Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is weighed down by weaker Oil prices linked to Iran peace hopes, even as improved risk appetite offers some support.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5830 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.15% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) maintains a firm tone following a series of strong US economic releases.

Nomura’s European Economics team, led by Andrzej Szczepaniak and colleagues, notes that the ECB delivered a 25bp hike to a 2.25% depo rate and unveiled more hawkish forecasts.

TD Securities economists expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% with a 7-2 vote as Greene joins Pill in calling for a hike. They highlight persistent inflation pressures, upside risks from energy and airfare, and softer demand.

United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations dipped from previous 4.8% to 4.6% in June

United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation declined to 3.4% in June from previous 3.9%

United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index came in at 49.3, above forecasts (44.3) in June

United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above expectations (46) in June: Actual (48.9)

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad says GBP/USD has given back part of its US-Iran-related gains and is expected to fall to 1.3100 as United States (US) growth outpaces the United Kingdom (UK).

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists assess how Kevin Warsh may reshape Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

Ripple (XRP) hangs on to $1.14 support at the time of writing on Friday, extending its rebound from its early-week support at $1.10 and June’s low of $1.05.

ING’s Chris Turner notes that a potential US-Iran peace deal has softened the Dollar, but DXY is still holding firm. He highlights that energy supply losses and inflation risks persist unless Oil flows freely through the Strait of Hormuz.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) pares some part of earlier losses on Friday as markets seek confirmation of a possible US-Iran agreement, prompting traders to refrain from placing aggressive bearish bets.

Commerzbank analysts Charlie Lay and Moses Lim argue that the Rupee remains vulnerable to external shocks, notably Middle East tensions, higher energy costs and El Nino-related risks.

TD Securities strategists note that Precious Metals, particularly Gold, are struggling to gain traction as elevated Fed hike probabilities keep real rates high. CTA's (Commodity Trading Advisors) are running a small net short and scenario analysis points to a relatively tight trading band.

USD/CAD trades higher around 1.3990 on Friday, with the US Dollar (USD) benefiting from stronger-than-expected inflation data in the United States (US), while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains weighed down by falling Oil prices and a Bank of Canada (BoC) that is showing little urgency to raise rates

Nordea’s Jan von Gerich highlights that the ECB delivered a widely expected 25bp hike and is likely to continue tightening, with the next move expected in July. He argues that broadening inflation pressures mean lower energy prices alone will not ease ECB concerns.

ING’s Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey notes that LME copper is trading near record highs, supported by supply tightness, US tariff-driven stockpiling and AI-related power demand. The market is already pricing US tariff risk, with the COMEX-LME spread around $400/t.

Canada Capacity Utilization remains unchanged at 78.5% in 1Q

Societe Generale strategists note Mexico still appears steady even as conditions become more challenging. Inflation has cooled to 3.94% in May, while Banxico has signalled an end to its easing cycle, leading markets to price potential hikes.

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz argue that Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve meeting is unlikely to deliver an immediate rate cut, given elevated PCE inflation and a still‑solid labor market.

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates on Friday as traders await further developments on a potential US-Iran peace deal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading flat around $4,200 after recovering from a nearly seven-month low of $4,023 touched the previous day.

Nomura’s Global FX Strategy team, including Dominic Bunning and Yusuke Miyairi, argues that a more hawkish ECB path versus the Bank of England should support the Euro against the Pound.

Brazil IPCA Inflation came in at 0.58%, above expectations (0.53%) in May

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels. Bitcoin hovers around $63,500 amid a capped upside.

The Euro (EUR) has given away previous daily gains against the US Dollar (USD) and is trading practically flat, at 1.1575 at the time of writing.

MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee argue that firmer US inflation and resilient labour markets underpin a higher-for-longer global rates backdrop, supporting the US Dollar.