Commerzbank’s Moses Lim highlights that Bank Indonesia left the BI Rate at 5.75%, balancing inflation, growth and IDR stability after earlier hikes. BI has expanded hedging incentives and CNY clearing to support inflows and FX stability, while keeping SRBI yields from rising further.
The Indian Rupee (INR) is balancing solid macroeconomic fundamentals and massive central bank reserves against renewed hawkish undertones from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
In an interview with Bloomberg TV on Thursday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly argued that the rise in long term Treasury bond yields is a global issue and added that she doesn't see the Fed's credibility at risk.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrunk to 206K for the week ending August 15.
ING’s Padhraic Garvey analyses how the US Treasury’s decision to double buybacks in 10-30 year maturities affects long-end US Treasuries. He stresses that while the programme is sizeable and could be expanded again, it mainly mutes, rather than reverses, upward pressure on long yields.
Nomura’s European Economics team, led by Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak, reviews the latest Riksbank decision to keep the policy rate at 1.75%.
Chang Wei Liang at DBS Group Research highlights that EUR/USD has rallied toward 1.17, with the Euro the main beneficiary of Dollar softness.
Commerzbank economist Bernd Weidensteiner analyzes recent U.S. employment trends, noting that Nonfarm Payroll growth has slowed sharply, with average monthly gains of just 32,000 over the past year.
Radhika Rao at DBS Group Research highlights that Reserve Bank of India (RBI) minutes from the early-August meeting were more cautious than Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s public messaging.
MUFG’s research team uses AI-driven textual analysis to judge the July FOMC minutes as slightly more hawkish, with broader support for a rate hike and concern over inflation expectations.
EUR/CAD halts its three-day winning streak, trading around 1.6110 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency cross faces downward pressure as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains support from rising crude oil prices.
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note India’s economy remains supported by strong domestic demand and exports, with growth projected at 6.7% in fiscal 2026-2027 versus 8% previously. Inflation is forecast at 5%, within the RBI’s 2-6% band, allowing policy to stay on hold at 5.25%.
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen highlights a divided Federal Reserve, with a larger ‘keep-on-hold’ camp waiting for core PCE inflation data in 2H 2026 before backing rate hikes.
The US 10-year Treasury yield attempts to stabilize on Thursday, edging higher to 4.672% at the time of writing after hitting a low of 4.635% on Wednesday.
GBP/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.3630 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) faces challenges, driven by the decision of the US Treasury Department to stabilize domestic bond markets.
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that USD/JPY dropped sharply to around 158.00, eroding the previous upside bias.
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes South African inflation surprised on the downside in August, with headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 4.3% and core at 4.2%.
Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu says the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) minutes reveal a more hawkish inflation assessment than the policy statement suggested.
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke expects the Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, to leave its policy rate at 1.75% and maintain a hawkish tone similar to June’s statement.
Deutsche Bank strategists note that equities rebounded as a sharp decline in long-end US Treasury yields helped the S&P 500 end a three-day losing streak.
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi dismissed US President Donald Trump’s threatened “economic D-Day” against Tehran as an attempt to divert attention from US debt and rising interest costs, Reuters reported on Thursday. Araghchi added that US policies will bring defeat and enmity.
USD/IDR extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 17,810 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair depreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) finds solid backing from Bank Indonesia's (BI) renewed commitment to currency stability.
Asian equities advanced on Thursday, with South Korea's KOSPI surging nearly 6% intraday amid a more than 5% jump in SK Hynix shares following the buyback announcement.
USD/JPY appreciates after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 158.50 during the Asian hours on Thursday.
China's Commerce Ministry on Thursday announced a decision on corporate tax rate for enterprises related to anti-dumping measures on imported polyoxymethylene from the United States (US), the European Union (EU), Taiwan and Japan, Reuters reported.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, announced to leave its Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged on Wednesday. The one-year and five-year LPRs were at 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively.
The US Treasury Department said on Wednesday that it will buy back more of its longer-term bonds, in an effort to curb a sharp increase in borrowing costs, the Wall Street Journal reported.
US President Trump announced the most severe economic action ever taken against Iran, CBS News reported on Wednesday. Trump said this will be economic conflict and isolation on an unprecedented scale and the countries allowing financial aid to Iran will face severe economic consequences.
TradingKey - 연방준비제도(Fed·연준)가 미 동부시간 8월 19일 7월 회의 의사록을 공개했다. 7월 28~29일 열린 회의에서 연방공개시장위원회(FOMC)는 연방기금금리 목표 범위를 3.50%~3.75%로 동결하기로 결정했다.의사록에 따르면 일부 연준 당국자들은 인플레이션이 하락하지 않을 경우 통화정책을 강화해야 할 수도 있다고 판단했다. 일부