Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively flat versus the US Dollar (USD) and trading close to their fair value estimate around 1.4158. They expect the recent deterioration in spreads to stabilize, easing downside pressure on the CAD.

EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) and European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen (JPY) has firmed slightly, pulling USD/JPY back from 162.18 to 161.68, as comments from Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuichi attempt to calm fiscal worries.

National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Euro (EUR) fell toward 1.13 in June despite a more hawkish European Central Bank (ECB), underscoring that EUR/USD remains driven by relative rates.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision as the key domestic event, with a first 25 bps hike to 2.50% expected.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) recent strength and questions whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is truly behind the inflation curve.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports EUR/USD holding near 1.1440 with a firmer underlying tone. The pair is expected to trade slightly higher in a 1.1425–1.1470 range intraday.

The NZD/USD pair is down 0.2% to near 0.5690 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The Kiwi pair faces selling pressure as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) underperforms its peers ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights that USD/CAD has broken out of a large consolidation and extended gains towards 1.4250, with the upper part of the prior range at 1.4130 now acting as key support.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/JPY is consolidating around 162.00 after touching a 40‑year high near 162.84.

Silver (XAG/USD) pulled lower from Monday’s peak and is testing levels below $61.00 at the time of writing, paring some of last week’s gains.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes AUD/USD rebounded strongly from 0.6923 to 0.6959, with rapidly increasing upward momentum. The bank now sees upside risks toward 0.6970–0.6980 intraday, with supports at 0.6945 and 0.6935.

National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms describe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as caught between improving domestic growth and a still-challenging external backdrop. USD/CAD recently rose above 1.42, with forecasts easing to 1.33 by Q2 2027.

The US Dollar (USD) trades higher for the second consecutive day against the Swiss Franc (CHF). Downdside attempts remain shallow so far, amid a calm market mood, and the immediate trend shows a mild bullish stance, with resistance at the 0.8075 area under pressure.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to trade subdued against the US Dollar (USD) as markets brace for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) upcoming monetary policy decision. 

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, July 7:

USD/CAD gains ground for the third successive day, trading around 1.4210 during the European hours on Tuesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground, which could be attributed to the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights a sharp GBP/USD advance to 1.3397 and a firm close at 1.3391. Intraday, Leang sees scope for further gains toward 1.3410, though 1.3445 may stay out of reach.

Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to raise rates at its July meeting to reinforce its inflation-fighting credentials, which should initially support the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).

The Japanese Yen (JPY) posts minor gains amid a somewhat softer US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday. The USD/JPY pair has pulled back to session lows just below 162.00 from Monday's highs in the 162.40 area, easing concerns about an immediate intervention by the Japanese authorities.

The British Pound (GBP) ticks lower to near 1.3380 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair edges down as the US Dollar gains slightly; however, the Cable is broadly upbeat.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports USD/JPY surged to 162.42 before closing at 162.08, leaving the pair overbought. Intraday, the bank expects consolidation between 161.50 and 162.45.

The EUR/USD pair trades marginally lower at around 1.1433 during the European trading session on Tuesday.

The Indian Rupee (INR) holds onto Monday’s losses against the US Dollar (USD) in the opening session on Tuesday.

NZD/USD inches lower for the second successive day, trading around 0.5700 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground, which could be attributed to the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

The AUD/USD retreats slightly from the 0.6960 area, or a two-week high, touched during the Asian session on Tuesday, and, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak.

The USD/JPY pair extends the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of mid-162.00s and attracts some follow-through sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday.

GBP/USD continues its winning streak for the ninth consecutive day, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Tuesday.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Tuesday at 6.8054 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.8066 and 6.7838 Reuters estimate.

The EUR/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it manages to hold comfortably above the 1.1400 mark. Moreover, spot prices remain well within striking distance of a nearly two-week high, touched last Thursday.