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US President Trump says he can trust Iranians – ABC News

US President Donald Trump said he can trust Iranians, according to an interview with ABC News. Trump added that talks will take place only in Islamabad and resume over the weekend.

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Singapore: CPI seen higher on energy shock – DBS

DBS Group Research expects Singapore’s March 2026 core and headline inflation to rise to 1.6% and 1.8% year-on-year, from 1.4% and 1.2% in February. The report links this to imported energy price pressures after the Middle East conflict.

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AI: Competitive edge debate – UBS

UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan assesses how Artificial Intelligence (AI) may affect productivity and whether the European Union (EU) could gain an advantage over the United States (US).

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China: Policy easing expectations trimmed – DBS

DBS Group Research economists highlight that China’s Q1 2026 GDP growth accelerated to 5.0% year-on-year, driven by strong external demand and resilient industrial production, while domestic demand in consumption, investment and credit stayed weak.

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions declined to $-115.8K from previous $-45.7K

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions climbed from previous 202.2K to 206.5K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥-83.2K from previous ¥-93.7K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-832K from previous ¥-93.7K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €26K vs €-7.5K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions climbed from previous £-56.4K to £-54.7K

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions up to $162.5K from previous $156.3K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions fell from previous $70.8K to $65.1K

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Asia FX: De-escalation hopes support regional currencies – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that improved diplomatic signals in the Middle East have boosted risk sentiment, softening the US Dollar (USD) and supporting Asian FX. However, high US front-end yields still underpin the Dollar, and bond markets remain cautious.

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PBoC: Targeted easing over broad cuts – DBS

DBS Group Research expects the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) to keep the 1-year Loan Prime Rate at 3.00% as Chinese growth has firmed and price dynamics improved. The report notes external demand is supporting industrial activity while domestic momentum is uneven.

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Fed’s Waller: Will closely watch jobs data for growing signs of stress

Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), speaks about the economic outlook and monetary policy at Auburn University in Alabama on Friday. He stated that the break-even rate for the job market is currently likely around zero.

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CNY: On track to test 6.80 with strong local demand – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts flag that CNY is on course to test 6.80 for the first time in three years, even as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) moderates the pace of appreciation via weaker fixings.

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Central banks: Watching Gulf fallout, not overreacting – UBS

UBS's Chief Economist Paul Donovan highlights that central banks are focused on second-round effects from Gulf developments rather than immediate policy shifts.

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Fed’s Daly: Could Leave Rates Where They Are

Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco, spoke at the University of California-Berkeley's Fisher Center on Friday. She indicated that, at this point, she is observing whether higher oil prices are affecting the prices of other goods and services.

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Iran could close Strait of Hormuz if US navy blockade persists – Fars News

Citing an Iranian official, Fars News Agency reported on Friday that if the US naval blockade persists, Tehran will consider it a violation of the ceasefire and close the Strait of Hormuz, per Reuters.

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Germany: China shock shows tentative turn – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Robin Winkler argues that German manufacturing faces an ongoing "China shock" as Germany’s trade deficit with China has reached a record size and now exceeds its surplus with the US.

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Asian FX: Surpluses rise without currency strength – Commerzbank

Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank flags surging trade and current account surpluses in China, Taiwan and South Korea alongside weak currencies versus Euro (EUR) and, for the Won (KRW), even versus US Dollar (USD).

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Sweden: Core downside surprise shapes VAT impact view – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team reviews Sweden’s March inflation, highlighting a downside surprise in core inflation and energy, driven by a sharper-than-expected fall in electricity prices and broad food price declines.

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US President Trump: Israel prohibited from bombing Lebanon

In a post published on Truth Social on Friday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will get the "nucelar dust" from Iran, created by their B2 bombers.

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Energy: Softer inflation shock expected – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas economist Hélène Baudchon compares the current Oil and gas price surge linked to the war in Iran with the 2022 energy shock.

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Israeli PM Netanyahu: Trump determined to continue blockade of Hormuz Strait

In a video statement released on Friday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that they have the opportunity to make a historic deal with Lebanon, per Reuters.

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UK: Political risk lifts long yields – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts flag a sharp rise in 10‑year gilt yields after a report that former United States (US) ambassador Peter Mandelson failed security vetting, with the decision allegedly overruled.

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ECB: June hike path outlined as inflation lingers – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich now expect the ECB to deliver four consecutive 25 bp rate hikes starting in June, despite recent ceasefire news in the Middle East.

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ECB’s President Lagarde: Inflation could turn out higher than the baseline

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), gave a statement at the fifty-third meeting of the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMF) on Friday.

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Copper: Medium-term upside on tightening outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts highlight that the International Copper Study Group has already shifted its 2026 view to a deficit and is likely to project further tightening into 2027.

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US considers $20 billion deal with Iran to limit enriched uranium - Axios

The United States (US) and Iran are currently negotiating a draft agreement aimed at ending the conflict, according to a report by Axios. The talks focus on a three-page memorandum of understanding that includes several measures related to Iran’s nuclear program.

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