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Swiss Franc slides as resilient US data and Swiss deflation pressure CHF

USD/CHF extends its advance for the fourth consecutive day on Friday and trades around 0.7850 at the time of writing, up 0.15% on the day. The pair benefits from the rebound in the US Dollar (USD), supported by resilient US economic data and renewed risk-off sentiment across markets.

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US Dollar: Restrictive Fed backdrop supports gains – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is strengthening as firm Oil prices lift bond yields and weigh on equities, while the US-China summit delivered only marginal diplomatic progress.

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India Trade Deficit Government rose from previous $20.9B to $28.38B in April

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British Pound: Politics weigh against Euro – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Shreyas Gopal reiterates a long EUR/GBP stance after United Kingdom (UK) local elections, arguing that UK political uncertainty is likely to persist through summer.

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Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $78.44 per troy ounce, down 6.02% from the $83.47 it cost on Thursday.

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Japanese Yen: Interventions need rate backing – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that Japanese authorities cannot rely on FX interventions alone to support the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the US Dollar (USD).

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains under bearish pressure near $4,550

Gold (XAU/USD) falls for a fourth straight day, dropping near $4,550 as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens. The Greenback is supported by rising expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) following strong US inflation and Retail Sales data.

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Czech Koruna: Dovish CNB tone caps gains against Euro – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky flags that a new interview with the Czech National Bank governor underlines a dovish tilt despite talk of possible hikes.

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WTI Price Forecast: Breaks above $100 as Trump says China will buy US Oil

Crude Oil prices maintain their bullish trend on Friday, with the US Benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel pushing to fresh weekly highs above $100.00, after US President Donald Trump affirmed that China agreed to buy US Crude, but no specific plan to reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz ha

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US Dollar: Summit-driven correction view – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that the first day of the Trump-Xi Summit in China favoured USD Bulls as President Trump stressed economic cooperation and trade rollbacks.

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Australian Dollar plummets to over one-week low, closer to mid-0.7100s vs bullish USD

The AUD/USD pair attracts heavy selling for the second consecutive day on Friday and breaks through the 0.7200 mark, hitting an over one-week low during the first half of the European session.

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Euro: Breaks below key averages against US Dollar – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts report EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since early April as wider UST/Bund spreads and higher energy prices weigh on the Euro (EUR). The pair has broken below its 50- and 200-day moving averages, with support cited at 1.1560 and resistance at 1.1720.

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Euro refreshes monthly low against US Dollar as traders price out dovish Fed bets

The Euro (EUR) trades sharply lower against the US Dollar (USD) around 1.1630 during the European trading session on Friday, the lowest level seen in over a month.

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Brent: Supply risk keeps prices elevated – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s macro strategy team notes that Brent Oil remains supported by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns. Comments from President Trump about the Strait of Hormuz have reinforced fears of a prolonged disruption, driving prices higher overnight.

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Euro rallies above 0.8700 against the British Pound as UK political turmoil worsens

The Euro (EUR) rallies for the second consecutive day against an ailing British Pound (GBP) on Friday, crushed by growing political uncertainty in the UK.

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Hungarian Forint: Swap move flags MNB easing risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut the implied rate on EUR liquidity swaps, effectively a 50 bp easing signal that widens the gap to the base rate.

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Equities: AI-led earnings narrow rally – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage argues U.S. equities are being propelled by an unusually strong, AI-led earnings boom that is outpacing the broader economy and sustaining index gains despite macro headwinds.

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Forex Today: US Dollar extends rally on hawkish Fed repricing

Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 15:

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Euro: Technical break points to 1.160 test versus US Dollar – ING

ING's Francesco Pesole highlights a significant technical break in EUR/USD below 1.170, opening scope for a test of 1.160 in coming days.

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Turkey Budget Balance fell from previous -229.9B to -338.7B in April

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Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (2.8%) in April: Actual (2.7%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (1.2%) in April: Actual (1.1%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) below forecasts (2.9%) in April: Actual (2.8%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) came in at 1.6%, below expectations (1.7%) in April

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Sui Price Forecast: Bearish outlook strengthens amid positional unwinding

Sui (SUI) is down roughly 3% at press time on Friday, extending a five-day decline so far this week. Retail demand for the SUI token is waning as the market shifts attention away from underperforming layer-1 tokens. The technical outlook is bearish, pointing to a double-digit drop to $1.00.

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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Struggles below 212.00 as bears look to seize control

The GBP/JPY cross attracts some follow-through selling for the second consecutive day and drops to a one-and-a-half-week low during the early European session on Friday. Spot prices, however, rebounded a few pips in the last hour and currently trade near the 211.75 region, down 0.25% for the day.

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Dow Jones futures fall due to profit taking after robust Wall Street performance

Dow Jones futures decline 0.35% below 50,000 during the European hours on Friday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 fall 0.56% to near 7,480, and the Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.81% to near 29,450.

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Japanese Yen: Further weakness against US Dollar remains a risk – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that rising crude Oil prices, higher global yields and Middle East tensions are undermining Japanese Yen stability and working against recent Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervention.

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