TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha says the RBNZ kept the OCR at 2.25% and now signals a first 25 bps hike in late 2026 or early 2027, followed by limited tightening.
The EUR/GBP cross holds losses near 0.8735 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) edges slightly higher against the Euro (EUR) after the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.
Scotiabank analysts Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Pound is underperforming after a disappointing UK employment report. Softer job gains and wages keep domestic risks elevated into CPI, retail sales and PMI data.
The AUD/NZD cross rises to near 1.1760 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) edges lower against the Australian Dollar (AUD) after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Global Head of Markets Strategy Elias Haddad anticipates the Philippine central bank will cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25%, likely marking the end of its easing cycle after 200 bps of reductions since mid‑2024.
BNP Paribas analysts see Chinese GDP growth at 5.0% in 2025, easing moderately in 2026 as domestic demand weakens and property sector stress persists. Authorities are expected to maintain supportive but cautious fiscal and monetary policies, prioritizing private consumption.
Rabobank’s Michael Every discusses a material shift in Australia’s macro backdrop. RBA minutes explain a 25 bps rate hike against stronger forecasts, while the IMF warns that the 5% deposit scheme for first-time buyers will fuel housing inflation and should be scrapped.