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European Central Bank: September hike prospects strengthen – Nordea

Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that the European Central Bank remains focused on upside inflation risks and is likely to continue tightening policy.

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Fed’s Schmid warns energy shock is leaking into the economy

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid warned that inflation remained stubborn and that the energy shock was spreading into the broader economy. With the next meeting approaching, he said the Fed needed more information but remained committed to returning inflation to 2%.

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Fed's Goolsbee warns political interference with Fed could fuel inflation

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the economy remained broadly stable but warned that tariffs and war-related price increases were complicating the inflation outlook.

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Swedish Krona: Inflation risks may prompt tougher Riksbank stance - BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu says rising Swedish import prices and continued weakness in the krona are adding to inflation risks. He expects the Riksbank to adopt firmer language on SEK valuations and sees scope for the market to bring forward expectations for the next rate hike.

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Russia Central Bank Reserves $ increased to $761.2B from previous $755.6B

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US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 203K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance fell to 203K for the week ending August 22.

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United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-118.8B below forecasts ($-99B) in July

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United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 1.3%, above forecasts (0.1%) in July

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Canada Current Account came in at 8.84B, above forecasts (-2B) in 2Q

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United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $118.8B, above forecasts ($-99B) in July

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United States Continuing Jobless Claims below forecasts (1.79M) in August 14: Actual (1.778M)

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Brent: Watching support at 84/83 dollars – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts highlight that Brent has pulled back after testing resistance at $95, a level defined by a prior downside gap and a descending trend line from April.

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ECB Accounts: Another rate hike likely unless inflation outlook improves

The European Central Bank (ECB) Accounts of the July 22-23 monetary policy meeting show that policymakers remain open to further monetary tightening despite unanimously deciding to keep interest rates unchanged.

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Canadian Dollar: Trade war complicates BoC path – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economist Dan Pan expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate at 2.25% and delay a 25bps cut to December, citing a Q2 growth rebound that reduces the need for immediate easing.

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British Pound: Remains under pressure below resistance against Euro – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and colleagues note that EUR/GBP has rebounded sharply after forming an interim low near 0.8450 in July, but the recovery has stalled around 0.8585.

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United States Dollar Index gains support as strong US data sparks rate hike expectations

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining stronger for the second successive day and trading around 99.20 during the European hours on Thursday.

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Indian Rupee: Yields looking attractive after sell-off – DBS

DBS Group Research strategist Sherilyn Chew says hawkish Reserve Bank of India (RBI) minutes and volatility at the long end of the US Treasury market have pushed India rates higher.

출처  Fxstreet1787822049
Polish Zloty: Import pass-through risks challenge cuts – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Euro strength is amplifying import price pass-through risks for Poland, with EUR/PLN gains feeding into higher import prices. The Monetary Policy Council’s guidance of unchanged rates contrasts with market pricing for a return above 4%.

출처  Fxstreet1787821116
Australian Dollar: Tests resistance on firm inflation – OCBC

OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Australian inflation surprised on the upside, keeping alive the risk of another Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike even as their base case is that the tightening cycle has ended.

출처  Fxstreet1787819216
British Pound extends losses as US Dollar holds ground on Fed rate hike bets

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 1.3590 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) remains stronger following the robust economic data released on Wednesday.

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China's Commerce Ministry says we reserve right to take measures against US overcapacity tariffs

In a statement on Thursday, a spokesperson from China's Commerce Ministry said, regarding the United States (US) overcapacity tariff, “We will continue to closely monitor and comprehensively assess the follow-up measures taken by the US.” The spokesperson added, “We reserve the right to take all nec

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Forex Today: Markets quiet down ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 27:

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Equities: Tech earnings lift futures after quiet session – Deutsche Bank

The Deutsche Bank strategists describe a modestly positive shift in equity sentiment following Nvidia’s earnings. After a quiet cash session for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Nvidia’s revenue beat and bullish AI outlook pushed its shares up 4.7% after-hours, lifting S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures.

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Indonesian Rupiah weakens as domestic protests, inflation risks loom

USD/IDR gains ground for the third successive day, trading around 17,800 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair is under downward pressure as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) struggles against fragile domestic sentiment.

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BoJ’s Himino says will balance economic data and inflation risks on rates

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Thursday that the central bank will reach decision on rates balancing need to gain information on economy, financial conditions, and acting in timely fashion to avoid being behind the curve on inflation.

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South Korean Won gains on back-to-back BoK interest rate hikes

The South Korean Won (KRW) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with USD/KRW falling 0.3% to near 1,380 during the Asian trading session. The pair revisits its 11-month low as back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Bank of Korea (BoK) have strengthened the currency.

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UKMTO says tanker hit by unknown projectile in Strait of Hormuz

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said on Thursday that an "unknown projectile" struck a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire that has since been put out, Reuters reported.

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BoJ’s Himino: Persist in raising rate, adjust monetary support based on economic, price

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Thursday that central bank should persist in raising policy rate and adjust monetary support based on economic, price, and financial trends. 

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Australia Private Capital Expenditure below forecasts (0%) in 2Q: Actual (-3.6%)

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Iran and Oman agree revenue deal on Strait of Hormuz— Bloomberg

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated that it reached a revenue-sharing agreement with Oman on the Strait of Hormuz, as Tehran and Washington’s standoff over control of the crucial waterway continues, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday.

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