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EUR/USD: Sideways bias with Dollar edge – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke expects EUR/USD to remain in sideways trading as multiple uncertainties limit conviction in either direction for the Dollar. She highlights the Middle East war, the unclear path for the next Fed Chair and policy, and possible delays to Warsh’s confirmation.

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Eurozone HCOB Manufacturing PMI above expectations (50.8) in April: Actual (52.2)

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Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI registered at 48.6, below expectations (50.2) in April

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Eurozone HCOB Services PMI below expectations (49.8) in April: Actual (47.4)

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AUD/USD: Range trading persists despite soft bias – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) Strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect AUD/USD to stay confined intraday between 0.7130 and 0.7180 after a quieter-than-expected session. Over 1–3 weeks, they continue to frame price action as part of a 0.7060–0.7210 range.

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Germany HCOB Services PMI came in at 46.9 below forecasts (50.3) in April

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Germany HCOB Composite PMI below expectations (51.1) in April: Actual (48.3)

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Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI below expectations (51.3) in April: Actual (51.2)

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GBP/JPY turns positive to near 215.40 ahead of flash UK PMI data

The GBP/JPY pair claws back its early losses and turns marginally positive around 215.45 during the European trading session on Thursday.

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Oil: Supply risks support prices – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Brent has broken back above $100/bbl as the oil market reprices expectations around the Iran conflict and disruptions in the Persian Gulf.

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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Remains above 98.50 due to possible bullish reversal

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining firm after two days of gains and trading around 98.60 during the early European hours on Thursday.

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France HCOB Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.8, above expectations (49.5) in April

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France HCOB Services PMI came in at 46.5, below expectations (48.4) in April

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France HCOB Composite PMI registered at 47.6, below expectations (48.6) in April

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Japanese Yen remains depressed amid Hormuz standoff; USD/JPY eyes 160.00 on firmer USD

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers for the fourth consecutive day and trades around the 159.65-159.70 area, or a one-and-a-half-week top during the early European session on Thursday.

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Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE steadies around $40 amid mixed retail outlook

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades around $40 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after over 3% gains the previous day.

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JPY: Energy shock weighs on outlook – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan highlights that the Japanese Yen (JPY) may weaken further as the energy shock from Middle East tensions persists and markets delay expectations for a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike to June.

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Why does Bitcoin seem not to care about the Middle East War?

The Iran war has messed many assets, with one notable exception: Bitcoin. The price of the main crypto has been surprisingly resilient in the past few weeks and way less volatile than other assets considered risky, such as US equities.

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Forex Today: US Dollar edges higher, traders brace for US PMI releases

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 23:

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Eurozone: Conflict risks darken outlook – Commerzbank

Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank warns that Eurozone PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Index) may slip to or below 50 in April as the Middle East war weighs on orders and production.

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When is the UK Services PMI and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom (UK) docket has the preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for April to be released by the S&P Global on Thursday, later in the day at 08:30 GMT.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plummets below $76 as oil price posts fresh weekly high

Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 2.3% to near $76.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as oil prices extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Thursday.

France Business Climate in Manufacturing registered at 100 above expectations (99) in April

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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rangebound trading between 0.5870 and 0.5930

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) posts moderate losses against a stronger US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as the escalating tensions between the US and Iran curb risk appetite.

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GBP/USD: Sideways trade inside broad band – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) Strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe GBP/USD momentum indicators as mostly flat, expecting intraday consolidation between 1.3475 and 1.3530.

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EUR/USD: PMI signals and softer pair – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights that Euro area April flash PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Index) are a key input ahead of the next European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with Manufacturing PMI expected to drop below 50 while Services PMI holds at 50.2.

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United Kingdom Public Sector Net Borrowing registered at £12.605B above expectations (£10.4B) in March

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Canadian Dollar flat lines as traders await US PMI data

The USD/CAD pair trades on a flat note around 1.3670 during the early European session on Thursday. The pair steadies as traders await signs of diplomatic progress to end the war in the Middle East.  

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