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UK PM Starmer: Impact of Iran war will affect the UK's future

United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister Keir Starmer said during European trading hours on Wednesday that the ongoing war in the Middle East will affect the future of our economy. Starmer expresses willingness to take the leadership role in the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

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BoE FPC: Global supply shock from Middle East war adds to rising vulnerabilities

In its Financial Policy Committee (FPC) statement released on Wednesday and reported by Reuters, the Bank of England (BoE) said the United Kingdom’s (UK) financial system remains resilient but warned that global risks are increasing as geopolitical tensions and stretched asset valuations raise the l

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CAD: BoC minutes expected to stay dovish – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) Summary of Deliberations to reiterate a dovish tone, emphasizing Canada’s softer domestic backdrop and recent disinflation.

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GBP: Energy vulnerability threatens recent resilience – MUFG

MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny warns that the Pound’s (GBP) strong March performance looks vulnerable. He links Sterling’s gains mainly to yields, while highlighting the UK’s rising energy import dependency, shrinking refinery capacity, and risks of refined fuel shortages.

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US mulls exiting NATO – The Telegraph

United States (US) President Donald Trump said to the United Kingdom (UK) Daily Telegraph that he is strongly considering pulling the US out of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Trump added that he always knew NATO was a 'Paper Tiger'.

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ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to remain stable in March

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is scheduled to release the March Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on Wednesday. Market participants anticipate it would ease modestly to 52.3 from the 52.4 posted in February.

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Greece Unemployment Rate (MoM) up to 8.5% in February from previous 7.7%

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Eurozone: Inflation sparks ECB rate repricing – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.5% year-on-year in March 2026, mainly on higher energy costs, while food and core pressures stayed moderate.

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US: Limited boost for growth from tax refunds – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Dan Pan and Steve Englander argue that additional US tax refunds under the OBBBA will be smaller than markets and Congress expect, limiting their impact on 2026 US growth.

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BoJ’s Asada: Rising oil prices put upwards pressure on inflation

Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymaker Toichiro Asada said during European trading hours on Wednesday that higher oil prices have prompted upside inflation risks.

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United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (51.2) in March: Actual (51)

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USD: Softer labour signals and lower yields weigh – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team points to softer US labour indicators and lower yields as headwinds for the US Dollar (USD). JOLTS openings fell and the openings-to-unemployment ratio dropped, hinting at weaker wage growth.

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Italy Unemployment meets forecasts (5.3%) in February

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Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI up to 54.5 in March from previous 54.4

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Austria Unemployment Rate declined to 7.5% in March from previous 8.3%

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Austria Unemployment fell from previous 357.5K to 322.7K in March

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ADP Employment Change expected to show subdued US job growth in March

This week, the US job market will be in the spotlight as worries mount that the economy may be losing steam.

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INR: RBI curbs positioning as rupee hits new low – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses India’s response to persistent Middle East tensions and high energy prices, focusing on the Rupee and local markets.

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Spain HCOB Manufacturing PMI registered at 48.7, below expectations (50.3) in March

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Sweden Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 56.1 to 56.3 in March

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Switzerland Real Retail Sales (YoY) meets forecasts (0.9%) in February

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USD: Petrodollar shift and chip trade – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur argues that fears over an end to the petrodollar do not automatically imply a loss of the US Dollar’s reserve status.

Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (March) vs previous 49.5

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Asian stocks gain with Kospi soars on improving risk appetite

Asian equities rise as improved global sentiment boosted regional markets following a strong rally on Wall Street overnight. Risk appetite improves on rising hopes for Middle East peace resolution.

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Australia RBA Commodity Index SDR (YoY) rose from previous 3.4% to 12.8% in March

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Netherlands, The Nevi Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 50.8 to 52 in March

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Indonesia Core Inflation (YoY) below forecasts (2.63%) in March: Actual (2.52%)

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Indonesia Inflation (MoM) below forecasts (0.46%) in March: Actual (0.41%)

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Indonesia Trade Balance below expectations ($1.55B) in February: Actual ($1.28B)

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Indonesia Imports below expectations (11.2%) in February: Actual (10.85%)

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