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RBA: Rate hike timing questions persist – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists reiterate their view that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely need to raise the cash rate to 4.60% in this cycle. They note that the May policy statement suggests hesitation to hike in June, and expects the RBA minutes to clarify this.

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Gold back to $5,400? Here’s why Goldman Sachs still sees bullish potential ahead

Central banks are expected to increase their Gold purchases in 2026, analysts at Goldman Sachs say, supporting a much-needed boost to the precious metal toward the end of the year. 

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European gas: TTF strengthens on Gulf risks – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report renewed strength in European gas, with TTF breaking above EUR50/MWh as Middle East risks persist.

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Ethereum, Ripple, Solana and Dogecoin brace for bearish week as ETF outflows deepen market stress

The broader cryptocurrency market is under intense selling pressure as Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $77,000 on Monday, triggering a bearish cascading effect in altcoins.

Euro: Bearish Dollar consensus limits downside – Societe Generale

Kit Juckes at Societe Generale highlights that EUR/USD has lost downward momentum after slipping from 1.18 to 1.16, despite risk-off conditions and tumbling sentiment indicators.

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US Dollar: Long-end selloff and Fed focus – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team notes a sharp bear steepening in US yields, with 30-year rates holding above 5% for four consecutive days for the first time since 2007. Markets now price in just over one additional Fed hike between July 2026 and June 2027.

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Silver price rebounds on softer Dollar amid US-Iran talks, high yields limit upside

Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $76.55 on Monday, up 0.80% on the day at the time of writing, as the white metal stabilizes after last week’s heavy sell-off.

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British Pound: Political uncertainty pressures Sterling and gilts – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman expects the British Pound (GBP) to stay on a softer footing as UK political uncertainty rises.

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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bulls remain in charge with 0.7850 capping losses

The US Dollar (USD) hesitates against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Monday after rallying nearly 1.2% in the four previous trading days.

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Oil: Supply risks and policy shifts support prices – BNY

BNY's Bob Savage highlights that the Iran conflict, a drone attack in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and refinery constraints are pushing Brent toward $110, with fears of airline shutdowns and refinery limits.

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Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend decline as weak sentiment, ETF outflows weigh

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly edging lower on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading below $77,000. This downturn represents a 7% pullback from Bitcoin’s May high of $82,850, underscoring a broad shift toward risk-off sentiment across crypto markets.

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Japanese Yen: Intervention threat capping losses versus US Dollar – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Japan is close to the global ‘danger zone’ in bonds as more JGB issuance is planned to fund additional spending. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has called for a supplementary budget to offset higher commodity prices linked to the Iran war.

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AUD/USD: Momentum points to break of 0.7100 – UOB

United Overseas Bank's (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann turn more negative on AUD/USD after a sharp sell-off toward 0.7140. They now sees a real chance of testing and breaking the major 0.7100 support, with 0.7065 as the next downside level.

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD steadies above $4,500 awaiting news from Iran

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading flat above $4,500 on Monday, stabilising after a four-day sell-off from $4,770. Investors await developments in the Middle East conflict as a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry affirmed earlier on the day that the US-Iran talks are ongoing.

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AUD/USD Price Forecast: Flattens around 0.7150 after recovering early losses

The AUD/USD pair trades flat around 0.7150 during the European trading session on Monday after recovering significant early losses. The Aussie pair bounces back as the US Dollar (USD) turns upside down on renewed hopes that the United States (US) and Iran will reach a deal soon.

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United Kingdom: Sluggish jobs outlook persists – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects the United Kingdom (UK) labour market to remain weak after a surprise drop in the jobless rate driven by self-employment.

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IMF Staff: BoE doesn’t need to raise interest rates this year

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff, the Bank of England (BoE) doesn’t need to raise rates this year, based on the current energy price outlook.

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Chinese Yuan: Stimulus hopes as PBoC defends 6.8 – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists judge China’s April data as weak, citing higher Oil prices and soft consumer sentiment. They expect targeted fiscal stimulus focused on infrastructure and see the PBoC remaining cautious on easing.

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US Dollar: Structural risks behind yield-driven strength – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee argues that recent US Dollar (USD) resilience reflects higher-for-longer US yields rather than genuine fundamental strength.

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Australian Dollar climbs against Yen as structural forces weigh on JPY

AUD/JPY trades around 113.65 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.16% on the day. The pair rebounds as persistent weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY) supports the cross, despite disappointing economic data from China limiting gains for the Australian Dollar (AUD).

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US Dollar Index (DXY) eases to 99.10 amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal

The US Dollar (USD) shows moderate losses against its main currency peers on Monday, as rumours about ongoing US-Iran negotiations have lifted market sentiment during the European session.

Euro: Bond sell-off weighs against US Dollar – ING

ING’s Chris Turner argues that higher long-dated yields and elevated energy prices are negative for Eurozone growth and thus for the Euro. He expects the European Central Bank to keep sounding hawkish to avoid losing control of long-end yields.

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Japanese Yen: Fiscal risks and energy shock weigh on JPY – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar’s (USD) renewed strength and higher US yields have helped USD/JPY trade back above 159.00 overnight, with the pair moving closer to 160.00.

출처  Fxstreet1779098196
IEA warns of rapid Oil inventory drawdowns, finite reserve support

Oil markets remain on alert after new comments from International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol, reported by Reuters on Monday.

출처  Fxstreet1779097909
Equities: Bond-oil pressure hits sentiment – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists note that the S&P 500 has extended its run to seven consecutive weekly gains, the longest since 2023, even as rising bond yields and Oil prices triggered the worst daily decline since March.

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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $76.02 per troy ounce, up 0.11% from the $75.94 it cost on Friday.

출처  Fxstreet1779096647
British Pound: Downside risk versus US Dollar below 200-DMA – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists argue that the British Pound (GBP) and Gilts face a pivotal period as the Bank of England (BoE) reacts to persistent inflation and wage pressures, which have slowed the pace of rate cuts and hurt long-end Gilts.

출처  Fxstreet1779096530
New Zealand Dollar advances as US Dollar correction outweighs weak Chinese data

NZD/USD rebounds around 0.5860 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.35% on the day, after earlier touching a low near 0.5822 following disappointing economic data from China.

출처  Fxstreet1779096394
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