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New Zealand Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) rose from previous -1.1% to 1.4% in February

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New Zealand Electronic Card Retail Sales (YoY) rose from previous 0.4% to 1.5% in February

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New Zealand Business NZ PSI declined to 48 in February from previous 50.9

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White House to announce coalition to protect the Strait of Hormuz - WSJ

After US President Donald Trump called on allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, the Wall Street Journal reported that the White House is planning to announce that multiple countries have agreed to form a coalition to escort ships through the corridor.

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Israeli Military: Defense systems operating to intercept missiles launched from Iran

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF), the country’s military, said in its social media post on X that Iran continued to launch missiles toward the territory of the State of Israel.

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US President Trump: Not ready for Iran deal, warns Kharg Island could be hit again

In an interview with NBC News on Saturday, US President Donald Trump commented on the military strikes on the Kharg Island and whether he was prepared to make a deal with Iran while pressing allies once again to help secure the Strait of Hormuz.

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Breaking: US strikes military targets on Kharg Island – Iran’s main oil hub

US President Donald Trump said on Saturday that the US struck military targets at a strategic Iranian outpost in the Persian Gulf and warned it could hit oil infrastructure next if Tehran keeps disrupting energy flows in the Strait of Hormuz, intensifying the two-week conflict in the region.

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US Judge dismisses subpoenas against Fed Chair Powell in DOJ probe – WSJ

An article of the Wall Street Journal mentioned that a Federal Judge threw out a pair of subpoenas that the Justice Department issued to the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions climbed from previous $160.1K to $163.1K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions down to £-84.2K from previous £-72.7K

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions up to 228K from previous 172.2K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions dipped from previous $67.8K to $54.2K

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-168.2K to $-134.5K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions declined to €105.1K from previous €136.5K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions dipped from previous ¥-16.6K to ¥-41.4K

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USD/KRW: Upside risks with key resistance – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that USD/KRW has pushed toward 1,495, reflecting KRW’s high-beta nature during geopolitical stress and energy price spikes.

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Forecasting the upcoming week: Iran war keeps Oil in focus as markets reassess Fed outlook

The US Dollar (USD) is ending the week on a firmer stance as the US/Israeli war against Iran closes in on two weeks. Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has spiked Oil prices, boosting inflation risks and prompting investors to hide in safe-haven currencies like the Greenback.

China: Industrial strength outpaces weak consumption – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Henry Hao expects upcoming China data to confirm a structural divergence: Industrial Production around 5.5% year-on-year, supported by a 21.8% export surge in green tech, versus modest 3.0% retail sales and subdued Fixed-Asset Investment near 1.5%.

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Asian FX: Energy shock risks weigh on outlook – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee highlight that Asian currencies and rates are vulnerable as the Iran conflict threatens Oil supply via the Strait of Hormuz.

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United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) unchanged at 0.3% in February

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Sweden: Low inflation keeps Riksbank sidelined – Nordea

Nordea’s Torbjörn Isaksson reports that Swedish CPIF and CPIF ex energy were confirmed at low year-on-year levels, with seasonally adjusted core measures well below the 2% target. Despite a bounce in core services inflation, overall pressures remain subdued.

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JOLTS Job Openings rose to 6.94 million in January, beating expectations

The number of job openings in the US was little changed at 6.94 million in January, while for December it was revised upward to 6.55 million from the 6.54 million previously reported, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Friday.

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US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 55.5 in March

American consumer confidence deflated in early March, as households grew more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

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Oil: Stagflation risks and FX volatility – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Brent’s move above USD100/bbl and rising Hormuz disruption risk raise the odds of a durable energy shock, with markets bracing for stagflation and a stronger Dollar.

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BoC: Cautious hold as energy risks build – TD Securities

TD Securities, led by Robert Both and colleagues, expects the Bank of Canada to leave the policy rate at 2.25% in March.

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United States JOLTS Job Openings above forecasts (6.7M) in January: Actual (6.946M)

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United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation fell from previous 3.3% to 3.2% in March

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United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations remains at 3.4% in March

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United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index down to 54.1 in March from previous 56.6

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United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index registered at 55.5 above expectations (55) in March

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