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NZD/USD gains as weaker US Dollar offsets cautious US-Iran headlines

The NZD/USD starts the session near the 0.5880 region on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid shifting Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and mixed developments surrounding negotiations between the US and Iran.

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British Pound rises as Burnham reassures, Starmer pressure mounts

The British Pound extended its gains on Monday as political pressure over Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer increased. At the same time, Andy Burnham—the challenger to succeed Starmer—ruled out changing Chancellor Reeves’ fiscal rules if he becomes PM.

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United States Total Net TIC Flows dipped from previous $184.5B to $150.7B in March

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United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows: $81.3B (March) vs $58.6B

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Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine boosts ETH holdings as Lee sees buying opportunity

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) expanded its digital asset stash again last week despite the crypto market decline.

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Forex Today: US Dollar falls as markets assess Fed transition and US-Iran negotiations

The US Dollar Index (DXY) falls toward the 99.10 region on Monday as traders assess fresh geopolitical headlines and the upcoming leadership transition at the Federal Reserve (Fed).

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Trump says US halted planned attack on Iran after requests from Middle East leaders

United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Monday that he has ordered a pause on a planned US military attack scheduled for Tuesday after appeals from Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) leaders.

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Asian FX: Oil shock and US yields pressure importers – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights that Asian Emerging Markets (EM) currencies have weakened as higher US real yields, a stronger Dollar and elevated Oil prices weigh on sentiment.

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Taiwan: AI cycle boosts growth outlook – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Tommy Wu raises Taiwan’s 2026 growth forecast to 9.5% from 7.6% after much stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP data. The AI supercycle and robust exports are seen as key drivers, while private consumption benefits from government cash handouts and a tech-led stock rally.

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Japan Finance Minister Katayama: Volatility in Oil prices is affecting the forex market

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Monday that the volatility in Oil prices is affecting the forex market. Speaking to reporters after the first day of the G7 Finance Ministers meeting in France, she added that she is seeing speculative moves in the financial markets.

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Strategy scoops $2B in Bitcoin as Iran launches BTC-backed shipping insurance

Strategy announced that it acquired 24,869 Bitcoin (BTC) for approximately $2.01 billion last week, marking one of its largest purchases in recent weeks.

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China: Targeted support offsets April slump – TD Securities

Alex Loo at TD Securities highlights that China’s April data were weak, with soft retail sales and falling investment, while exports and housing prices offered some relief.

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Singapore: K-shaped NODX upswing to persist – UOB

UOB economist Jester Koh highlights a strong rebound in Singapore’s Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX), led by electronics and pharmaceuticals, with petrochemicals slightly softer.

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Gold steadies as USD slips, Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold (XAU/USD) price steadies on Monday after reaching a daily low beneath $4,500, as the US Dollar is on the back foot amid fears that the energy shock spurred by the Middle East conflict could trigger a second wave of inflation.

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Fed Warsh will be sworn in on Friday at the White House

A White House official said that the US President Donald Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman on Friday, May 22nd, at the White House.

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US–Iran talks strain as Washington accepts temporary Oil sanctions relief

Rumors about the US-Iran conflict emerged during the last minutes. Axios reported Iran’s last proposal to the US is seen by the White House as “insufficient for a deal,” according to a Senior US official.

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Australian Dollar advances as easing Iran tensions weigh on USD, RBA minutes awaited

AUD/USD trades around 0.7160 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.15% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) corrects lower after its recent rebound.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average futures recover from weekend plunge, barely

DJIA futures clawed back from a weekend-driven plunge on Monday, recovering from session lows above 49,000 to trade close to Friday's closing levels by mid-afternoon. The bounce came despite a backdrop of higher Oil prices, elevated sovereign bond yields, and unresolved US-Iran tensions.

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Japanese Yen falls ahead of Japan GDP as Kihara warns over bond-market volatility

The USD/JPY pair rises toward the 158.90 region as traders position ahead of Japan’s Q1 GDP release.

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Ripple Price Forecast: XRP stares at deeper losses as retail demand fades

Ripple (XRP) remains pressured below $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday, reflecting a broader sell-off in the crypto market.

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China: Growth slowdown and reflation risks – ING

ING’s Lynn Song highlights that China’s April data showed broad-based weakness in domestic activity, with retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment all disappointing.

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Canadian Dollar edges slightly higher as traders await CPI and FOMC minutes

USD/CAD trades around 1.3740 on Monday at the time of writing, down modestly by 0.05% on the day. The pullback in the US Dollar (USD) against its major peers is weighing on the pair after signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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British Pound: Fiscal worries keep Sterling in danger zone – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that the global bond selloff is approaching levels where borrowing costs exceed nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.

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Equities: Energy shock risks to AI investment – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Madhur Jha assesses how the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the current energy shock could challenge AI optimism. The bank highlights near-term risks to semiconductor input supplies and longer-term risks to AI investment and demand.

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United States NAHB Housing Market Index above expectations (35) in May: Actual (37)

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Europe: Rearmament reshapes growth outlook – Nordea

Nordea's Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen argues that rapidly rising defense spending in Europe represents a historic fiscal expansion that can support GDP in the short term but raises medium‑term risks.

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RBA: Rate hike timing questions persist – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists reiterate their view that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely need to raise the cash rate to 4.60% in this cycle. They note that the May policy statement suggests hesitation to hike in June, and expects the RBA minutes to clarify this.

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The Clarity Act: Finally, a path out of the SEC enforcement chaos

Operating a crypto-related business in the United States over the past decade has felt a lot less like being in a fast-paced technology environment and more like stepping on eggshells, with a series of hits and misses with regulatory authorities.

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