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USD/INR: Interim trade deal caps near-term INR gains – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan views the detailed US–India interim trade deal, including tariff cuts and exemptions, as positive for India’s external position. He sees scope for USD/INR to briefly break below 90 in coming months, but expects only a shallow INR recovery.

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USD/CNY: Gradual reflation and policy easing guide CNY path – MUFG

MUFG’s Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that China’s January CPI slowdown was heavily distorted by Chinese New Year base effects, with food and services dragging headline inflation. PPI deflation narrowed on stronger global metals prices and tech-related demand.

출처  Fxstreet1771021020
Hong Kong: Solid growth outlook into 2026 – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu raises Hong Kong’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.2% from 2.5%, citing robust Q4 momentum, stronger financial activity and improving consumer sentiment.

출처  Fxstreet1771018860
Ethereum Weekly Price Forecast: Tomasz Stańczak to step down as EF co-executive director, ETH recovers $2,000

Ethereum Foundation (EF) co-executive director Tomasz Stańczak announced he will step down from his role at the end of February, less than a year after joining the organization.

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Malaysia: Growth seen moderating in 2026 – UOB

UOB economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting note Malaysia’s 4Q25 GDP grew 6.3% year-on-year, the fastest since 4Q22, lifting full-year 2025 growth to 5.2%.

출처  Fxstreet1771016760
Silver Price Forecast: Gains 2% on US CPI, struggles below $80.00

Silver price advances bounce off daily lows around $74.01, posts gains of over 2.50% on Friday, yet it is poised to end the week on a negative note. A softer than expected US inflation report, pushed the white metal higher and traded at $77.20 a troy ounce ahead of the weekend.

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 124.6K to 117.8K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions increased to €180.3K from previous €163.4K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions increased to $33.2K from previous $26.1K

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions increased to $-105.1K from previous $-132.9K

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions fell from previous $165.6K to $160K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-25.8K vs previous £-13.9K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-19.1K vs ¥-19.2K

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INR: New CPI series and RBI stance – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts explain that India’s new CPI series shows January inflation at 2.8% year-on-year, back within the RBI’s 2–6% target band. The reweighted basket reduces food’s share and should damp volatility.

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Fed's Goolsbee: Rates can come down, but need to see services inflation progress

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday during an interview with Yahoo Finance that although interest rates are poised to come down further, moves on policy rates are contingent on further taming of services inflation.

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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar struggles near 96.80 ahead of PCE, Fed speakers

The US Dollar (USD) lost major ground over the week, briefly gaining some strength after better-than-expected United States (US) jobs data, as the January Nonfarm Payrolls report showed 130K new jobs were added. Also, the Unemployment Rate fell to 4.3% from 4.4%.

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Taiwan: Growth surges with AI exports – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu raises Taiwan’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 8.0% from 3.8%, citing strong Q4-2025 expansion and robust global semiconductor demand.

출처  Fxstreet1771012140
Gold reclaims $5,000 as US inflation data ignites Fed cut speculation

Gold (XAU/USD) price makes a U-turn on Friday and trims some of Thursday’s losses, rising nearly 2% following the release of a softer-than-expected inflation report in the US, which increased speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could lower rates.

출처  Fxstreet1771012076
Singapore: Pro‑growth FY26 budget with AI focus – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that Singapore’s FY26 budget marks a strategic pro‑growth pivot, with higher development spending aimed at building national AI capabilities, supporting enterprise funding, and attracting high‑quality capital.

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Malaysia: Solid growth outlook supports Ringgit – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Edward Lee and Jonathan Koh highlight that Malaysia’s economy grew 5.2% in 2025 after 5.1% in 2024, driven by strong domestic confidence, AI-related investment and accommodative policy.

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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count declined to 409 from previous 412

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India: Softer CPI keeps RBI on hold – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that India’s CPI inflation under the rebased 2024 series rose to 2.8% year-on-year, driven mainly by food prices.

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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: Don't want to decouple with China, want to de-risk

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sounded confident on the inflation outlook, suggesting price pressures could return close to the Fed’s 2% target by mid-year.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average recovers as January CPI cools, rate cut bets surge

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) bounced back on Friday, climbing around 220 points to trade near 49,665 after opening at 49,366. The recovery followed Thursday's punishing 669-point selloff that was driven by fears of AI-led disruption across software, trucking, and real estate sectors.

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CZK: Core inflation guides cautious CNB – ING

ING’s David Havrlant expects Czech inflation to soften further in 2026 as food prices decelerate, with headline inflation seen near 1% in summer and core inflation easing in the second half.

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USD/JPY eases as softer US CPI caps Dollar gains, Yen demand stays firm

The Japanese Yen (JPY) rebounds against the US Dollar (USD)on Friday, as the Greenback trims earlier gains after softer-than-expected US inflation data.

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Uniswap Price Forecast: UNI rebounds as retail interest cools

Uniswap (UNI) rises alongside other cryptocurrencies, trading at $3.44 at the time of writing on Friday.

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USD/CAD remains bid despite weaker US inflation data

USD/CAD trades in a tight range on Friday, as the US Dollar (USD) holds firm despite softer-than-expected US inflation data. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is hovering near 1.3625, holding modest gains and remaining on the front foot for a third consecutive day.

출처  Fxstreet1770999819
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