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Vietnam: Strong growth but rising inflation risks – HSBC

HSBC portrays Vietnam as one of Asia’s fastest-growing economies, supported by booming electronics exports and import-intensive manufacturing.

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Singapore Dollar: Gains momentum against US Dollar – OCBC

OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that USD/SGD has eased as US Dollar (USD) momentum softened on core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, with the pair around 1.2960.

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Thailand: AI-linked momentum but 2027 slowdown – HSBC

HSBC notes that Thailand’s 1Q26 growth beat expectations on the back of strong electronics exports and robust private investment and consumption, supported by AI-related activity and fiscal stimulus.

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South Korea: Exports and inflation support rate hike path – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Ma Tieying expects South Korea’s June exports to remain very strong, with year-on-year growth around 50–60% and the trade surplus widening above USD30bn. AI-related semiconductor demand and higher memory prices are seen offsetting energy imports.

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Chinese Yuan: Weakness against US Dollar seen as corrective – OCBC

OCBC’s FX strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/CNH’s recent run-up has stalled, with the pair around 6.8020 and daily bullish momentum intact but RSI turning lower from overbought.

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions increased to $-35.4K from previous $-194K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions declined to €30.2K from previous €34.4K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-4.1K to $-13K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions up to ¥-146.1K from previous ¥-150.1K

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions climbed from previous $180.2K to $181.3K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions dipped from previous £-71.6K to £-105.7K

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions dipped from previous 124.5K to 114.6K

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Singapore Dollar: Range holds as consolidates against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD has stalled after a six-day advance, with the pair easing to 1.2950 before closing near 1.2970.

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Taiwan: Undervalued TWD with rotational flows – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY notes that Taiwan’s strong equity performance in 2026 has coincided with net institutional outflows, mainly from U.S. pensions and hedge funds, while APAC and EMEA investors provide support.

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Vietnam: Solid GDP and easing inflation backdrop – DBS

DBS Group Research forecasts Vietnam’s real GDP to grow 7.8% year-on-year in Q2 2026, matching Q1’s pace, supported by strong electronics manufacturing, AI-driven tech demand, FDI and resilient retail spending.

출처  Fxstreet1782497880
Philippines: Stagflation risks as prices surge – HSBC

HSBC strategists warn that the Philippines is flirting with stagflation, as slowing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth coincides with the highest inflation in ASEAN. Weak public spending and cautious households are dragging demand, while the labour market softens.

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Thai Baht: Stabilizes on inflows after export miss – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thailand section notes May exports rose 10.6% year-on-year, below consensus and sharply slower than April’s 23.1%, with agriculture shipments weak but electronics still resilient. The government forecasts exports to grow 8% in 2026 as front-loading fades.

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Malaysian Ringgit: Policy support tempers downside but caps upside – MUFG

Lloyd Chan at MUFG notes the Malaysian Ringgit outperformed, rising 0.4% versus the US Dollar (USD) after Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) reintroduced a 2024-style FX support measure to encourage repatriation and conversion of offshore earnings.

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Fed’s Kashkari: “I have one rate hike penciled in for 2026”

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said during a panel discussion at the Aspen Ideas Festival 2026 in Aspen, Colorado, that he remains concerned about inflation in the service sector, while also noting some signs of improvement in the labor market.

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US President Trump: Iran broke the ceasefire with Hormuz drone strike

Recently, the US President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social network that Iran violated the ceasefire, after launching drones at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, with one of them hitting the upper deck of a large cargo-carrying ship.

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첫 연준 금리 인상 매파가 등장했다. 핵심 투표 위원 카시카리가 공식적으로 입장을 선회하며, 연말까지 한 차례 인상을 명시적으로 지지했다

TradingKey - 미 연방준비제도(Fed·연준)가 6월 회의 결정을 발표한 이후, 올해 연방공개시장위원회(FOMC) 투표권을 가진 닐 카시카리 미니애폴리스 연방준비은행 총재는 최근 올해 정책 전망을 지난 3월의 '연말까지 1회 금리 인하'에서 '연말까지 1회 금리 인상'으로 조정했다고 밝혔다. 이로써 그는 이번 주기에서 명확하게 금리 인상 기조로 선회

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China: Spending set to rebound – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding note that China’s fiscal spending has underperformed so far in 2026, weighing on growth despite stronger-than-expected Q1 data.

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Australia: Labour market rebound masks emerging slack – UOB

UOB’s Lee Sue Ann highlights that Australia’s unemployment rate dipped to 4.4% in May with a 40.3k employment gain, mainly in part-time jobs, and participation rising to 66.7%.

출처  Fxstreet1782487444
Japan: Food and services signal steady inflation – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists Reo Sakida and Jin Kenzaki analyze June Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), noting that overall inflation dynamics in Japan changed little from May despite a modest upside surprise in headline and core readings.

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South Korea: Retail support and FX divergence – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that South Korean equities have delivered exceptional returns in 2026 while institutional investors remain net sellers, particularly from the Americas.

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ECB: Another hike before eventual cuts – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategists note that despite lower Oil and gas prices, European Central Bank (ECB) officials still signal at least one more rate increase, which the bank forecasts for September.

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Brent: Oversold rebound risk for crude – TD Securities

Bart Melek at TD Securities argues that Strait of Hormuz disruptions have driven Oil inventories to historically low levels, leaving Brent oversold and vulnerable to a sharp short-covering rebound.

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Malaysia: AI boom offsets energy shock risks – HSBC

HSBC strategists describe Malaysia as relatively resilient to elevated Oil prices thanks to its status as a net energy exporter and beneficiary of the AI (Artificial intelligence) hardware cycle.

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Indonesian Rupiah : IDR recovery versus bond outflows – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY identifies Indonesia as one of the clearest cross-asset signals in Emerging Markets (EM) APAC (Asia-Pacific).

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United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations meets forecasts (4.6%) in June

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