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WTI rises to near $85.00 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $84.80 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

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Japan Machinery Orders (YoY) registered at 16.9% above expectations (10.8%) in June

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Japan Machinery Orders (MoM) above expectations (7.8%) in June: Actual (9.7%)

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Trump, Carney hold last-minute talks ahead of new 50% tariffs on Canadian goods

US President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney are negotiating in an effort to reach an agreement on tariffs, with just hours to go before the United States (US) imposes 50% tariffs on hockey sticks, wine and an array of other Canadian imports, CNBC reported on Tuesday. 

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New Zealand Producer Price Index - Output (QoQ) above expectations (0.8%) in 2Q: Actual (1.6%)

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New Zealand Producer Price Index - Input (QoQ) registered at 2.9% above expectations (1.3%) in 2Q

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Chinese Yuan: Sideways range holds against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CNH has been trading quietly, with intraday ranges clustered around current levels.

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South Korean Won: Bearish Won view with 1,400 support – TD Securities

TD Securities turns bearish on the Korean Won, arguing USD/KRW is likely to find support around 1,400 as prior KRW strength fades.

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Singapore Dollar: Upside risk stays in focus against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD rebounded after a sharper-than-expected drop to 1.2752, easing immediate downside pressure and pointing to intraday consolidation between 1.2760 and 1.2795.

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Chinese Yuan: Gradual appreciation view – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that July data point to weaker Chinese growth and a widening divergence between the "new" and "traditional" economy.

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Singapore Dollar: Strong exports underpin SGD – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Singapore-focused FX research highlights robust non-oil domestic exports driven by electronics and AI-related demand, with NODX growth already above the government’s upgraded full-year forecast.

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Economists agree: BoE will hold rates through year-end – Reuters poll

The Bank of England (BoE) will keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year, according to a Reuters poll conducted between August 13 and 18.

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Indonesia Rupiah: Fiscal discipline supports stability – UOB

UOB economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja reviews Indonesia’s 2027 State Budget, highlighting a calibrated balance between growth and fiscal discipline that matters for the Rupiah and local bonds.

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New Zealand GDT Price Index: 2.3% vs 0.1%

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Euro fails to hold gains over the Pound ahead of UK inflation

EUR/GBP slips toward 0.8550 at the time of writing on Tuesday, with the Euro (EUR) unable to hold onto earlier gains against the Pound Sterling (GBP).

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Colombia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) up to 3.5% in 2Q from previous 2.2%

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British Pound: Soft UK jobs but supportive mix - BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad describes United Kingdom (UK) June labor data as soft, with unemployment stuck at 4.9% and private sector regular pay growth slowing to 2.8% year-on-year.

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United States Pending Home Sales (YoY) fell from previous -0.3% to -2.2% in July

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United States Pending Home Sales (MoM) came in at -2.3%, below expectations (0.3%) in July

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United States Capacity Utilization meets forecasts (76.3%) in July

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US ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 9.5K as hiring rebounds

Private-sector hiring in the United States (US) shows tentative signs of improvement in early August. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, private employers added an average of 9.5K jobs per week in the four weeks ending August 1.

출처  Fxstreet1787055881
Brent: War-linked range trading outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Brent crude has rallied above $91 as the US–Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff persists. Haddad argues crude Oil is driving the war narrative and expects price swings to steer escalation risks.

출처  Fxstreet1787055587
European gas: LNG inflows key for prices – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke argues that European gas storage will depend on higher LNG imports over winter, as current inflows of 8 bcm per month would see storages trend toward 0% by March.

출처  Fxstreet1787054278
Qatar: Iran-Oman bilateral Hormuz agreement needed before US-Iran talks

Qatar’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Majed Al-Ansari, said the mediators are waiting for Oman and Iran to reach a bilateral agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint to almost 20% of global energy supply, before returning to broader United States (US)-Iran talks.

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Swiss Franc: Growing role as funding currency – ING

Chris Turner at ING highlights low volatility weighing on the Swiss Franc (CHF) and Japanese Yen (JPY), with investors increasingly favouring franc funding to avoid potential Yen intervention. Short CHF/JPY is seen as a carry-positive way to express a Yen view.

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Thailand: Middle East shock tests growth – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng reviews Thailand’s latest macro data, noting Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowed to 1.9% year-on-year in 2Q26 from 2.8% in 1Q26, bringing 1H26 growth to 2.4%.

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China: Credit-light growth reshapes loan demand – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Carol Liao and Moriarty Lam analyze slowing loan growth in China despite stable real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and recent reflation.

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United States: August inflation profile – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Oscar Munoz and Molly Brooks, projects a stronger US August CPI profile. Headline CPI is seen rising 0.39% month-on-month, with gasoline and food inflation rebounding.

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Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment improves more than expected to 34.2 in August

German ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment arrives at 34.2 in August, beating the estimates of 30.0 and the July reading of 26.3.

출처  Fxstreet1787043754
Fiscal concerns and doubts on Fed independence send US yields to long-term highs

US Treasury yields keep rising across the curve this week, with the yield for the 30-year Treasury bond reaching its highest level since 2007, during the global financial crisis, at 5.33% so far on Monday.

출처  Fxstreet1787043194
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