Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights that USD/THB edged higher as Thai inflation data support a steady policy stance. Lay links the move to expectations that the Bank of Thailand (BoT) will keep interest rates on hold at 1% through at least the next meeting.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights an extended broad rally in South Korean Won (KRW) as Korean equities underperform, reducing rebalancing outflows.

Argentina Industrial Output n.s.a (YoY) down to -5.7% in May from previous -2.8%

United States Consumer Credit Change below forecasts ($17.1B) in May: Actual ($-0.18B)

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD is edging higher after a period of tight consolidation, with intraday upside seen as limited below nearby resistance.

연방준비제도(Fed)는 7월 8일, 지난 6월 16~17일에 열린 FOMC 통화정책 회의 의사록을 공개했다. 해당 문서는 연준이 중립적이고 관망적인 입장으로 완전히 전환했으며, 인플레이션 상방 리스크가 핵심 갈등 요인으로 부각되었음을 보여준다.이번 FOMC 회의는 연준이 기존의 일방적인 금리 인하 편향에서 완전히 벗어나 양방향의 유연한 정책 관찰기에 진입했

United States 10-Year Note Auction climbed from previous 4.538% to 4.58%

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses UK political dynamics, noting Burnham’s likely unchallenged path to becoming Prime Minister on July 20 and his popularity within Labour.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the British Pound (GBP) is slightly softer but supported by a sharp repricing of Bank of England (BoE) tightening.

Societe Generale strategist Kunal Kundu expects India’s June 2026 headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to print around 4.1% year-on-year, slightly above May’s 3.9% but still within the RBI’s tolerance band.

United States Wholesale Inventories registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.3%) in May

Standard Chartered analysis by Christopher Graham and Saabir Salad discusses Andy Burnham’s stance against an early UK general election if he becomes prime minister.

United States (US) President Donald Trump stepped up his rhetoric against Iran on Wednesday on the sidelines of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) summit, according to comments cited by Reuters.

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The Minutes should shed more light on the Fed’s hawkish hold delivered at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair.

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee reports that the New York Fed’s June Survey of Consumer Expectations showed 1-year inflation expectations rising to 3.7%, with 3-year expectations at 3.3% and 5-year unchanged at 3%.

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) strategist Alexandra Ducharme reports Canada’s merchandise trade surplus hit a four-year high in May as exports reached a record C$77.1 billion. Gains were driven by metal ores and non-metallic minerals, while energy exports declined.

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that the British Pound (GBP) has been a strong G10 performer this year, supported by sticky United Kingdom (UK) inflation, Bank of England (BoE) rate expectations and inbound M&A flows.

Francesco Pesole at ING discusses Euro resilience despite French political developments, including Marine Le Pen’s 2027 bid and expectations of an RN win.

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep rates at 3.75% through year-end, with easing delayed until policymakers gain confidence on inflation.

United States MBA Mortgage Applications fell from previous 0% to -2.2% in July 3

France Current Account rose from previous €-0.2B to €-0.1B in May

TD Securities strategists preview the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, expecting more insight into the policy debate than provided by Chair Warsh’s press conference.

Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that client flows into United States (US) equities remain geared to inflation risk, even as direct inflation-hedge sectors see reduced inflows. BNY’s iFlow equity inflation style indicator shows a wide gap between inflation-sensitive flows and falling breakevens.

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Governor of the Bank of Spain, José Luis Escrivá, said on Wednesday that the central bank “will keep all options on the table and decide on a meeting-by-meeting basis.”

Standard Chartered economists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand assess India’s FY27 fiscal deficit outlook, highlighting how lower crude Oil prices reduce the risk of fiscal slippage to about 0.2-0.3% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) versus 0.5% earlier.

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that recent Iranian strikes on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent crude from $72 to $76 per barrel and lifted US Treasury 2Y yields, but markets still see no return to full-scale war.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights EUR/SEK reclaiming its 200-day moving average and breaking above a base, signalling a short-term uptrend towards 11.11.

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that June FOMC minutes may already be stale as weaker labour data and lower energy prices challenge the Fed’s hawkish dot plot. He sees OIS pricing as too aggressive, with rate hikes over-priced and a rate cut by March 2027 more likely than another hike.

ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Aluminium has extended gains after hitting a four‑month low, as lower prices attracted Chinese buying.