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Gold sinks 2% as Iran war fuels fresh inflation shock

Gold price retreats by over 2.30% on Friday amid fears that prolonged hostilities between the US and Iran could trigger a second wave of inflation, forcing central banks to hike interest rates. The XAU/USD trades at $4,551 after bottoming at around $4,511.

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Euro gains against British Pound amid rising UK leadership uncertainty

EUR/GBP climbs to near one-month highs on Friday as rising political uncertainty in the United Kingdom pressures the British Pound (GBP). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8726, on track for weekly gains.

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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count climbed from previous 410 to 415

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WTI Oil extends rally as Trump signals Chinese buying, Hormuz supply risks persist

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil extends its rally on Friday, with the US benchmark trading around $100.90 at the time of writing, up 3.13% on the day, and breaking above the $100 level to reach a fresh weekly high.

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Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.14%, below expectations (0.3%) in April

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Colombia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) in line with expectations (2.2%) in 1Q

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British Pound tumbles as UK turmoil, Iran risks lift USD

The GBP/USD extends its losses for the fourth straight day, poised to finish the week down more than 2% as political turmoil in the UK and increased speculation that Starmer’s successor could widen fiscal deficits weigh on the currency.

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United Kingdom: Leadership race shapes fiscal outlook – TD Securities

TD Securities’ James Rossiter and Julie Ioffe argue that Prime Minister Starmer is likely to be replaced by late September, with Labour’s leadership race centering on Burnham, Streeting, Rayner and Miliband.

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Colombia Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 13.4%, above expectations (10.1%) in March

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Euro: Growth downgrades and softer outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists highlights that Eurozone 2026 GDP forecasts have been cut more than United States (US) projections in percentage terms, reinforcing United States (US) outperformance.

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Euro falls as hawkish Fed expectations boost the US Dollar, Treasury yields

The Euro (EUR) extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with EUR/USD slipping to near one-month lows as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations boost the Greenback and US Treasury yields.

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Canadian Dollar falls despite increased Oil prices

The USD/CAD pair elevated near the 1.3760 level on Friday and remains supported by persistent inflation concerns and rising US Treasury yields following this week’s hotter-than-expected US inflation data.

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Australian Dollar extends sharp decline as Fed hike repricing lifts US Dollar

AUD/USD falls sharply on Friday and trades around 0.7155 at the time of writing, down 0.91% on the day, after hitting its lowest level in more than a week. The pair remains under heavy selling pressure for the second consecutive day amid broad-based US Dollar (USD) strength.

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Japan: Solid GDP but JPY still weighed by trade – DBS

DBS economists Taimur Baig and Radhika Rao expect Japan’s 1Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to grow 1.8% QoQ saar, supported by firm exports and AI- and semiconductor-related investment, keeping their 0.5% full-year GDP forecast on track.

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Ripple Forecast: XRP rebound takes a breather as addresses in profit rise to 65%

Ripple (XRP) is grinding lower and testing support at $1.43 at the time of writing on Friday. It is pressured by strong bearish waves from the supply range at $1.50, which has capped its upside since Monday. 

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Platinum: Repeated deficits tighten stocks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank's Commodity Analyst Barbara Lambrecht reports that focus in London is turning to Platinum group metals as the World Platinum Investment Council prepares updated forecasts.

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Canada: Energy lifts CPI, BoC focus on core – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Senior Canada Economist Robert Both expects Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to rise to 3.1% year-on-year in April, driven mainly by higher energy and food prices and base effects from last year’s carbon tax changes.

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US Dollar: Hawkish Fed repricing drives breakout – ING

ING's Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) is gaining strong short-term momentum as hotter US data reinforce expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) hike.

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USD/CAD: Overvaluation stretch risks further upside – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that USD/CAD is grinding higher into the mid‑1.37s, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) underperforming but still faring better than many G10 commodity peers.

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United States Industrial Production expands 0.7% in April

Industrial Production in the United States (US) expanded by 0.7% on a monthly basis in April, the Federal Reserve (Fed) reported on Friday. This print followed the 0.3% contraction reported in March and came in better than the market expectation for an increase of 0.3%.

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Oil: Supply-chain stress scenarios – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists outline how a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could affect Oil and refined products.

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United States Industrial Production (MoM) came in at 0.7%, above forecasts (0.3%) in April

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United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.1%, above forecasts (75.8%) in April

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD drops 8% as hawkish Fed expectations pressure metals

Silver (XAG/USD) plunges on Friday, erasing all gains recorded earlier this week as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations push US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) higher.

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Aluminium: Supply gap and thin stocks risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that Aluminium production in China has exceeded official caps thanks to high prices and ample alumina, but this may not fully offset disrupted Gulf supply.

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Russia Central Bank Reserves $ increased to $771B from previous $757.5B

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Japanese Yen extends losing streak on hawkish Fed bets, intervention risk limits downside

USD/JPY trades around 158.55 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.11% on the day, as the pair extends its bullish momentum for a fifth straight day.

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British Pound: Forecast points to softer GBP vs Dollar – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that while US yields have risen sharply since the conflict with Iran, the Dollar’s appreciation has been relatively modest because rates have also increased elsewhere.

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