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ECB’s Müller: Can't rule out rate hike in April

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Madis Müller said in an interview with in an interview in Tallinn, reported by Bloomberg during European trading hours on Tuesday, that there could be an interest rate hike by the central bank in the April policy meeting.

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Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC advances with caution as uncertainty around Iran war weighs on demand

Bitcoin (BTC) price is trading near $67,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday, extending its recovery after rebounding from a key technical level the previous day. Institutional demand supports a mild improvement as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) show modest flow.

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EUR/USD: Rate repricing and oil shock cap upside – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes short-dated Euro swap rates have started to edge lower after a sharp spike, but real rate differentials have moved against EUR/USD. He argues this could be Euro-negative if the ECB refrains from an April hike while inflation expectations stay high.

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India Trade Deficit – RBI dipped from previous -68.5B to -87.4B in 3Q

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Italy Industrial Sales n.s.a. (YoY) declined to -1% in January from previous 3.6%

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Italy Industrial Sales s.a. (MoM) fell from previous 0.5% to -0.3% in January

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Oil: War-driven volatility and structural risks – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every highlights that Brent has eased to around $111 and WTI to $102 despite a Kuwaiti tanker being hit, while European and African Oil markets are tightening as Asia fills supply gaps. He cites Bloomberg’s warning of $140 Oil if Red Sea shipping is hit again.

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EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1500 as Eurozone HICP grows below forecasts

The EUR/USD’s tame recovery attempts seen earlier on Tuesday have been capped below 1.1490, before the release of softer-than-expected Eurozone Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) figures.

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NOK: Oil-driven gains seen reversing after war – Commerzbank

Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes that Norwegian Krone (NOK) has outperformed Swedish Krona (SEK) thanks to Norway’s energy-exporter status during the war-related commodity shock, despite similar rate expectations.

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Euro area: Rising energy risks support ECB hike case – Nordea

Nordea’s Chief Analyst Anders Svendsen and Chief Economist Tuuli Koivu note Euro area inflation rose to 2.5% year-on-year in March and is expected to approach 3% in coming months.

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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $73.14 per troy ounce, up 4.36% from the $70.09 it cost on Monday.

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Australian Dollar rises as Trump’s peace call with Iran improves market mood

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades higher against its major currency peers, with the AUD/USD pair rising 0.15% to near 0.6865, during the European trading session on Tuesday.

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BoJ: Data signal case for more tightening – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered analysts Nicholas Chia and Chong Hoon Park highlight that new Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicators show underlying inflation near or above the 2% target and a positive output gap since Q1 2022, suggesting growth above potential.

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DXY: Softer tone as crude jumps and Fed stays steady – ING

ING’s Chris Turner argues the Dollar (USD) could ease as US light crude trades above $100 and markets look for signs of de-escalation in the Middle East. A relaxed Federal Reserve (Fed) tone has pushed money markets back toward pricing a rate cut by year-end.

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USD/KRW climbs to 17-year high on Korean Won weakness as BoK monitors FX market

USD/KRW rallies on Tuesday, trading around 1,529.70 at the time of writing, up 0.93% on the day after hitting an intraday peak at 1,536.04, its highest level since March 2009.

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JPY: Intervention risk rises as BoJ seen hiking – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman highlights that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has held recent gains, with USD/JPY dipping below 160.00 as officials step up verbal intervention.

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Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) increased to 1.2% in March from previous 0.6%

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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Remains subdued near 0.5700, four-month lows

NZD/USD extends its losing streak for the sixth successive day, trading around 0.5710 during the European hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart signals a persistent bearish bias as the pair is moving downwards within a descending channel pattern.

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Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) came in at 2.3% below forecasts (2.4%) in March

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Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) rose from previous 0.6% to 1.9% in March

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Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM): 0.8% (March)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.5%) in March

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) unchanged at 1.5% in March

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Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 1.5% to 1.7% in March

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) increased to 1.6% in March from previous 0.5%

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Greece Retail Sales (YoY) down to 4.5% in January from previous 5.1%

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Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) registered at 2.5%, below expectations (2.7%) in March

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Germany: Weak labor market signals persist – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Marc Schattenberg notes that the German labor market shows little evidence of a spring recovery, with unemployment still slightly above 3 million and seasonally adjusted figures flat.

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