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When is the Canadian employment data and how it could it affect USD/CAD?

The Canadian labor market data for March is scheduled to be published today at 12:30 GMT.

출처  Fxstreet1775819025
Ukraine nears peace deal with Russia – Bloomberg

According to a report from Bloomberg, a senior adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said during European trading hours on Friday that Kyiv is close to reaching a peace deal with Russia.

출처  Fxstreet1775816442
India: Gradual energy pass-through keeps RBI patient – DBS

DBS Group Research projects India’s March Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to edge up to 3.45% year-on-year from 3.2%, reflecting higher cooking gas, energy and input costs, while retail fuel and food stay benign. Precious metals’ correction tempers price pressures.

출처  Fxstreet1775814983
Fed: Limited inflation shock, delayed cuts – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economist Bernd Weidensteiner notes that the Federal Reserve sees itself in a good position despite Iran‑related inflation risks, with officials expecting only a small core inflation impact.

출처  Fxstreet1775814028
US: Energy shock set to lift headline CPI – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists expect a sharp acceleration in US CPI for March as higher gasoline prices feed through. They project headline CPI at 0.95% month‑on‑month, the strongest since June 2022, lifting the annual rate back to 3.4%.

출처  Fxstreet1775813459
ECB: Four rate hikes still baseline despite ceasefire – Nordea

Nordea’s Jan von Gerich and Tuuli Koivu updated their ECB outlook before the ceasefire news and now expect four 25bp hikes starting in June.

출처  Fxstreet1775812887
Brent: Geopolitics keep risk premium elevated – Rabobank

Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets team notes that Brent crude has firmed as markets weigh a fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran and severe disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.

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US: War burden and spending power – UBS

UBS economist Paul Donovan discusses how US March consumer price inflation highlights US consumers’ war-related burden and affordability concerns.

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AUD/USD: Overdone rally still has room to test 0.7135 – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD broke above the prior range, reaching near 0.7100. Despite labeling the recent surge as overdone, they still see room for a push toward 0.7135, with 0.7000 now the key strong support.

출처  Fxstreet1775809629

Italy Industrial Output s.a. (MoM) below forecasts (0.5%) in February: Actual (0.1%)

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Italy Industrial Output w.d.a (YoY) in line with forecasts (0.5%) in February

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IDF remains in state of war with Lebanon

According to a report from the Guardian, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff, Eyal Zamir, said that forces are continuing their combat operations in southern Lebanon and are “not in a ceasefire” with Hezbollah.

출처  Fxstreet1775807867
US equities: Outlook-driven earnings season – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage argues that Q1 US equities will be driven more by forward guidance than reported earnings, with consensus S&P 500 earnings growth around 13% and wide dispersion in forecasts.

출처  Fxstreet1775807266
Brent: Supported near 96 as Hormuz traffic stalls – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights that Brent crude is trading around USD 96 per barrel after sharp intraday swings tied to Middle East headlines.

출처  Fxstreet1775806353
GBP/USD: Upside risk hinges on 1.3480 close – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight a still-positive short-term outlook for GBP/USD after recent gains above 1.3450. They see scope for the Pound (GBP) to advance toward 1.3520, but stress that a daily close above 1.3480 is required.

출처  Fxstreet1775805450
Asian stocks rise as US-Iran ceasefire eases central banks’ rate hike odds

Asian equities rise following a rally on Wall Street overnight as the United States (US)–Iran ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, easing concerns over renewed inflation and further rate hikes by the central banks.

출처  Fxstreet1775804645

Austria Industrial Production (YoY) increased to 1.1% in February from previous 0.3%

출처  Fxstreet1775804423
DXY: Limited haven response to Oil shock – DBS

Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights that despite Brent crude trading in a USD 100–120 range in Q1 2026, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has stayed within its established 96–101 band.

Japanese Yen drifts lower ahead of US CPI inflation data, US-Iran talks

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers to near 159.30 during the early European trading hours on Friday. A fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran provides some support to the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). 

출처  Fxstreet1775803798
Asia FX: Ceasefire bounce faces oil and Fed headwinds – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan argues that Asia FX gains on ceasefire hopes are running ahead of fundamentals, as Oil retains a structural floor and US yields stay elevated.

Equities: Cyclical rally extends as volatility eases – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team reports that global equities extended gains, led by US markets, with cyclical sectors outperforming while defensive and low-volatility names lag.

출처  Fxstreet1775802436
USD: Oil shock, inflation risks and Fed path – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur argues that FX markets will increasingly shift focus from Gulf tensions to the impact of higher Oil prices on United States (US) inflation and the US Dollar (USD).

Sweden Industrial Production Value (YoY) increased to 7% in February from previous 1.9%

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Sweden Industrial Production Value (MoM) rose from previous -5.7% to 5.1% in February

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Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY) climbed from previous -3.9% to 1% in February

출처  Fxstreet1775800803

Netherlands, The Manufacturing Output (MoM) dipped from previous 0.4% to -1.3% in February

출처  Fxstreet1775795403

Indonesia Consumer Confidence down to 122.9 in March from previous 125.2

출처  Fxstreet1775791843
BoJ’s Himino: Don't think Japan’s economy is in stagflation.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Friday, “don't think Japan’s economy is in stagflation.”

출처  Fxstreet1775784687

China Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (-0.2%) in March: Actual (-0.7%)

출처  Fxstreet1775784620

China Producer Price Index (YoY) above forecasts (0.4%) in March: Actual (0.5%)

출처  Fxstreet1775784619
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