Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister expects the Brazilian central bank to start its cutting cycle, with consensus looking for an initial move after a long hold at 15%. He sees scope for a 25 or 50 basis point cut and anticipates the pace to accelerate later in 2026.
TD Securities strategists report that the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate at 2.25% and dropped guidance that the current rate is appropriate.
USD/CAD trims part of its earlier gains on Wednesday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) finds some support following the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) monetary policy announcement.
ABN AMRO’s Senior Fixed Income Strategist Larissa de Barros Fritz analyzes how different Oil and Gas shocks affect ECB expectations and Bund yields. She notes that demand-driven Oil shocks, speculative inventory moves, and supply disruptions each have distinct rate and curve impacts.
ING’s Benjamin Schroeder expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates unchanged at its March FOMC meeting as higher Oil prices and elevated inflation expectations constrain policy. He notes markets see no cut today, with the first reduction only fully priced by year-end.
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Rachel Battaglia and Abbey Xu report that Canadian cardholder spending improved modestly in February, even as consumers continued to reduce discretionary goods purchases.
The White House announced on Wednesday that they have issued a 60-day waiver of the Jones Act shipping law, per Reuters.
TD Securities expects the Sweden's central bank, Riksbank to keep its policy rate unchanged at 1.75%, noting that pre-Iran conflict inflation was running below December projections.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with markets focused on the vote split, dot plot and Chair Powell’s tone.
ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Copper prices have come under pressure following a sharp increase in exchange inventories. LME Copper stocks have risen to their highest level since 2019, driven by inflows into Taiwan and Baltimore.
EUR/GBP holds firm on Wednesday after paring earlier losses, as steady Eurozone inflation data underpins the Euro (EUR), leaving the British Pound (GBP) under modest pressure.
A spokesperson for Qatar's foreign ministry said on Wednesday that Iran's South Pars gas field is an extension of Qatar's North Field, per Reuters.
EUR/JPY trades around 183.50 on Wednesday at the time of writing, remaining virtually unchanged on the day as investors stay cautious ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policy decisions on Thursday.
BNY’s EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu notes that Emerging Market FX carry trades remain resilient despite the Middle East conflict, with only INR and RON now underheld among 12 high-yielders.
Cryptocurrency prices are edging lower, as reflected by Bitcoin (BTC) falling below $73,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Ethereum (ETH) hovers below $2,300, mirroring Bitcoin’s volatility, while Ripple (XRP) extends its correction beneath the pivotal $1.50 level.
TD Securities analysts project further loosening in UK labour conditions, with employment falling, unemployment rising to its COVID peak of 5.3%, and wage growth easing but still elevated.
US Producer Prices rose 3.4% in February from a year earlier, according to the latest figures from the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS). The print came in well above estimates (2.9%) and the 2.9% gain recorded in the previous month.
ING economist Rogier Quaedvlieg argues that the latest energy shock, driven by the Strait of Hormuz closure, is a cost‑push shock that raises US inflation while weakening growth.
Ripple is facing new competition in the stablecoin payments race from payment giants such as Visa and Mastercard. The shift in market focus to stablecoins for cross-border payments, micro-transactions, and agentic-economy support is brewing competition and reinvigorating investor interest in Ripple.