The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades with a firmer tone near the 99.50 price region as a stronger-than-expected United States (US) ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 54.5 in May from 53.6 in April, highlighting the resilience of the US economy and supporting Treasury yields.
Silver halts its advance and plunges over 2% on Wednesday amid growing speculation that a resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran—which exchanged fire overnight—increases the chances that major central banks will hike rates, a headwind for the non-yielding metal.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades with a heavy tone against its American counterpart, as the US Dollar (USD) gathers strength from renewed Middle East concerns. The USD/CAD pair nears 1.3900, its highest in two months.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Japanese Yen (JPY) is marginally stronger, with USD/JPY stabilizing just below the key 160 resistance area. They stress that intervention risk remains elevated as the pair approaches this psychologically important level.
NZD/USD falls to around 0.5870 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.97% on the day. The pair extends its bearish move for a third consecutive day as investors favor the US Dollar (USD) amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The USD/JPY pair is trading just below the 160.00 price level on Wednesday, as the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by stronger-than-expected economic data, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to attract sustained demand amid a cautious market mood.
EUR/USD ticks lower on Wednesday after closing the previous day virtually unchanged. The Euro (EUR) weakens as stronger-than-expected US economic data boosts demand for the US Dollar (USD), while renewed tensions in the Middle East further support the Greenback.
The Pound Sterling drops by 0.28% during the North American session as the US and Iran exchange attacks, while data in the US revealed that the labour market remains solid and that business activity expanded but is slowing.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the British Pound (GBP) is trading fractionally lower against the Dollar, with limited fresh data beyond a slightly contractionary services PMI.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that USD/JPY’s test of 160.00 has heightened intervention risks, with Japanese authorities already having spent a record amount to cap the pair near that level.
AUD/USD trades around 0.7145 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day. The pair remains under pressure after the release of several disappointing Australian economic indicators, while solid US data continues to support the US Dollar (USD).
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains soft but broadly stable, with USD/CAD trading near 1.3850.
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that recent Ministry of Finance (MoF) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention failed to prevent USD/JPY from returning to 160, as higher US yields and renewed Middle East tensions support the Dollar.
USD/CHF extends its advance on Wednesday as ongoing tensions in the Middle East and stronger-than-expected US labor data lift the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.7900, staying on the front foot for a third straight day.
GBP/JPY edges lower on Wednesday as fresh intervention warnings from Tokyo lift the Japanese Yen (JPY) across the board. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 214.82, down 0.25% on the day.
BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that USD/JPY remains close to 160.00 as markets price a high probability of a June BoJ rate hike, yet see Governor Ueda as insufficiently hawkish. Japanese authorities stress G7 agreement on limiting excessive FX volatility and pledge cooperation with the U.S.
The Euro (EUR) resumed its downtrend against a stronger US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with bears testing support at the 1.1600 level.
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses USD/JPY’s sharp pullback after comments from PM Takaichi and Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda. Foley highlights renewed FX intervention risks, a still-firm US Dollar (USD) and speculation over a June BoJ rate hike.
Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the central bank has increased its readiness to intervene in the Forex market.
EUR/GBP trades around 0.8635 on Wednesday at the time of writing, with limited movement on the day as investors assess a fresh batch of revised macroeconomic data from the Eurozone and the United Kingdom (UK).
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) depreciates for the third consecutive day against a stronger US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, hitting lows below 0.5900.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) reflects a sudden jump against its major currency peers in the European trading session on Wednesday. There is a noticeable uptick in the Asia-Pacific currency against its peer, pushing EUR/JPY over 0.3% down to near 185.40.
Eurozone’s HCOB Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) has been revised higher to 48.5 in May, better than the flash reading and estimates of 47.5. This signifies that the overall business activity continues to contract, but at a moderate pace.
Societe Generale notes the USD/ZAR downtrend has paused after an interim low near 15.63 in January, with the pair struggling to reclaim its 200-day moving average. A recent pivot high around 16.80–16.92 forms key resistance, whose break would confirm a larger bounce.
The AUD/USD pair drops to the 0.7150 area during the first half of the European session on Wednesday, reversing the previous day's positive move amid a broadly firmer US Dollar (USD).
The Japanese Yen (JPY) bounced up from five-week lows against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, turning positive on the daily chart, as Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned that Tokyo is ready to take action against Yen weakness.