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GBP/USD hesitates with NFP and UK construction PMI in focus

GBP/USD gained around 0.4% on Wednesday, settling close to 1.3595 after testing 1.3645 and failing to clear the 1.3600 handle on the close.

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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Breaks below 213.00 eyes on 212.00

GBP/JPY retreats over 0.55% on Wednesday as the Japanese Yen strengthened in the aftermath of last week’s intervention in the FX markets by Japanese authorities. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 212.60 after reaching a daily peak of 214.23.

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South Korea FX Reserves increased to 427.88B in April from previous 423.66B

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Ethereum Price Forecast: Institutional buying improves, but native crypto interest weakens

Ethereum (ETH) is seeing a return of institutional interest after US spot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) posted $97.5 million in net inflows on Tuesday.

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Indonesia: Fiscal slippage keeps bearish bias – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts Kunal Kundu and Galvin Chia say Indonesia’s early‑2026 fiscal deterioration is driven by front‑loaded expenditure, with the primary balance already in deficit and raising financing needs.

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Forex Today: DXY falls after Middle East tensions ease, markets eye US NFP

The US Dollar Index (DXY) slides near the 98.00 area, with limited losses supported by resilient United States (US) data but capped by improving risk sentiment after Axios reported that the US and Iran are moving closer to a deal aimed at ending the conflict.

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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Drops below 0.7800, bears target 0.7750

USD/CHF edges lower, breaching a key support trendline at around 0.7800 as the pair extends its downtrend, falling over 0.50% at the time of writing. The pair trades at 0.7789, as traders target the March 10 swing low at 0.7748.

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USD/PHP: Inflation shock drives underperformance risk – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights that the Philippines faces heightened vulnerability to Middle East supply disruptions, with April Consumer Price Index (CPI) surging to 7.2% year-on-year, far above expectations.

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Gold surges as Iran deal hopes crush the US Dollar, yields

Gold (XAU/USD) price rallies nearly 3% on Wednesday amid growing speculation of an end to the Iran war, weighing on the Greenback and pushing US Treasury yields lower. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,681 after bouncing off daily highs of $4,723.

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Morgan Stanley launches low-fee crypto trading pilot on E*Trade

Morgan Stanley has reportedly introduced a crypto trading pilot on E*Trade, charging clients 50 basis points (0.5%) per transaction, according to a Bloomberg report on Wednesday.

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Carry trade: Profit-taking risk builds into H2 – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the iFlow Carry index briefly turned negatively significant as investors sold nine of fifteen high-yield currencies, suggesting growing profit-taking after a resilient run.

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USD/JPY falls on suspected intervention, US-Iran deal hopes weigh on USD

USD/JPY stages a modest rebound on Wednesday after coming under pressure earlier in the day amid another suspected intervention by Japanese authorities. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 156.42 after recovering from an intraday low near 155.00.

South Korea: Gradual CPI rise keeps BoK cautious – ING

ING’s Senior Economist Min Joo Kang notes that South Korean inflation accelerated in April on higher energy prices, but government measures such as food vouchers, a gasoline price cap and frozen utility tariffs helped limit the increase.

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Fed’s Goolsbee: Productivity's impact on inflation and interest rates could go in either direction

Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, spoke at the 2026 Milken Institute Global Conference in California, United States, on Wednesday. He stated that the impact of rising productivity on inflation remains an active topic of debate among the Fed.

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Coinbase launches Gold and Silver perpetual futures trading

Coinbase (COIN) announced on Wednesday that Gold (XAU) and Silver (XAG) perpetual futures contracts have been listed for trading. The offering, which will be available around the clock to both institutional and retail traders, is available to eligible non-US traders.

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China: Managed trade truce prospects – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Carol Liao and Shuang Ding argue that both the US and China are incentivised to keep their bilateral relationship stable as President Trump’s 14–15 May visit approaches.

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WTI Oil slumps on US-Iran diplomatic progress, EIA inventory drawdown

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil tumbles on Wednesday, trading around $92.30 at the time of writing, down 7.62% on the day as investors rapidly unwind geopolitical risk premiums following reports of a potential agreement between Washington and Tehran.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies over 1% on Iran deal hopes

US equities pushed higher on Wednesday as risk appetite returned on signs that the US-Iran conflict could be heading toward a broader resolution. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) added roughly 540 points to close above 49,800 after testing levels near 50,000 intraday.

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LatAm: Hedging demand rises with Banxico in focus – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues Latin American FX and equities now represent a single crowded ‘total return’ trade, with all regional currencies still overheld while bond holdings begin to reverse unevenly.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rally pauses below 50-day SMA after intraday surge

Silver (XAG/USD) gains traction on Wednesday as renewed optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal triggers a sharp decline in the US Dollar (USD) and Oil prices. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading around 77, up over 5.50% on the day.

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GBP/USD surges as US-Iran deal hopes hammer USD

GBP/USD rises by over 0.59% on Wednesday after an Axios report revealed that the US and Iran are closing in on a deal to end the war. The Greenback fell on the news, even though US jobs data crushed estimates, which could prompt the Federal Reserve to focus on inflation.

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EUR/USD rallies on US-Iran optimism, upside capped by lingering uncertainty

EUR/USD trades higher on Wednesday as renewed optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal pressures the US Dollar (USD) and lifts the Euro (EUR).

AUD/USD rallies as Iran-US deal hopes outweigh strong ADP jobs data

AUD/USD surges near the 0.7240 price region, supported by improving risk sentiment after Axios reported that the United States (US) and Iran are moving closer to a deal aimed at ending the conflict.

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USD: Peace progress and Oil slide weigh – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that renewed hopes for a peace deal with Iran and a sharp drop in Brent crude Oil are pressuring the US Dollar (USD), with risk appetite supported by strong global equities and AI-driven gains.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA targets $0.30 breakout as technicals improve

Cardano (ADA) is extending its early-week rebound above $0.260 at the time of writing on Wednesday, building on improving sentiment in the broader crypto market after the United States (US) signaled a final peace agreement with Iran.

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SEK: Positive real rates support currency outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that USD/SEK has fallen on broad Dollar weakness while Sweden’s April disinflation surprised to the downside, reducing Riksbank hike expectations.

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Fed’s Musalem: inflation is meaningfully above target

Albert Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis, spoke at the Mississippi Bankers Association on Wednesday. He said that uncertainty around tariffs and war are headwind.

출처  Fxstreet1778078607
EUR/JPY declines as stronger Yen on intervention risks offsets ECB tightening expectations

EUR/JPY trades around 183.50 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.61% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from stronger demand amid fears of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market.

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