Nomura’s Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak say the latest UK labour data show strong private sector pay but softer employment, with payrolls falling and vacancies at their lowest since early 2021.

Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja assesses latest United Kingdom (UK) labour market data as signalling a still weak backdrop, with employment struggling and vacancies falling.

Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu notes that India’s headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 4.8% year-on-year in August 2026, staying above the Reserve Bank of India ’s (RBI) 4.0% median target for a third month.

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Pound has been resilient against the Dollar and EUR/GBP has fallen about 0.5% since Friday, partly on positioning ahead of the Bank of England meeting.

Private-sector hiring in the US has gained further pace in later August. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 16.25K jobs per week in the four weeks ending August 29.

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts highlight that Canada’s economy has rebounded, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth improving in Q2 2026 and per-capita gains supported by a lower unemployment rate.

Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park and Nicholas Chia expect the Bank of Japan to hike its policy rate by 25bps to 1.25% at the 17-18 September meeting.

ING economist James Smith argues that recent United Kingdom (UK) jobs data underline a cooler labour market and weaker wage dynamics, reducing the risk of another inflation surge.

Rabobank's Senior Energy Strategists Joe DeLaura and Florence Schmit revise their Brent outlook higher as Middle East disruptions tighten supply routes.

Germany’s ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment rose slightly to 34.7 in September from 34.2 in August, although the reading falls short of market expectations of 37.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman says the Pound is holding up better than expected despite the worsening energy price shock.

AUD/JPY gains ground for the second consecutive day, trading around 110.40 during European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross appreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) faces headwinds from rising global oil prices, which significantly inflate import costs for Japan's energy-dependent economy.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky explains that a surge in energy prices, a jump in US 10-year yields to 5% and a stronger Dollar have hit CEE currencies and pushed local rates higher.

BNY’s John Velis expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25bp at this week’s FOMC meeting and sees another hike as likely later this year.

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 179.00 during European hours on Tuesday.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses whether the Swiss Franc (CHF) will shift from safe haven to funding currency status. Foley highlights Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervention during the Iran war, subdued Swiss inflation, and a zero policy rate.

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to respond to India’s broadening inflation pressures with a new mini rate-hike cycle. Kundu projects a 25bp hike in October, followed by two similar moves in December and February.

EUR/CAD extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 1.6040 during European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross depreciates as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains support from rising crude oil prices.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that rising Oil prices have sharply lifted UK rate expectations, with markets now discounting four Bank of England hikes by mid-2027 versus just over one in June.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 15:

TradingKey - 미국이 동부시간 기준 수요일(9월 16일) 8월 소매판매 데이터를 발표할 예정이다. 7월 소비 지출이 눈에 띄게 둔화한 이후, 시장은 8월 소매판매가 다시 성장세를 회복할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 데이터 발표 불과 몇 시간 뒤 연방준비제도(Fed)가 9월 금리 결정을 발표할 예정인 만큼, 이번 소매판매 보고서는 미국 3분기 소비의 회복

Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid reports that US equities weakened as AI slowdown headlines triggered a sharp selloff in semiconductor names, dragging the broader S&P 500 lower.

Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that the official will not rely on deficit-covering bonds to fund the tax cut. Katayama added that government will scrutinise budget requests for next fiscal year strictly going forward.

The United Kingdom’s (UK) ILO Unemployment Rate stayed at 4.9% in the three months to July after reporting 4.9% in the previous reading, data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday. The data came in below the market consensus of 5.0%.

Indonesian rupiah weakened as rising oil prices raised inflation fears and threatened the net oil importer's fiscal position.

Asian equities trade mixed on Tuesday as traders weighed Middle East tensions and calls by industry figures for a slowdown in AI development.

South Korea Money Supply Growth down to 8% in July from previous 9.4%

China’s Retail Sales rose 0.4% year-over-year (YoY) in August vs. a rise of 0.8% expected and a 0.6% growth in July, the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed Tuesday.

China Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (YoY) in line with expectations (-7.2%) in August

China Industrial Production (YoY) registered at 5.2% above expectations (4.8%) in August