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Hungarian Forint: Swap move flags MNB easing risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut the implied rate on EUR liquidity swaps, effectively a 50 bp easing signal that widens the gap to the base rate.

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Equities: AI-led earnings narrow rally – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage argues U.S. equities are being propelled by an unusually strong, AI-led earnings boom that is outpacing the broader economy and sustaining index gains despite macro headwinds.

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Turkey Budget Balance fell from previous -229.9B to -338.7B in April

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Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (2.8%) in April: Actual (2.7%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (1.2%) in April: Actual (1.1%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) below forecasts (2.9%) in April: Actual (2.8%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) came in at 1.6%, below expectations (1.7%) in April

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Indian Rupee: Policy steps shape currency outlook – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao highlights that India’s authorities are rolling out measures to address macro volatility and support the Indian Rupee (INR).

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Equities: Tech and AI leadership drive record highs – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts note that global equities rallied as positive Trump-Xi signals, solid US data and easing inflation concerns lifted risk appetite.

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Indian Rupee: Policy support amid pressure – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights that India has unveiled several austerity-linked policy steps as Strait of Hormuz tensions pressure capital flows and the balance of payments.

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Asia stocks fall before Trump-Xi talks; South Korea’s Kospi slumps from record high

Most Asian stocks fell on Friday, shrugging off the overnight rally on Wall Street led by hopes for improving relations between the US and China – the world’s two biggest economies.

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BOJ expected to raise rates to 1.0% in June, hike again in Q4 — Reuters poll

A Reuters poll showed on Friday that median forecasts see the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hike the interest rates to 1.25% in the fourth quarter (Q4) and 1.50% in Q3 of 2027, unchanged from the April poll.

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US President Donald Trump says made 'fantastic trade deals' with China

US President Donald Trump said that he had struck “fantastic trade deals” with Chinese President Xi Jinping as he wrapped up his Beijing visit on Friday, Reuters reported.

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China’s foreign ministry: We should reopen the channel as soon as possible

According to a spokesperson from the Chinese foreign ministry, Beijing wants the Strait of Hormuz to reopen as early as possible.

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US President Donald Trump: Xi Jinping likely has power to sway Iran

US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that China’s leader Xi Jinping likely has power to sway Iran, adding that he’s not going to be much more patient on the Iran, Reuters reported on Friday.

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Japan’s Katayama says will act flexibly to safeguard people's livelihood

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said that she will attend the G7 meeting in France from May 17, Reuters reported on Friday.

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WTI holds losses near $97.50 as 30 vessels navigate through Hormuz

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains in the negative territory after posting modest gains in the previous day, trading around $97.60 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.

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USTR’s Greer: Keeping the Strait of Hormuz open is crucial for China

United States Trade Representative (USTR), Jamieson Greer, said that managing and controlling economic relationship with China are the key to meeting US domestic objectives, Reuters reported on Friday. Greer added that keeping the Strait of Hormuz open is crucial for China. 

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Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) above forecasts (3%) in April: Actual (4.9%)

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Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at 2.3%, above expectations (0.7%) in April

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US President Donald Trump hopes US-China relationship ‘will be better than ever before’

US President Donald Trump said that he hoped the relationship between the US and China would be "stronger and better than ever before" ahead of a second day of talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday.

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Fed’s Barr: Easing liquidity regulations to reduce Fed balance sheet not advisable

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michael Barr said that lowering liquidity rules to get the central bank’s balance sheet smaller is a bad idea and could undermine the safety of the financial ‌system, Reuters reported on Thursday.

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New Zealand Business NZ PMI declined to 50.5 in April from previous 53.2

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Fed Williams: Job market stabilizes as inflation uncertainty looms

John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) of New York, spoke on Thursday and said that the job market has stabilized, acknowledging that he is not surprised to see near-term inflation expectations rise.

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EU-China trade: Pragmatic stance and targeted risks – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Christopher Graham and Carol Liao discuss the EU’s widening trade deficit with China, highlighting the autos sector as a key example of the imbalance.

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South Korea Import Price Growth (YoY) climbed from previous 18.4% to 20.2% in April

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South Korea Export Price Growth (YoY) rose from previous 28.7% to 40.8% in April

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Argentina Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 2.6% above expectations (2.5%) in April

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USD/CNH: Decline extends toward 6.77–6.69 targets – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists observe that USD/CNH has resumed its decline after repeated failures at the 50-DMA, which has capped rebounds since last year.

출처  Fxstreet1778789760
Chinese Yuan: Earnings support and limited FX risk – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that stronger Chinese industrial profits and reflation allow firms to absorb modest Chinese Yuan (CNY) appreciation without undermining exporters.

출처  Fxstreet1778786880
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