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Eurozone GDP rises 0.3% QoQ in Q4 2025, second estimate confirms

The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.3% in the final quarter (Q4) of 2025, the second estimate released by Eurostat showed on Friday, confirming the preliminary reading,

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Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. increased to €11.6B in December from previous €10.7B

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Eurozone Employment Change (QoQ) came in at 0.2%, above expectations (0.1%) in 4Q

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Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) meets forecasts (0.3%) in 4Q

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Eurozone Employment Change (YoY) meets forecasts (0.6%) in 4Q

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Eurozone Trade Balance n.s.a. climbed from previous €9.9B to €12.6B in December

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Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) above expectations (1.3%) in 4Q: Actual (1.4%)

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GBP/JPY Price Forecasts: Bulls might find resistance at the 209.65 area

The Pound (GBP) is trimming losses against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday, with the pair returning above 209.00 after bouncing at nearly two-week lows at 207.60.

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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $78.91 per troy ounce, up 5.52% from the $74.78 it cost on Thursday.

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USD: Slightly bid into CPI – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner say the Dollar is modestly supported into US CPI, helped by a tech-led risk-off tone and short-term undervaluation versus G10 peers.

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China M2 Money Supply (YoY) above expectations (8.4%) in January: Actual (9%)

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China New Loans registered at 4710B, below expectations (5000B) in January

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S&P 500: Tech-led selloff and AI disruption fears – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts describe a broad risk-off session where the S&P 500 logged a third straight decline, led by heavy losses in software and mega-cap tech.

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EUR/USD: Gradual rise to 1.22 by year-end – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s strategy team keeps a constructive view on the Euro versus the Dollar, forecasting EUR/USD at 1.19 in Q1 2026 and a gradual rise to 1.22 by year-end.

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Fed: No cuts view strengthened on data – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich, reiterates their call for no interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Strong US growth, a tight labour market, a weaker Dollar and higher commodity prices are seen limiting disinflation.

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NZD/USD Price Forecasts: Drifts below 0.6030 amid mounting bearish pressure 

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is coming under increasing bearish pressure on Friday, amid a firmer US Dollar (USD), favoured by the dismal market mood.

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Euro area: Cooling labour market with modest job gains – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team expects the second estimate of Euro area Q4 2025 GDP to confirm modest employment growth. National data show strong job gains in Spain but slight declines in France and Germany, leading the bank to project Euro area employment up 0.1% quarter-on-quarter.

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USD/CHF edges up above 0.7000 following negative Swiss CPI data

The US Dollar (USD) posts moderate gains against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, returning to levels above 0.7700 to trade at 0.7714 at the time of writing.

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Fed: Trading a prolonged hold – TD Securities

TD Securities’ US Rates Strategist Molly Brooks (McGown) argues that with the Federal Reserve likely to keep policy on hold for longer, market uncertainty shifts to the timing and number of future rate cuts.

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Spain Consumer Price Index (MoM) meets forecasts (-0.4%) in January

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Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.4%) in January: Actual (2.3%)

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Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) below expectations (-0.7%) in January: Actual (-0.8%)

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Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) registered at 2.4%, below expectations (2.5%) in January

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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Tests 1.3600 support near lower ascending channel boundary

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3600 during the European hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias, as the pair trades within an ascending channel pattern.

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Eurozone: Leaders push single market plan – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski and Bert Colijn describe how EU leaders discussed restoring European competitiveness and long‑term growth at an informal summit in Belgium, which took place on February 12.

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Canada: Spending momentum cools into 2026 – RBC Economics

RBC Economics’ Consumer Spending Tracker report, authored by Abbey Xu and Rachel Battaglia, shows Canadian cardholder spending softening in January 2026 after strong late‑2025 gains.

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Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (0.1%) in January

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Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at -0.1%, below expectations (0%) in January

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