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Fed poised for third straight cut, BoC seen on hold – RBC

Dual central bank interest rate decisions from the U.S.

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Fed poised for 25bp cut to 3.50–3.75% – Rabobank

The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut with potential dissents, reflecting the tension between inflation risks and weakening employment. Federal Reserve (Fed) Gov.

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US PCE Price Index rises 2.8% in September as expected

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.8% on a yearly basis in September, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Friday. This print followed the 2.7% increase recorded in August and came in line with the market expectation.

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US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 53.3 in December

American consumer confidence edged higher in early December, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

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United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index came in at 55, above expectations (51.2) in December

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United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations declined to 4.1% in December from previous 4.5%

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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) below forecasts (2.9%) in September: Actual (2.8%)

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United States Personal Income (MoM) came in at 0.4%, above expectations (0.3%) in September

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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.3%) in September

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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in September

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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (2.8%) in September

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United States Personal Spending in line with forecasts (0.3%) in September

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United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation fell from previous 3.4% to 3.2% in December

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ECB’s Villeroy: Downside risks to inflation remain as significant as the upside risks.

European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of France Governor Villeroy de Galhau said on Friday that their current "good position" of ECB policy does not mean a comfortable or fixed one at a conference in Paris.

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Canada jobs surge again in November – TDS

Canada delivered another major jobs surprise with 54k new positions, pushing the jobless rate sharply lower. Markets priced in future hikes as yields spiked, though analysts still expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to hold steady through 2026, TDS' economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note.

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Turkey Treasury Cash Balance rose from previous -195.879B to 56.39B in November

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GBP holds steady amid quiet trading – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades little changed in subdued market conditions, with sentiment influenced by broader currency trends.

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Canada Unemployment Rate below expectations (7%) in November: Actual (6.5%)

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Canada Net Change in Employment registered at 53.6K above expectations (-5K) in November

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Canada Participation Rate dipped from previous 65.3% to 65.1% in November

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European Gas price falls to 20-month low – Commerzbank

The TTF Natural Gas price continued to slide this week. The 1-month forward is currently trading below EUR 27 per MWh, which is the lowest level in 20 months, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

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SNB preview: High bar to a cut, hold at 0% – NOMURA

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is expected to maintain its policy rate at 0% despite weak inflation and GDP growth, citing high barriers to negative rates.

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Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a fell from previous 46.1 to 44.2 in November

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Mexico Consumer Confidence declined to 44 in November from previous 45.7

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BoJ poised for December rate hike – Commerzbank

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to raise interest rates to 0.75% this month, sending USD/JPY lower as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens.

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DXY: FX markets quiet as USD volatility hits yearly lows – ING

US Dollar (USD) weakness is expected to continue into year-end, supported by seasonal flows and stable Treasury markets. Commodity currencies are performing well, while EUR/USD and USD/JPY target 1.18 and 152, respectively, amid subdued FX volatility, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

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UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

The United States (US) will see the release of the preliminary estimate of December’s University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday.

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Japan’s Kiuchi: Hopes BoJ to work in line with government’s principals

Japan's economy minister, Minoru Kiuchi, said during Friday’s European trading session that the government will not interfere in Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) decisions on monetary policy.

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China lays out plans to boost consumption

China’s Commerce Ministry stated during the European trading session on Friday that the government aims to revive the overall demand, laid out plans to propel the same.

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GBP rally seen as short squeeze, not repricing of UK risk – ING

The Pound Sterling (GBP) remains firm, though analysts view the move as a short squeeze rather than a fundamental reassessment of UK risk. While GBP/USD may rise into year-end, BoE easing should keep EUR/GBP supported around 0.88, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

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