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USD: Risk rally questions deeper downside – ING

ING’s Chris Turner argues that while global risk assets are rallying and weighing on the US Dollar (USD), conditions for a sustained Dollar decline are not yet in place.

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AUD: Labor data steady as RBA watches CPI – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists note that Australian employment data for March broadly matched the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) expectations, with steady unemployment and solid full-time job gains.

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USD: Recovery narrative supports range trading – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the recovery narrative is overshadowing the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) weaker growth outlook, with global equities at record highs and the US Dollar (USD) retracing losses.

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USD/JPY: Verbal support grows as hike delayed – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has remained weak even as the Dollar has corrected lower, with USD/JPY still threatening the 160.00 level.

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Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC rally takes a breather as US-Iran weigh extension of the 2-week truce

Bitcoin (BTC) price holds its gains, trading above $75,000 on Thursday as risk appetite improves amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Institutional demand shows signs of optimism as spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded their second consecutive day of inflows this week.

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USD/JPY edges up above 159.00 as the Strait of Hormuz curbs risk appetite

The US Dollar (USD) has retraced previous losses against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, returning to levels right above 159.00 at the time of writing, as the US-Iran rift over the Strait of Hormuz dampens optimism about the peace process.

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Pi Network Price Forecast: PI recovers amid stabilizing social buzz

Pi Network (PI) extends gains by roughly 1.55% at press time on Thursday, crossing above the $0.1700 mark. The social buzz surrounding PI is stabilizing, while daily flows on Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) show renewed retail interest.  

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China: Growth resilience reshapes policy outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao notes that China’s Q1 2026 GDP grew 5.0% year-on-year, at the top of Beijing’s 4.5%–5.0% target, easing immediate pressure for aggressive stimulus.

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EUR/CHF rebounds after Eurozone inflation data, markets eye ECB signals

EUR/CHF trades around 0.9230 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The pair is nevertheless rebounding from its intraday low of 0.9198 reached earlier in the day, following the release of the Eurozone’s March inflation data.

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WTI Oil prices waver below $90.00 amid hopes of new US-Iran peace talks

Crude prices edge up on Thursday, but remain trading within the previous day’s range.

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Copper: One‑month highs on de‑escalation hopes – ING

ING’s commodities team says Copper has climbed to around a one‑month high alongside broader industrial metals as markets price reduced macro risks and potential US–Iran talks.

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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $79.65 per troy ounce, up 0.83% from the $78.99 it cost on Wednesday.

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US: Questioning payroll strength – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Steve Englander and Dan Pan argue that United States (US) labour market strength may be overstated once model-based adjustments are stripped out.

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Iran: Pakistani army chief’s trip to Iran helS reduce differences in some areas

According to a statement from a senior Iranian official, Pakistani army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir’s trip to Iran has helped reduce differences in some areas; however, issues regarding Tehran’s nuclear ambitions and uranium enrichment remain unsolved.

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USD: Data and Fed speakers guide rates – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team notes that US rates moved higher as the S&P 500 reached a record high, with comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent acknowledging eventual Federal Reserve rate cuts but allowing for a pause.

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US Dollar Index inches higher above 98.00 despite risk-on mood

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, halts its losing streak that began on April 6 and is trading around 98.20 during the European hours on Thursday.

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Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) above forecasts (1.2%) in March: Actual (1.3%)

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Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) remains at 0.8% in March

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Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) registered at 2.6% above expectations (2.5%) in March

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Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) meets forecasts (2.3%) in March

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AUD/USD: Overbought rally eyes 0.7190 cap – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight a sharp AUD/USD surge to 0.7178, far above their prior 0.7100–0.7155 range expectation, leaving the pair deeply overbought. They see scope for a test of 0.7190 intraday, but doubt a sustained break higher.

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USD/CHF Price Forecast: US Dollar bears remain capped above 0.7800

The US Dollar (USD) is trading practically flat against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, with the USD/CHF pair holding above the 0.7800 area for now, yet upside attempts are capped below Monday’s highs at 0.7830, as hopes of a resolution of the Middle East Conflict are weighing on the safe-haven G

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EUR: Diverging Scandies driven by risk flows – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) strengthened on risk-on sentiment, pushing EUR/NOK back to just above 11.00, while EUR/SEK initially resisted positive risk before slipping below 10.80 later.

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AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Reaches fresh record highs above 114.00

AUD/JPY continues its winning streak that began on April 6, trading around 114.10 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a bullish bias as the currency cross moves upwards within the ascending channel pattern.

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ECB’s Villeroy: Focus on April hike is premature

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and governor of the Bank of France, François Villeroy de Galhau, said during European trading hours on Thursday that it is premature to price in an interest rate hike in the policy meeting later this month.

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Oil: War risks and pricing disconnect – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every argues that markets are treating the Iran conflict and Hormuz disruption as largely resolved, with Oil futures not fully reflecting physical supply risks.

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EUR/USD: Rally faces correction risks – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that EUR/USD has fully retraced its March losses, helped by fading expectations for an April ECB hike while a June hike remains priced. The ECB is seen keeping a hike option open as it assesses scenarios.

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SNB Minutes: Swiss economic outlook becomes uncertain due to Middle East war

No immediate response by the Swiss Franc (CHF) after the SNB minutes release. However, USD/CHF is rising in the European trade and has recovered its early losses, turning flat around 0.7820 as the US Dollar (USD) bounces back.

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