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US intelligence says Iran government is not at risk of collapse — Reuters

US intelligence showed that Iran's leadership is still mostly intact and is not at risk of collapse any time soon after over two weeks of nonstop US and Israeli bombardment, Reuters reported on Wednesday.

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Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations: 5.2% (March) vs 5%

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United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance came in at -12% below forecasts (-9%) in February

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Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index (QoQ) came in at 3.8, below expectations (5.5) in 1Q

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks down to ¥385.5B in March 6 from previous ¥973.9B

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US President Donald Trump: IEA decision to release oil from reserve will reduce oil prices

US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the US knocked out Iran's navy and leaders. Trump added that the International Energy Agency (IEA) decision to release oil from reserves will substantially reduce oil prices.

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Sea drones target oil tankers in the Middle East as conflict risks widen — Reuters

Naval drones have been used in at least two attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf region since war erupted between the United States (US), Israel and Iran, suggesting ‌a dangerous new threat in the key shipping lane, Reuters reported on Wednesday.

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Rare earths: Strategic leverage in US–China tensions – Rabobank

RaboResearch highlights that US rare earths inventories may cover only about two months after depletion from the Iran conflict, potentially giving China significant leverage.

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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Drops below 200-day SMA, targets 1.1500 level

The EUR/USD tumbles for the second straight day after clashing with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1672 on Tuesday, due to overall US Dollar strength.

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New Zealand Manufacturing Sales declined to -0.5% in 4Q from previous 1.1%

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KRW: BoK defends won as oil shock bites – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Moses Lim notes that higher Oil prices and heavy reliance on Middle Eastern crude have kept KRW volatile, with USD/KRW trading between 1,420 and 1,500 and the won down year-to-date.

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AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Pair nears 13-year high amid Middle East conflict

The AUD/NZD cross is trading near the 1.2100 price region on Wednesday, touching its highest level in 13 years amid market chaos due to the Middle East war between Israel, the US and Iran.

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AUD/USD surges past 0.7150 as RBA hike bets strengthen

The Australian Dollar extends its gains on Wednesday amid growing speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will raise rates at next week’s meeting. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.7152, up 0.47%.

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Forex Today: US Dollar rebounds after Iran conflict sparks Oil volatility and safe-haven demand

The conflict between the United States (US), Israel and Iran continues apace after Iran's military commented that the world should be prepared for Oil to hit $200 a barrel. Iran has kept the Strait of Hormuz closed and attacked three vessels near it on Wednesday.

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China: Energy shock cushioned but PBoC constrained – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO analysts argue China is exposed to Iran-related Oil and LNG disruptions but cushioned by large reserves, diversified imports and rising renewables.

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Binance sues The Wall Street Journal over Iran-linked transaction report

Binance has filed a lawsuit against The Wall Street Journal over a February 23 report alleging the exchange was involved in cryptocurrency transactions linked to sanctioned Iranian entities.

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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Traders eye 0.7800 as RSI turns bullish

USD/CHF posted back-to-back bullish days on Wednesday, rising by over 0.25% after the latest US inflation report and as high energy prices pushed US Treasury yields higher, consequently the US Dollar. At the time of writing, the pair trades near 0.7800.

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PLN: Political tensions to keep zloty lagging – Commerzbank

Tatha Ghose at Commerzbank highlights rising political uncertainty in Poland, including potential vetoes of defence-related EU funding legislation and a hard-right opposition candidate for 2027.

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Gold slips as US Dollar, yields rise on Oil-driven inflation fears

Gold (XAU/USD) prices edge lower on Wednesday amid broad US Dollar (USD) strength following the release of US inflation data, which maintained the status quo.

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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Sellers target 1.1500 as bearish momentum builds

The Euro (EUR) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the Greenback remains well supported amid cautious market sentiment driven by the ongoing US-Iran war.

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Netherlands: Inflation sensitivity to Iran energy shock – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists see the Dutch economy broadly mirroring Eurozone dynamics under Iran conflict scenarios, with transmission mainly via higher inflation rather than deep growth damage.

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USD/CAD Price Analysis: US Dollar Rebounds as IEA Oil release weighs on CAD

The USD/CAD pair is trading near the 1.3580 level, regaining its footing in Wednesday's American session after the International Energy Agency (IEA) agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil to address the supply disruption from the Iran war.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls as US Dollar gains, geopolitical risks persist

Silver (XAG/USD) trades lower on Wednesday, hovering around $85.30 at the time of writing, down 2.12% on the day. The precious metal struggles to extend its recent gains as a rebound in the US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury yields weigh on demand for non-yielding assets.

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United States 10-Year Note Auction increased to 4.217% from previous 4.177%

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Egypt: Easing delayed as inflation rebounds – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Bader Al Sarraf now expects the Central Bank of Egypt to keep policy rates at 19% through FY26, postponing earlier plans for near-term easing. The bank still forecasts a 13% policy rate by end-2026, assuming conditions stabilise.

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USD/JPY rises as Oil supply fears and firm USD keep Yen under pressure

USD/JPY extends gains on Wednesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure amid concerns over Oil supply disruptions linked to the US-Iran war, as Japan relies heavily on imported energy, particularly from the Middle East.

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NZD/USD pressured by Middle East war, RBNZ rate hike outlook

NZD/USD trades lower on Wednesday, hovering around 0.5910 at the time of writing and down 0.38% on the day. The Kiwi remains under pressure as investors stay cautious amid persistent risk aversion in global markets, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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GBP/USD steadies near 1.34 despite Oil shock, hot US inflation

The Pound Sterling remains firm during the North American session, even though the Middle East conflict entered its twelfth day of hostilities. Inflation in the US boosted the Greenback’s prospects, yet GBP/USD trades at around 1.3400, virtually unchanged.

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