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Fed's Williams: Policy in right place, no need to raise or lower rates

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said on Wednesday that higher energy prices are driving up costs and inflation, per Reuters.

출처  Fxstreet1780496033
Eurozone: Real yields and supply pressures – ING

ING’s Padhraic Garvey and Michiel Tukker stress that Eurozone real rates are increasingly driven by structural forces such as fiscal expansion and record bond supply. They point to rising 10Y euro implied real rates since 2024, helped by German spending plans.

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United States ISM Services New Orders Index climbed from previous 53.5 to 57.3 in May

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United States ISM Services PMI came in at 54.5, above forecasts (53.8) in May

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United States ISM Services Prices Paid: 71.3 (May) vs 70.7

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United States ISM Services Employment Index dipped from previous 48 to 47.9 in May

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United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at 4.8%, above forecasts (4.6%) in April

출처  Fxstreet1780495201
United States S&P Global Services PMI misses estimates: US Dollar firm on risk aversion

The final reading of the United States (US) S&P Global Services PMI came in at 50.7 in May, compared to the previous 50.9 and missing estimates of 50.9. Meanwhile, the Composite PMI was confirmed at 51.5 in the same month, slightly below the anticipated 51.7.

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United States S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 51.5, below expectations (51.7) in May

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United States S&P Global Services PMI registered at 50.7, below expectations (50.9) in May

출처  Fxstreet1780494301
India: RBI faces currency pressure – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Santosh Ejantkar and Tanmay Purohit note India’s equity market has slipped to seventh globally, overtaken by South Korea and Taiwan as their semiconductor-heavy markets benefit from the AI boom.

출처  Fxstreet1780493632
Australia: Growth momentum weakens as demand cools – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights that Australia’s GDP growth slowed to 0.3% q/q in 1Q26 as weak public spending, trade drag and cyclone disruptions offset strong business investment.

출처  Fxstreet1780492768
Bank of England: July risk as energy flows stay fragile – ING

ING economist James Smith argues that a June Bank of England (BoE) rate hike now appears unlikely as weaker United Kingdom (UK) data and lower Oil prices ease pressure on policymakers.

출처  Fxstreet1780490893
United States: NFP gap narrows – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Dan Pan and Steve Englander note that recent QCEW data validate softer NFP readings in late 2025, when government shutdown effects and DOGE layoffs weighed on employment.

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Canada Labor Productivity (QoQ) came in at -0.5% below forecasts (0.7%) in 1Q

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United States private sector employment grows sharply in May: What 122K increase means for the US Dollar

Private sector employment in the United States grew by 122K in May, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 105K increase recorded in April and came in better than the market expectation for an increase of 117K.

출처  Fxstreet1780489387
Canada: Recession concerns and USMCA talks – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz notes that Canada has entered a technical recession, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracting for two consecutive quarters and missing expectations.

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United States ADP Employment Change came in at 122K, above forecasts (117K) in May

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Reserve Bank of Australia: Growth slowdown supports hold – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann notes that softer Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP), easing inflation and a cooling labour market have reduced pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to tighten further.

출처  Fxstreet1780488326
Eurozone: Pre-emptive ECB tightening – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao argues that Eurozone markets face a stagflationary shock from US-Iran tensions that will hit Europe harder than the US, pushing the European Central Bank (ECB) to tighten policy earlier.

출처  Fxstreet1780487496
ECB’s Elderson: Balance of risks has clearly deteriorated

European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board Frank Elderson said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the balance of risks has clearly deteriorated due to Middle East conflicts.

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United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to -2.5% in May 29 from previous -8.5%

출처  Fxstreet1780484401
Economists expect June ECB rate hike as stagflation risk stays high - Reuters poll

The European Central Bank (ECB) could tighten monetary policy sooner than previously expected, according to the latest Reuters poll of economists.

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US President Trump: Iran has agreed they will not have a nuclear weapon

In a podcast interview on Wednesday, US President Donald Trump said that “Iran has agreed they will not have a nuclear weapon.”

출처  Fxstreet1780481567
British Pound: Rate risks support versus Euro – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that strong United Kingdom (UK) credit and mortgage data, alongside elevated UK front-end yields, support the case for further Bank of England (BoE) tightening.

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Iran's Foreign Ministry: Condemns US strikes on Qeshm island

Iran's Foreign Ministry has stated during the European trading session on Wednesday that it condemns United States (US) strikes on Iranian tanker and Qeshm island.

출처  Fxstreet1780479049
Australian Dollar: Gradual pullback within range against US Dollar – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD failed to retest 0.7135 and instead held in a tight 0.7153–0.7187 band, but still sees a soft tone with scope for a drift toward 0.7150.

출처  Fxstreet1780478894
Danish Krone: Record low against Euro tests central bank stance – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that EUR/DKK hit a new historic high at 7.4739, with the Danish central bank refraining from FX intervention in May. They argue that while the bank shows patience with upward pressure, continued strength would likely prompt action to cap EUR/DKK.

출처  Fxstreet1780478049
ISM Services PMI consensus calls for gently dwindling economic expansion

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is scheduled to release the May Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on  Wednesday. Market participants anticipate a modest improvement, with the index forecast at 53.8, up from 53.6 in April.

출처  Fxstreet1780477200
BoJ’s Ueda: Our basic stance is to continue raising interest rates

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirms that the direction of the monetary policy remains on the upside, while speaking at the Kisaragi-kai Meeting on Wednesday.

출처  Fxstreet1780476416
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