The United States' (US) real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 0.5% in the fourth quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis' third estimate showed on Thursday.
Inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, held steady at 2.8% in February, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. This print came in line with the market expectation.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 219K for the week ending April 4.
Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Thursday that Israeli strikes on Lebanon would deem negotiations meaningless because they violate the ceasefire agreement, per Reuters.
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects UK GDP to rebound by 0.2% m-o-m in February after a flat January, with balanced risks around the nowcast. The bank’s models also point to a possible upward revision to January.
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Poland’s NBP to keep rates on hold after the Iran-related energy shock derailed its easing cycle. With Oil prices unlikely to normalise quickly, emergency fiscal measures and distorted price signals keep policy in a reactive, geopolitical framework.
UOB’s Alvin Liew notes that the March FOMC minutes show a divided Federal Reserve but with most officials more worried about US labor markets than inflation, implying a tilt toward future rate cuts.