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GBP/USD: Recovery extends but upside limited – UOB

According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3364 and may edge higher toward 1.3410, though a clear break above that level is seen as unlikely given only modest momentum. Intraday, gains are expected to stay below 1.3390, with support at 1.3335 and 1.3320.

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BoC: Policy on hold with rangebound Loonie – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists expect the BoC to keep its policy rate at 2.25%, despite weaker employment and lower CPI. Markets now price about 33 bps of tightening by year-end after the Iran conflict.

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Japanese Yen holds ground near 159.00 as BoJ expected to adopt hawkish tone

USD/JPY remains under pressure for a third straight session, trading near 159.00 during Asian hours on Wednesday.

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BoC set to hold interest rate amid soft inflation, global uncertainty

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% at its Wednesday meeting, effectively extending the pause it signalled back in January.

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Fed: FOMC to keep policy options open on conflict risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny expects the FOMC to keep policy options open, with limited changes to the Summary of Economic Projections and no alteration to the median dot profile. MUFG anticipates balanced Fed communication and subdued FX and rates volatility.

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Gold: Rangebound as risks offset – ING

ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that Gold is trading in a narrow range as the US‑Israeli conflict with Iran extends. A firmer Dollar and higher real yields offset safe‑haven demand from Middle East tensions.

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USD/CAD: Rangebound trade persists with BoC on hold – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights that USD/CAD remains confined between 1.36 and 1.37 as risk-off sentiment offsets support from Canada’s net energy exporter status.

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WTI holds losses near $93.50 as supply concerns ease

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price has given up its recent gains from the previous session, trading around $93.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Traders are awaiting the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report due later on Wednesday for fresh cues on supply trends.

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EUR/USD: Options signal pre-war regime – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister analyses EUR/USD options, noting that since the Iran conflict the relationship between implied volatility and risk reversals has reverted towards its pre–"Liberation Day" pattern.

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EUR/USD struggles to extend recovery above 1.1550, Fed’s policy remains in focus

The EUR/USD pair faces slight pressure near 1.1550 during the European trading session on Wednesday after a two-day recovery move. The major currency pair struggles as the US Dollar strives to regain ground ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement at 18:00 GMT.

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Oil: Volatility eases as supply headlines shift – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts highlight that Brent Oil remains above $100 but daily trading ranges have narrowed, signalling some easing in volatility.

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Austria HICP (YoY) increased to 2.3% in February from previous 2%

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Austria HICP (MoM) meets forecasts (0.8%) in February

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Forex Today: Market focus shifts from Middle East to Fed

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 18:

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South Africa Consumer Price Index (MoM) rose from previous 0.2% to 0.4% in February

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South Africa Consumer Price Index (YoY) dipped from previous 3.5% to 3% in February

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Fed: Powell focus as policy steady – UBS

UBS' Chief Economist Paul Donovan notes that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep policy unchanged, with attention centered on Fed Chair Powell’s press conference. Markets are looking for Powell’s reaction to Oil prices, the war and implications for US retail gasoline.

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USD: Fed focus and broad weakness – UOB

UOB analysts note the broad Dollar index DXY fell for a second day to 99.57 as traders positioned ahead of the Fed decision and reacted to geopolitical tensions around Iran.

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China’s foreign ministry expresses delay in Trump’s meeting with Xi

China's foreign ministry said during the European trading session on Wednesday that it will provide updates about the delay in United States (US) President Donald Trump’s meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

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ECB: Hawkish tone expected as hike doubts persist – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategist Hauke Siemßen argues that ECB expectations will dominate trading, with forwards now fully pricing the first rate hike by September and only a 50% chance of another move by year-end.

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Brent: Elevated conflict risk supports higher path – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong revise their Brent Oil profile higher as the US–Iran conflict keeps the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut and Oil flows near a standstill.

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NZD/USD attempts to break key hurdle of 0.5870 ahead of Fed’s policy

The NZD/USD pair strives to extend its recovery move above 0.5870 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Kiwi trades higher as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to gain ground ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement at 18:00 GMT.

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Pi Network Price Forecast: PI slides below $0.18 as bearish sentiment builds

Pi Network (PI) edges below $0.1800 at press time on Wednesday, extending the 10% drop from the previous day. A surge in social chatter around the PI token aligns with this drop, suggesting a bearish incline in retail sentiment.

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BoC: Cautious hold and oil-linked risks – TD Securities

TD Securities stategists expect the Bank of Canada to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% with a cautious tone, as growth and inflation run below projections. They highlights elevated uncertainty and new inflation risks from the Iran conflict and higher Oil prices.

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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Tests 99.50 support near nine-day EMA

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its losing streak for the third successive session and trading around 99.50 during the early European hours on Wednesday.

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD gains to near $80.00, but holds mildly bearish near-term bias

Silver price (XAG/USD) holds positive ground near $79.90 during the early European session on Wednesday. Escalating tensions in the Middle East push demand toward safe-haven assets like silver.

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EUR/USD: Fed seen waiting as pair holds gains – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD moved back above 1.15 as US Treasury yields declined and risk sentiment recovered. The bank does not expect the upcoming FOMC meeting to significantly alter the EUR/USD outlook, seeing the Federal Reserve in a wait-and-see mode regarding the Iran conflict.

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Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC breakout gains traction as bulls target above $300

Zcash (ZEC) is trading above $280 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after breaking above the descending trendline earlier this week.

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