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Australian Dollar bulls retain control amid US-Iran diplomacy efforts, hawkish RBA

The AUD/USD pair holds steady above mid-0.7100s during the Asian session on Friday and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's modest pullback from its highest level since June 2022. Spot prices remain on track to register strong weekly gains amid a supportive fundamental backdrop.

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WTI drifts higher to near $89.00 amid Lebanon-Israel ceasefire strains

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $89.00 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price edges higher after reports that Lebanon's army accuses Israel of violating the ceasefire. 

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD consolidates below $79.00, around 50% Fibo. level

Silver (XAG/USD) is seen consolidating around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the March downfall and trading just below the $79.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday, up 0.50% for the day.

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NZD/USD remains subdued below 0.5900 as market caution lifts US Dollar

NZD/USD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 0.5890 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) edges higher, supported by cautious market sentiment ahead of the upcoming meeting between the United States (US) and Iran scheduled for the weekend.

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Lebanese army accuses Israel of violating ceasefire — CNN

The Lebanese army said that it recorded multiple ceasefire violations by Israel after the truce went into effect, CNN reported on Friday.

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EUR/USD weakens below 1.1800 as US–Iran ceasefire talks bolster US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory near 1.1780 during the early Asian session on Friday. The major pair retreats from eight-week highs as traders remain cautious ahead of the next meeting between the United States (US) and Iran, scheduled for the weekend. 

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Bitcoin tests $76K resistance as rising exchange inflows signal potential selling pressure

Bitcoin has moved back toward the $76,000 resistance zone, renewing expectations of a short-term recovery after an extended period of bearish pressure.

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G7 finance leaders warn of growing economic risks from the Middle East war

Finance ministers from the Group of Seven (G7) on Friday emphasized the urgent need to limit the economic repercussions of an ongoing Middle East conflict, highlighting a commitment to pursuing enduring peace.

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China: Growth resilience and delayed easing – UOB

UOB economist Ho Woei Chen assesses China’s stronger 1Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data and its implications for policy. Despite real GDP rising 5.0% year-on-year, the team keeps its 2026 growth forecast at 4.7% due to external headwinds and weak domestic demand.

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Gold posts modest gains near $4,800 as traders brace for US-Iran talks progress

Gold price (XAU/USD) posts modest gains near $4,795 during the early Asian session on Friday. Traders weigh signs of easing geopolitical tensions against persistent inflationary pressures. The next meeting between the United States (US) and Iran may take place over the weekend. 

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New Zealand Electronic Card Retail Sales (YoY): 2.7% (March) vs 1.5%

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New Zealand Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) dipped from previous 1.4% to 0.7% in March

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USD/MYR: Testing key supports on softer USD – OCBC

OCBC’s strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe USD/MYR nearing key support as markets price optimism over US–Iran negotiations and a softer US Dollar (USD).

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GBP/USD slips again as UK production data disappoints

GBP/USD gave up recent gains on Thursday, falling around 0.25% to settle close to 1.3525 after slipping back below the 1.3550 handle. Price drifted lower through the European and North American sessions in a steady grind rather than an impulsive move, with sellers leaning against intraday rallies.

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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Reclaims 159.00 but RSI divergence caps upside

The USD/JPY reclaims the 159.00 figure after reaching a weekly low of 158.26 amid mixed economic data in the US, strengthening the US Dollar, which rose to a two-day high of 98.29 according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). At the time of writing, the pair trades at 159.17, up 0.11%.

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NZD/USD pressured as Hormuz disruption fuel USD demand

The NZD/USD pair is trading with a muted tone around the 0.5890 area on Thursday, April 16, as the US Dollar (USD) continues to benefit from safe-haven flows driven by escalating geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing disruptions in global energy routes.

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Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH's rise above $2,300 not yet backed by robust demand

Ethereum (ETH) quickly reclaimed $2,300 again on Thursday after a slight dip below the level in the early American session.

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CNY: Gradual appreciation path under policy control – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says China’s 5.0% growth, despite weak investment and retail sales, underscores reliance on external demand, keeping authorities wary of strong CNY appreciation.

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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent meets with global counterparts to reaffirm US policy

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with multiple world leaders this week, detailing the US' agenda of securing trade deals and policies aimed largely at reversing damage done through the first year of the Trump administration, specifically on earth minerals and general trade.

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AUD/USD snaps winning streak below 0.72 as Aussie jobs disappoint

AUD/USD snapped a three-day winning streak on Thursday, finishing nearly flat close to 0.7165 after failing to clear the 0.7200 handle earlier in the session.

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Philippines: BSP seen delaying hike to June – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Jonathan Koh and Edward Lee now expect Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to keep its policy rate at 4.25% in April, delaying a previously anticipated 25 bps hike to June.

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China: Growth beat overshadowed by weak demand – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists highlight that China’s Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached 5.0% year-on-year, at the top of the official target range, driven by strong exports and early bond quota usage.

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Silver Price Analysis: Doji at $81 caps rally, risks tilt lower

Silver price loses 0.30% on Thursday as the Greenback stages a comeback and as the white metal fails to clear key resistance at $81.00. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $78.73 after hitting a daily high of $80.85.

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South Korea: Trade shock risks for Won – BNY

BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that South Korea, Taiwan and Japan have become key surplus providers to the U.S. as China’s exports to America declined.

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Forex Today: US Dollar steadies as Hormuz tensions persist despite fragile ceasefire headlines

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near the 98.20 price region on a firm footing amid a complex geopolitical backdrop. The Strait of Hormuz remains partially blocked, with reports of a “double blockage” disrupting flows even as some tankers manage to pass.

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CNY: Chinese data support modest currency strength – Danske Bank

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team observes that Chinese GDP and industrial production surprised to the upside, while retail sales remained weak and unemployment ticked higher.

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Carry trade: War-driven gains question durability – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that G10 and Gelişen Piyasalar (EM) carry trades have delivered strong paper gains, helped by Iran-related market moves and high-yield currencies like the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso.

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AUD/USD slips as USD rebounds, Oil and geopolitics in focus

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as the Greenback steadies after recent weakness, allowing AUD/USD to snap a four-day winning streak.

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