Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that the economy is rebounding moderately with sustained wage growth momentum, but the outlook calls for caution.

United Kingdom BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) came in at 1% below forecasts (1.5%) in April

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay, Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim argue that the war in Iran has delivered a stagflationary shock to Asia, pushing inflation forecasts higher while leaving growth risks skewed to the downside.

Japan Unemployment Rate came in at 2.7%, above expectations (2.6%) in March

Japan Jobs / Applicants Ratio meets expectations (1.18) in March

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Jester Koh highlights that Singapore’s industrial production rose strongly in March, lifting estimated 1Q26 GDP growth.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Tuesday, at around 3:00 GMT. The BoJ is widely expected to deliver a hawkish hold, keeping the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75% while also hinting at a willingness to hike rates.

Commerzbank’s FX team highlights that CNY is the only Asian currency stronger against the Dollar since late February, helped by robust exports and policy support.

BNY's Bob Savage reports that the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Eli Remolona faces a legal complaint tied to disclosures in an impeachment probe involving the vice president.

South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI increased to 72 in May from previous 71

TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir project output growth gradually slowing to potential by late 2026 as Iran-related stagflationary risks keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) cautious.

Standard Chartered Bank economists Anubhuti Sahay, Saurav Anand and Nagaraj Kulkarni assess Indian states’ finances, projecting the aggregate FY27 fiscal deficit at 2.9% of GDP, similar to FY26.

Deutsche Bank economists Marion Muehlberger and Ursula Walther argue that Germany’s new reform drive under Finance Minister Klingbeil could gradually improve growth prospects and sentiment.

ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky expects Central and Eastern European (CEE) FX to stay broadly stable this week despite volatile rates and global headlines.

TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed funds rate at 3.50–3.75% at the April Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), with Chair Powell maintaining a neutral stance on future policy.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that earlier market surveys showed a strong chance of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike this week, but Governor Ueda’s lack of clear hints at IMF/World Bank meetings shifted expectations to June.

United States 2-Year Note Auction declined to 3.812% from previous 3.936%

United States 5-Year Note Auction declined to 3.955% from previous 3.98%

In a post on published on his Telegram account, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that United States (US) President Donald Trump is requesting negotiations because the US has not achieved any of its objectives.

Rabobank strategists Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight policy rate at 2.25% through year-end, with no change anticipated at the April 29 meeting.

Standard Chartered strategists Christopher Graham and John Davies expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.00% on 30 April, citing a wait‑for‑data stance as the Middle East conflict evolves.

United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index down to -2.3 in April from previous -0.2

Rabobank strategists reiterate its view that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to cut rates again this year, even as United States (US) Treasury yields edge higher on persistent inflation concerns.

According to The Times, the United Kingdom (UK) House of Commons will vote on Tuesday on whether to launch an investigation through the Committee of Privileges to determine if Prime Minister Keir Starmer misled lawmakers over the appointment of former US ambassador Peter Mandelson.

Commerzbank’s Rainer Guntermann argues that the ECB is likely to maintain a balanced hold this week, with April HICP data expected to show energy-driven headline inflation and a temporary dip in core.

Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ up to $2.499B in March from previous $-1.09B

Mexico Trade Balance, $: $5.932B (March) vs $-0.463B

UOB strategists Suan Teck Kin and Alvin Liew assess how a potential Kevin Warsh Fed chairmanship could shape United States (US) monetary policy and the Fed funds rate.

Philip Wee of DBS Group Research observes that the US Dollar (USD), as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), has lost upside momentum after an earlier rebound. The index has stalled around 99 following a decline from 100.6 to just under 98 earlier in April.

HSBC Asset Management notes that upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB and Bank of England (BoE) are unlikely to deliver policy changes, but guidance on inflation and growth will be closely watched.