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Singapore Dollar: Pressured against US Dollar as MAS tightening eyed – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/SGD is trading with a bid tone on a firmer US Dollar (USD) backdrop, with resistance around 1.2940 and support near 1.2840/50.

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Malaysia: Price pressures and policy hold – UOB

UOB economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting note Malaysia’s May headline inflation rose to 2.0% year-on-year, the highest since July 2024, driven by Food, Housing, Utilities and Transport. Year-to-date inflation of 1.7% supports their full-year 2.0% forecast.

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Ripple Price Forecast: What seven straight weeks of ETF inflows mean as XRP recovers above $1.15

Ripple (XRP) gains momentum on Monday, trading above $1.15 as the crypto market widely recovers.

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Asia FX: Growth support versus Fed risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan notes that Asian currencies should benefit from stronger regional growth differentials versus the US, particularly in AI-related export economies such as South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia and Singapore.

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Australian Dollar falls near 0.7000 ahead of US PCE inflation data

The AUD/USD pair fell near the 0.700 area on Monday, struggling to extend gains as investors remain cautious ahead of the upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge.

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Euro languishes near three-month lows against US Dollar despite progress in US-Iran talks

EUR/USD trades under pressure on Monday, extending losses from the previous week as expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) underpin the US Dollar (USD), even as easing tensions in the Middle East curb safe-haven demand for the Greenback.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average is green for all the wrong reasons

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) booked a green close on Monday, adding roughly 167 points, or 0.3%, on a session that was anything but bullish underneath.

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Singapore Dollar: Range trade against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD remains supported around 1.29 as the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (S$NEER) trades near the top of its band, implying the pair should hover close to this level.

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British Pound rises as US-Iran talks offset UK political shock

The Pound Sterling advances some 0.14% on Monday as the US-Iran negotiations laid a “good foundation” according to US Vice President JD Vance, after ending the first round of talks in Switzerland.

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Carry trade: Recovery prospects build – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that iFlow Carry has turned negatively significant for the first time in 2026, signalling ongoing unwinding of carry trades but also a potential contrarian opportunity.

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Japanese Yen retreats from highs, trends toward 161.00

The USD/JPY pair sank as low as 161.07 on Monday, retreating from highs near 161.90 as traders remain alert to possible Japanese intervention after the pair moved close to a four-decade high.

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British Pound: Political risks and BoE path shape outlook – Nomura

Nomura’s Dominic Bunning highlights that British Pound (GBP) has reacted calmly to Keir Starmer’s resignation, with investors focusing on the prospect of Andy Burnham becoming Prime Minister and his choice of Chancellor.

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Silver price rises on US-Iran diplomatic progress, upside capped by hawkish Fed

Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $65.90 at the time of writing on Monday, up 1.69% on the day and snapping a three-day losing streak. The white metal is attracting renewed investor interest as markets assess the implications of diplomatic progress between the United States (US) and Iran.

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Canadian Dollar: BoC patience guided by contained core – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Matthieu Arseneau and Alexandra Ducharme note that Canadian headline inflation rose to 3.2% in May, above the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) target range, driven mainly by higher gasoline and food prices.

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Fed: Hawkish hold extends through 2027 – TD Securities

TD Securities, led by Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir, reports that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has shifted hawkishly and is expected to keep policy rates on hold through 2026 and 2027.

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British Pound: Focus shifts to leadership and fiscal risks – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Shreyas Gopal notes that markets had largely anticipated Andy Burnham becoming UK Prime Minister by the Autumn Budget, leaving the risk premium in Sterling broadly unchanged.

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Canadian Dollar: Inflation driven by energy – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Abbey Xu notes that Canadian inflation rose to 3.2% year-over-year in May, mainly due to higher energy prices, airfares and food costs.

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Eurozone Consumer Confidence came in at -17.7, below expectations (-17.5) in June

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Canadian Dollar struggles to gain traction despite stronger inflation data

USD/CAD trades little changed on Monday after a brief bout of weakness following stronger-than-expected Canadian inflation data. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.4165, hovering near its highest level since April 2025.

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Oil: Tight summer balances support higher prices – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek highlight that crude Oil and petroleum product flows from the Middle East have rebounded sharply, but this surge is seen as temporary as trapped Gulf barrels clear.

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ECB’s Lagarde: “No evidence yet” of inflation de-anchoring that would warrant stronger ECB action

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Monday that policymakers are not yet seeing signs that the latest inflation shock requires a more aggressive policy response, even as geopolitical tensions add fresh uncertainty to the Eurozone outlook.

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British Pound: Sterling seen vulnerable to Dollar path – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that UK political change is generating only modest Sterling (GBP) weakness, with EUR/GBP seen one to two percentage points higher and GBP/USD likely to test 1.30 this summer.

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Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin, Zcash and Bittensor rebound, but are these gains sustainable?

Bitcoin (BTC) upholds a subtle recovery outlook on Monday, trading above $64,000 as investors reengage amid easing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. Altcoins are broadly rising, led by Zcash (ZEC) and Bittensor (TAO), indicating a positive short-term turnaround.

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Euro: Policy divergence supports against US Dollar – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Teeuwe Mevissen notes that divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) is becoming more important for EUR/USD.

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WTI Oil retreats as US-Iran progress, Hormuz assurances unwind risk premium

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil declines sharply on Monday and trades around $74.50 at the time of writing, down 2.54% on the day.

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Oil: Ceasefire talks ease risk – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that progress in U.S.–Iran talks and a ceasefire framework for Lebanon have helped Oil markets price a more durable de-escalation, supporting a broader risk-positive environment.

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US Dollar: Fedspeak and Hormuz risks guide USD – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole expects Fedspeak and developments around the Strait of Hormuz to be the key drivers for the Dollar this week, with front-end USD rates remaining central for DXY.

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Gold climbs as US-Iran talks make progress, Fed rate hike bets cap upside

Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Monday as traders react to signs of progress in US-Iran negotiations following the first round of direct talks held earlier in the day in Switzerland, with Pakistan and Qatar acting as mediators.

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