BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that sovereign bonds from commodity-based EM economies have seen accelerated selling after the Fed decision, despite a weaker Dollar and lower U.S. real yields.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the British Pound (GBP) is posting fractional gains versus the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming G10 peers as improving sentiment supports price action.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley reviews recent United Kingdom (UK) data against Eurozone performance. Foley notes Eurozone Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at 0.4% q/q and a 0.7% UK upturn in the three months to May.
TradingKey - 수요일 미국 노동통계국이 발표한 자료에 따르면 미국의 7월 소비자물가지수(CPI)는 전월 대비 0.1% 상승해 0.4% 하락했던 6월에서 눈에 띄게 반등했다. 전년 동기 대비로는 3.4% 상승해 6월의 3.5%보다 낮아졌다. 두 수치 모두 시장 예상치에 대체로 부합해 미국의 인플레이션이 계속 완만하게 둔화하고 있음을 나타냈으나, 전체
TD Securities strategists expect United Kingdom (UK) June Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to show a reversal of May’s strength in professional services, offsetting solid retail sales and leaving the Index of Services flat, with modest industrial weakness keeping monthly GDP at 0.0% m/m.
According to a senior Iranian source, there are no discussions about extending the ceasefire between Iran and the US, Reuters reported.
Inflation in India accelerates slightly in July, while remaining close to market expectations. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on Wednesday by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), rises 4.45% YoY in July, compared with 4.38% in June.
Chris Turner at ING notes EUR/USD remains lacklustre despite better Eurozone data and upside surprises, as high European natural gas prices and Gulf tensions weigh on the Euro.
EUR/CAD remains steady after five days of losses, trading around 1.6070 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross moves little as the Euro (EUR) holds ground following the release of Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley outlines a cautious stance on UK fiscal prospects and their impact on EUR/GBP. The Burnham government’s planned flexibility in fiscal rules and higher infrastructure spending could mean more gilt supply and tax speculation.
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to edge up to 4.4% year-on-year from 4.3%. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra said inflation is largely under control, supporting expectations for rates to stay on hold near term.
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% in June but signaled a higher chance of another hike, with the year-end rate forecast just over 4.5%.
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky highlights easing Romanian inflation driven mainly by base effects, with the National Bank of Romania unlikely to cut rates before early 2027.
Deutsche Bank strategists note that United States (US) equities had a mixed session as Magnificent 7 weakness weighed on the S&P 500, even as the equal-weighted index reached a fresh record.
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the former continues to face pressure due to surging oil prices.
GBP/USD inches lower after remaining flat in the previous day, trading around 1.3500 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency pair continues to hold its losses as the US Dollar (USD) gains strength ahead of a crucial inflation report.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unanimously held rates at 4.35% in August, but major economic forecasters offer varying takes on what comes next:
OCBC analysts Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong discuss USD/SGD after its post-payroll decline, noting the pair last traded near 1.28 with bearish momentum starting to wane.
US Treasury yields eased on Tuesday as most investors remain cautious, awaiting the release of US inflation figures and the resolution of the US-Iran conflict, which has encountered hurdles.
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to remain confined in a narrow intraday range, reflecting flat momentum indicators. Over the next 1–3 weeks, they still see scope for the Dollar to edge lower toward 6.7300 while resistance has shifted higher.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) strengthened to near a two‑month high on a softer US Dollar (USD) after weak United States (US) payrolls and clarity over Bank Indonesia (BI) leadership, with Destry Damayanti nominated as sole governor candidate.
Standard Chartered Bank economists Edward Lee and Jonathan Koh highlight that Singapore’s H1 GDP expanded 6.1% year-on-year, with strong AI-related demand offsetting energy sector drag.
Commerzbank strategists note July Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 2.0% year-on-year, below consensus, mainly due to softer retail fuel prices. While core CPI has been gradually rising, overall price pressures are described as manageable and below government forecasts.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/CNH slipped after weak US payrolls, with the Renminbi (RMB) near its strongest levels in over three years.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/SGD to remain in a tight intraday band after Monday’s modest rebound, with the pair seen between 1.2785 and 1.2815.