The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to raise interest rates as soon as September and is likely to hike more aggressively thereafter from the current pace of roughly twice a year, three sources familiar with its thinking told Reuters.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground for the second successive day, trading around 99.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.
The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to near 1.3495 during the early European trading hours on Friday.
Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
USD/IDR loses ground after three days of losses, trading around 17,880 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders remain cautious ahead of President Prabowo Subianto’s 2027 budget address to parliament later in the day.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.90 in the Asian trading hours on Friday. The DXY weakens following cooler US inflation data.
Latvian officials announced the activation of an air threat alert in the southeastern part of the country, near the border with Russia and Belarus, Reuters reported on Friday.
The USD/JPY pair loses traction to near 159.45 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. Softer US inflation reports and fears of currency intervention weigh on the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY).
The Chicago Fed President, Austan Goolsbee, who is a voter until 2027, acknowledged that the disinflation process is evolving and said so late in the North American session.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/IDR has rebounded after a near 2% month-to-date pullback, with external factors such as elevated Oil prices and US rates remaining key drivers.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD stayed largely unchanged around 1.2805 on Tuesday, with momentum still flat.
Standard Chartered’s Christopher Graham notes that UK growth remained resilient in Q2, with GDP rising 0.4% q/q, driven by private consumption and business investment while government spending dragged. He expects a slowdown in H2, with growth easing to 0.2–0.3% q/q in Q3 and Q4.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that in-line United States (US) inflation and a modestly lower probability of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike have left the US Dollar (USD) broadly range-bound while risk assets continue to rally.
TD Securities reports that United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for June surprised to the upside at 0.3% m/m, driven by a strong services sector expanding 0.4% m/m. May was revised to flat, leaving June as the only positive month in Q2.
ING’s Adam Antoniak explains that Poland’s July CPI rose mainly due to higher fuel prices after VAT normalization, removal of the fuel cap and increased Oil costs following the US–Iran MoU collapse.
Standard Chartered strategists have raised its FY27 Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation forecast to 4.9% from 4.5%, citing higher food and retail fuel prices. They now expect broader price pressures, excluding Gold and Silver, with food and beverage CPI seen at 6.3%.
Geoff Yu at BNY argues that the loss of some U.S. exceptionalism has not translated into a broad exodus from U.S. assets. Cross-border investors maintain high U.S. equity allocations, supported by technology and AI themes, while trimming Treasury holdings as curve steepening raises duration risk.
Societe Generale’s Sam Cartwright notes United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.4% qoq in 2Q26, driven mainly by business investment and resilient consumer spending.
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts Rachel Battaglia and Abbey Xu note Canadian consumers kept spending in Q2 despite weak real wage gains and higher energy costs.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports Norwegian Krone weakness after Norges Bank left rates at 4.25% but softened its hawkish bias. Forward guidance shifted from a likely hike to a more conditional stance, dropping an explicit call for tighter policy.
Standard Chartered’s Christopher Graham and Emily Ashford highlight that Europe’s record heat and drought in 2026 are disrupting refiners, power generation, inland waterways and agriculture.
India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation accelerated slightly to 4.45% year-on-year in July from 4.38% in June, primarily propelled by rising food costs.
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja notes that the UK economy remained strong over spring, with UK GDP rising 0.4% q/q and annualised growth in the first half reaching 2%.
Nomura economists note Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% in August despite softer CPI-ATE inflation. The bank still flags a possible further hike, but they now expect a November move, with risks tilted to no additional increase and no rate cuts projected until September 2027.
Commerzbank's Dr. Marco Wagner analyzes how Donald Trump’s past and potential future attacks on the Federal Reserve (Fed) affect its independence.
Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin highlighted on Thursday the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US inflation outlook and monetary policy.
TradingKey - 미 노동통계국이 목요일 발표한 자료에 따르면, 미국의 7월 생산자물가지수(PPI)는 전월 대비 보합을 기록해 시장 예상치인 0.2% 상승을 밑돌았다. 전년 동기 대비로는 4.7% 상승하며 6월의 5.5%에서 크게 둔화되었고 시장 예상치인 4.9%도 하회해, 미국의 생산 측면 인플레이션 압력이 진정되고 있음을 나타냈다.식료품과 에너지를
Producer inflation in the United States (US) cools more than expected in July, adding to evidence that inflationary pressures are gradually easing after Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.