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Forex Today: DXY steadies as resilient US data keep FX markets on edge

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading with a neutral tone near the 98.50 area, supported by safe-haven demand and elevated US yields even after upbeat US data. Price action remains choppy amid shifting Middle East headlines.

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Philippines: Inflation surge raises BSP hike risks – ING

ING’s Deepali Bhargava highlights that Philippine Consumer Price Index (CPI) has jumped to a three‑year high, driven mainly by broad‑based food and fuel‑related pressures, and now looks set to average above 8% in 2Q.

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Silver Price Analysis: Capped below $75, as momentum remains bearish

Silver price trims some of its Monday losses, recovering some ground up 0.69% in the day, trading at $73.22 after bouncing off a daily low of $72.42. An improvement in risk appetite is underpinning the precious metals segment.

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Gold rebounds from one-month lows as ceasefire lifts buying interest

Gold (XAU/USD) advances nearly 1% on Tuesday as a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran improves risk appetite, with Wall Street trading higher. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,560 after bouncing off one-month lows of $4,500.

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India: BJP gains and market focus – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao analyses recent Indian state election results, highlighting the BJP’s (Bharatiya Janata Party) historic gains in West Bengal and a third-term win in Assam, alongside shifts in Tamil Nadu and Kerala.

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USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bears remain in control below 1.3700

The USD/CAD pair trades in a narrow range on Tuesday, with choppy price action as a mild pullback in Oil prices puts modest pressure on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3619 after hitting an intraday low of 1.3604.

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Asian FX: Oil shock keeps currencies on back foot – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that Asian FX has softened again as Oil prices jump on renewed Middle East tensions and concerns over the Strait of Hormuz.

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USD/JPY: Upside risks grow with intervention threat – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Japanese Yen (JPY) is underperforming, with USD/JPY modestly higher and clearing the low 157s in thin holiday trade. Wider yield spreads and lingering intervention risk keep price action erratic.

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Silver price weakens as fragile momentum, hawkish rate outlook cap upside

Silver (XAG/USD) trades lower on Tuesday, hovering around $73.05 at the time of writing, down 0.65% on the day, as the white metal struggles to gain traction despite a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD).

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Canada: Trade outlook stabilizes with energy boost – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen notes that higher Oil and Gold exports pushed Canada’s trade balance back into surplus in March, even as non-energy exports remain under pressure from U.S. tariffs.

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Jupiter Price Prediction: JUP recovery gains traction as Securitize launches tokenized equities on DEX

Jupiter (JUP) edges up above $0.1900 at the time of writing on Tuesday, up from the daily low at $0.1820. The token native to the decentralized exchange (DEX) exhibits growing recovery signals, raising the odds of a short-term breakout above the immediate $0.2000 resistance level.

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EUR/USD holds firm as weaker US economic data and yields weigh on USD

The Euro (EUR) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as a mild pullback in Oil prices pushes US Treasury yields lower, adding pressure on the Greenback. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1701, rebounding from an intraday low of 1.1676.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs back above 49,000 as Oil eases, earnings beat

US equities are trading higher on Tuesday as crude prices ease and a wave of stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings reinforces the thesis that profits, not policy, are doing the heavy lifting in this market.

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New Zealand GDT Price Index: 1.5% vs -2.7%

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AUD/USD surges near 0.7197 after RBA hike, weakened US Dollar

The AUD/USD pair is surging near the 0.7190 price zone, building upside momentum after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a fresh rate hike. Markets now shift their focus toward what comes next in the policy path.

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GBP/USD rises as fragile ceasefire lifts risk appetite, trims USD

The Pound Sterling rises by over 0.20% as risk appetite improves. The ceasefire between the US and Iran, although fragile, is holding, pushing oil prices lower, the US Dollar lower, and US equities higher. Hence, the risk-sensitive GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3560, with buyers eyeing 1.3600.

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AUD: RBA steady but risk of further hike – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia notes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifted the cash rate to 4.35% in an 8-1 decision, but Governor Bullock later softened the hawkish tone. The bank’s baseline is for no further hikes, though risks lean toward another move in H2 if growth stays above trend.

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TTF: Gas market seen underpricing risks – ING

ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that European gas benchmark TTF has climbed to its highest level since early April following renewed tensions in the Persian Gulf.

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EUR/USD: Range trade persists with hawkish ECB – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Euro (EUR) is flat versus the US Dollar (USD), with EUR/USD stuck in a range as markets weigh conflict-related inflation risks and a hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) stance.

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Gold: Oil link and Chinese demand in focus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht notes that since the Iran war began, Oil has been the main driver of Gold, via inflation and rate expectations. Gold briefly stabilized near USD 4,600 per ounce before slipping below USD 4,550 on stronger US data and higher Oil.

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Dogwifhat Price Forecast: WIF lifts up near $0.20 as bullish signals emerge

Dogwifhat (WIF) is showing signs of extending daily gains, trading near the $0.2000 short-term barrier at the time of writing on Tuesday. The meme coin has sustained recovery for the second consecutive day, building on broader positive market sentiment.

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GBP/JPY rises as Oil-driven Yen weakness and BoE-BoJ rate gap sustain bullish bias

GBP/JPY edges higher on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen tumbles across the board, with the impact of Tokyo’s intervention fading and attention shifting back to ongoing tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 213.90, up nearly 0.53% on the day.

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DXY: Cautious upside risks persist – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near key moving averages, with markets reluctant to extend USD longs despite renewed Middle East tensions.

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US JOLTS Job Openings decline to 6.866 million in March

The number of job openings in the United States (US) printed at 6.866 million in March, down from the revised 6.922 million in February, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover (JOLTS) report on Tuesday.

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France Budget Balance dipped from previous €-32.12B to €-42.9B in March

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AUD/USD: RBA pause signal caps upside – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Australian Dollar (AUD) fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a widely expected 25 bps hike to 4.35% and signalled a data‑dependent pause.

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USD/CAD: Bearish bias holds below resistance – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is slightly firmer with USD/CAD holding near prior ranges. A softer US Dollar (USD) and firmer risk appetite are seen as mildly supportive for the CAD, while fair value has shifted lower toward 1.3424.

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United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) above forecasts (42) in May: Actual (42.6)

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