it lags core majors and weakens on crosses. They estimate USD/CAD equilibrium at 1.3527, with undervaluation correcting mainly via Dollar softness.

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Asian FX: MAS tightening and strategic chokepoints – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists underline that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has tightened policy via the exchange rate despite weak GDP, reacting to potential core inflation from the energy shock.

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CEE FX: Hungary favoured, Romania and Czech on hold – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects March inflation in Romania to stay above 10% in coming months, peaking near 11%, keeping the National Bank of Romania on hold with no rate cuts in 2026.

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GBP/JPY extends rally to 2008 highs as elevated Oil prices weigh on the Yen

GBP/JPY advances on Tuesday, extending gains for a seventh consecutive day as elevated Oil prices continue to weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY), while improving market sentiment, driven by renewed hopes of US-Iran negotiations, supports the British Pound (GBP).

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USD: Rebound fades with renewed selling – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar index has quickly surrendered its early-week rebound, returning close to pre‑conflict levels as optimism grows over further US–Iran talks and Middle East deescalation.

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Ripple Price Forecast: XRP remains rangebound amid steady institutional and retail interest

Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.37 at the time of writing on Tuesday, with its upside largely capped below the $1.40 supply threshold.

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Gulf region: Shock resilience and investment outlook – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas’ Stéphane ALBY assesses how Gulf economies are absorbing the conflict-related shock. He notes that Oil exports via the Strait of Hormuz have been severely disrupted, with Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar hit hardest, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE partially benefit from higher Oil prices.

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United States Redbook Index (YoY) declined to 7% in April 10 from previous 7.6%

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