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SGD: Budget support and equity-market push – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s FX analysts note that Singapore’s 2026 Budget emphasizes supply-side support, SME internationalisation and capital-market development, including fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme and Anchor Fund.

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USD/CNY: Gradual reflation and policy easing guide CNY path – MUFG

MUFG’s Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that China’s January CPI slowdown was heavily distorted by Chinese New Year base effects, with food and services dragging headline inflation. PPI deflation narrowed on stronger global metals prices and tech-related demand.

출처  Fxstreet1771021020
Hong Kong: Solid growth outlook into 2026 – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu raises Hong Kong’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.2% from 2.5%, citing robust Q4 momentum, stronger financial activity and improving consumer sentiment.

출처  Fxstreet1771018860
Malaysia: Growth seen moderating in 2026 – UOB

UOB economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting note Malaysia’s 4Q25 GDP grew 6.3% year-on-year, the fastest since 4Q22, lifting full-year 2025 growth to 5.2%.

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 124.6K to 117.8K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions increased to €180.3K from previous €163.4K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions increased to $33.2K from previous $26.1K

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions increased to $-105.1K from previous $-132.9K

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions fell from previous $165.6K to $160K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-25.8K vs previous £-13.9K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-19.1K vs ¥-19.2K

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INR: New CPI series and RBI stance – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts explain that India’s new CPI series shows January inflation at 2.8% year-on-year, back within the RBI’s 2–6% target band. The reweighted basket reduces food’s share and should damp volatility.

출처  Fxstreet1771014480
Fed's Goolsbee: Rates can come down, but need to see services inflation progress

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday during an interview with Yahoo Finance that although interest rates are poised to come down further, moves on policy rates are contingent on further taming of services inflation.

출처  Fxstreet1771014418
Taiwan: Growth surges with AI exports – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu raises Taiwan’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 8.0% from 3.8%, citing strong Q4-2025 expansion and robust global semiconductor demand.

출처  Fxstreet1771012140
Singapore: Pro‑growth FY26 budget with AI focus – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that Singapore’s FY26 budget marks a strategic pro‑growth pivot, with higher development spending aimed at building national AI capabilities, supporting enterprise funding, and attracting high‑quality capital.

출처  Fxstreet1771009440
Malaysia: Solid growth outlook supports Ringgit – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Edward Lee and Jonathan Koh highlight that Malaysia’s economy grew 5.2% in 2025 after 5.1% in 2024, driven by strong domestic confidence, AI-related investment and accommodative policy.

출처  Fxstreet1771008960
India: Softer CPI keeps RBI on hold – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that India’s CPI inflation under the rebased 2024 series rose to 2.8% year-on-year, driven mainly by food prices.

출처  Fxstreet1771005840
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: Don't want to decouple with China, want to de-risk

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sounded confident on the inflation outlook, suggesting price pressures could return close to the Fed’s 2% target by mid-year.

출처  Fxstreet1771005735
CZK: Core inflation guides cautious CNB – ING

ING’s David Havrlant expects Czech inflation to soften further in 2026 as food prices decelerate, with headline inflation seen near 1% in summer and core inflation easing in the second half.

출처  Fxstreet1771002720
ECB: Rates seen unchanged through 2026 – Nordea

Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich note that the ECB remains relaxed about lower inflation and FX moves, and is firmly on hold.

출처  Fxstreet1770998820
Boe’s Pill: Growth in the UK is positive, but it is not very dynamic

Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill said on Friday he does not see a collapse in activity, citing forward-looking indicators at an event hosted by Santander, a bank, in London.

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USD: Fiscal path and tariffs shape outlook – NBC

National Bank Of Canada’s Ethan Currie and Taylor Schleich stress that the U.S. fiscal trajectory remains unsustainable despite additional tariff revenues.

출처  Fxstreet1770994585
Fed: Warsh cuts and balance sheet reset – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Philip Marey argues that Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed Chair points to lower US policy rates in 2026, with three 25 bps cuts expected, slightly below the current neutral rate estimate.

출처  Fxstreet1770993940
Poland: Disinflation supports further easing – ING

ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak note that Poland’s January CPI surprised on the upside due to technical factors and volatile components, but headline inflation remains below the National Bank of Poland target.

출처  Fxstreet1770993218

United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a rose from previous 331.86 to 332.79 in January

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United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.5%) in January

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United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in January

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United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) registered at 325.25, below expectations (325.41) in January

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United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in January

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United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (2.5%) in January: Actual (2.4%)

출처  Fxstreet1770989404
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