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Euro rallies as Iran ceasefire hopes crush the US Dollar

The Euro advances during Monday’s session, up by 0.37% amid renewed hopes for an agreement between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire by 60 days and discuss a deal regarding Iran’s uranium enrichment program. The EUR/USD trades at 1.1645 at the time of writing.

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Mexico Accumulated Current Account/GDP down to -3.1% in 1Q from previous 1.55%

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Mexico Current Account, $ (QoQ) dipped from previous $7702M to $-15878M in 1Q

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US Dollar Index hovers around 99.00, looks at geopolitics

The US Dollar (USD) kickstarts the new trading week on the back foot as investors continue to assess news that a potential US-Iran deal could be clinched anytime soon.

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Chinese Yuan: Key 6.7820 support against US Dollar in focus – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CNH has slipped toward the lower end of its recent range after trading tightly between 6.7923 and 6.8033.

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Canadian Dollar: Losses against US Dollar look limited – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team, including Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret, notes that the Canadian Dollar is flat against the Dollar and underperforming other G10 currencies due to its differentiated risk profile.

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Progress toward deal to end US-Iran war slows down – WSJ

Citing mediators, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Monday that progress toward finalizing an agreement to end the war between the United States (US) and Iran has slowed down on Monday, citing ongoing disaggreements over Iran's nuclear program and Tehran's demand of financial relief.

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South Korean Won: Hawkish BoK risk as authorities flag weakness – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of Korea (BoK) to hold its policy rate at 2.50%, but warns of a hawkish surprise aimed at curbing Korean Won (KRW) weakness.

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Japanese Yen struggles for traction despite weaker US Dollar amid elevated Energy costs

USD/JPY consolidates on Monday after opening the week with a bearish gap as the US Dollar (USD) comes under pressure amid growing optimism that the United States (US) and Iran are moving closer toward a deal that could eventually reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

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Asia equities: Hidden gems with robust performance – HSBC

HSBC Asset Management spotlights Asia’s small-cap stocks as a strong performer over the past five years, outperforming regional large caps with lower volatility and better sector diversification.

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Bank of Canada: Patient path to neutral – TD Securities

TD Securities economists, led by Robert Both, expect the Bank of Canada to keep the overnight rate at 2.25% through 2026 before lifting it back to a 2.75% neutral level in 2027.

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Ripple Price Forecast: XRP eyes $1.40 rebound as ETF inflows steady

Ripple (XRP) is holding support at $1.35 at the time of writing on Monday, as crypto prices broadly recover amid optimism for a US-Iran ceasefire deal. XRP’s momentum, although subtle, aligns with steady demand through related investment products.

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US President Trump: Negotiations with Iran proceeding nicely

In a post published on Truth Social on Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump noted that negotiations with the Islamic Republic of Iran are proceeding nicely.

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Singapore Dollar: Range trade bias against US Dollar holds – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/SGD to edge lower and test 1.2760 in the near term, though a sustained break below that level is unlikely. They maintain a 1–3 week range-trading view between 1.2730 and 1.2820, with major support at 1.2730 seen as intact.

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Gold rebounds as hopes for US-Iran deal weigh on US Dollar, Oil prices

Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds sharply on Monday as hopes for a US-Iran deal to end the war in the Middle East and reopen the Strait of Hormuz weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and Oil prices. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,556, up 1.0% on the day.

Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $: $3.351B (April) vs $2.499B

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Mexico Trade Balance, $ dipped from previous $5.932B to $4.52B in April

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Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP steady above supports on Iran deal hopes

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly holding steady on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above its short-term $77,000 support, Ethereum (ETH) above the $2,100 demand area and Ripple (XRP) hovering above $1.36.

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Singapore: Growth resilience with AI tailwinds – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng assesses Singapore’s economic outlook as resilient but increasingly tested by Middle East tensions and energy risks. The bank highlights strong 1Q26 GDP data, robust AI-driven exports, and solid services and construction activity.

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WTI Oil dives to two-week lows sub-$90.00 amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal

Oil prices gapped lower at Monday’s opening times, accelerating the decline observed in the last half of the previous week.

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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Holds onto gains near 1.3500 amid risk-on mood

The British Pound (GBP) clings to opening gains around 1.3500 against the US Dollar (USD) during the late European trading session on Monday. The GBP/USD pair trades higher as the market sentiment remains risk-on due to expectations that the United States (US) and Iran will reach a deal soon.

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Hungarian Forint: Euro convergence supports forint as MNB holds – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) to keep its policy rate at 6.25% for a third straight meeting.

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Equities: Stocks track rising bond yields – HSBC

HSBC Asset Management discusses how rising global bond yields, including higher US 10-year Treasuries, are affecting global equities. The report argues that current yield moves are still consistent with an environment stocks can tolerate, as real yields remain low and profit growth is strong.

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stretches towards $4,600 as Iran peace hopes hit the USD

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading higher on Monday, favoured by a moderate risk appetite amid recent comments from the US and Iran hinting at progress in peace negotiations.

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Iranian central bank chief travels Qatar regarding frozen funds

According to Iran's official news agency, Iranian central bank chief travels to Qatar after Qatari delegation visited Tehran regarding frozen funds.

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US President Trump: Any Iran deal will be exact opposite of the JCPOA disaster

United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social during the European trading session on Monday that the deal with Iran will “either be a great and meaningful one, or there will be no deal”.

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Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates amid growing RWA ecosystem, mild ETF inflows

Solana (SOL) is trading below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $87.35 on Monday after moving nearly flat last week. The real-world assets (RWAs) ecosystem on Solana surpassed $2.50 billion in value, reflecting growing adoption in the traditional finance market.

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Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC steadies amid mixed sentiment surrounding potential US-Iran peace deal

Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates around $77,000 at the time of writing on Monday after declining more than 6% over the past two weeks. Market sentiment remains mixed as uncertainty over key issues in a potential US-Iran peace deal persists, reducing the chances of an imminent deal.

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