USD/CHF trades slightly lower on Thursday as the Swiss Franc regains some ground after falling for six straight days. The pullback comes as US Dollar (USD) buyers take a breather following the sharp rally triggered by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
NZD/USD rebounds on Thursday, trading around 0.5730 at the time of writing, up 0.35% on the day. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) benefits from stronger-than-expected domestic growth data, allowing the pair to recover from the two-month low reached on Wednesday.
The Pound Sterling extended its losses on Thursday, following the Bank of England's decision to hold rates unchanged in a 6-3 vote, while leaving the door open for a potential hike. This and Wednesday’s Fed decision capped the GBP/USD advance, with the pair trading at 1.3381, down over 0.23%.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY surged above 156.30 to a high of 156.41, with momentum still modest but supportive of further gains. Intraday, the pair could test 156.50 while holding above support at 155.40.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret say EUR/USD is stabilizing after Wednesday’s Fed decision, as improving Germany-US 2-year yield spreads and a hawkish ECB stance support the euro.
AUD/USD rebounds near the 0.7110s area on Thursday after the pair spent recent sessions nursing losses on bets for a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed). At the time of writing, the pair rises by over 0.40%, but the rebound has little to do with anything out of Australia.
EUR/USD trades modestly higher on Thursday as falling Oil prices pull US Treasury yields away from their recent highs, prompting the US Dollar to trim part of its post-Fed gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1492, up 0.24% on the day, hovering near levels last seen on July 31.
FX strategist Howard Du at TD Securities reiterates a bullish EUR/GBP stance after the Bank of England’s (BoE) cautious hold.
USD/CAD trades around 1.3980 on Thursday at the time of writing, little changed on the day and hovering near the psychological 1.4000 level. The US Dollar (USD) remains supported by better-than-expected employment data, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) continues to face pressure from weak Oil prices.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight USD/JPY trading near 155.65 with the Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforming G10 peers as markets price in a Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike alongside elevated domestic risk around CPI and policy decisions.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights building downside momentum in EUR/USD as the 21‑day EMA approaches a bearish cross below the 55‑day EMA. The pair has broken below the Ichimoku cloud and key moving averages, with support at 1.1400 and subsequent levels at 1.1353 and 1.1324.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that USD/CAD remains elevated near 1.40 after the FOMC, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) underperforming peers as the Fed/BoC rate differential returns to 175bps.
MUFG’s Halpenny expects the BoJ to deliver a 25bps hike to 1.25%, with communications outlining further rate increases and supporting efforts to strengthen the Japanese Yen. However, he warns Governor Ueda may sound cautious versus aggressive market pricing for 90bps of hikes.
GBP/JPY trades under pressure on Thursday as the British Pound weakens across the board following the Bank of England’s (BoE) latest monetary policy announcement. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 208.23, down 0.40% on the day.
The Euro (EUR) rallies on Thursday as the British Pound (GBP) dives across the board as the Bank of England (BoE) left interest rates unchanged, with most of the other major central banks tightening their monetary policies.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforms its major currency peers on Thursday, with the USD/JPY trading 0.28% lower to near 155.80.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD dropped to 0.7075 and closed at 0.7087 after an overdone decline. For the next 24 hours, the pair is expected to stay within 0.7070–0.7115 with risks still skewed lower.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) consolidates losses at 16-month lows against the US Dollar (USD) after dropping more than 2% in the previous five trading days.
Francesco Pesole at ING highlights that EUR/USD has broken lower after a more hawkish‑than‑expected Federal Reserve meeting, with the two‑year swap differential at its widest since July.
The British Pound (GBP) falls sharply against its peers after the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. As of writing, the British currency gives back its early gains and turns marginally lower to near 1.3375 against the US Dollar.
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses USD/JPY around the upcoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting, highlighting parallels between Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Warsh’s comments and Governor Ueda’s challenge.
EUR/JPY falls 0.25% on Thursday, trading around 178.70 at the time of writing and snapping a three-day winning streak. The strengthening Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs on the cross as investors anticipate another interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Friday.
The Euro (EUR) consolidates losses at one-and-a-half-month lows on Thursday, with the US Dollar (USD) still buoyed by the hawkish message sent by the Federal Reserve (Fed) after Wednesday’s monetary policy meeting.
Societe Generale sees scope for the British Pound (GBP) to outperform its G10 peers outside the US Dollar (USD), as accelerating UK growth and inflation strengthen the case for a more hawkish Bank of England (BoE).
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong writes that USD/JPY climbed after the FOMC as front-end US yields rose and the US Dollar (USD) strengthened. He says markets expect a 25bp BoJ hike to 1.25%, with focus on Governor Ueda’s guidance on further normalisation.
The AUD/USD pair gains some positive traction on Thursday, snapping a three-day losing streak to the 0.7075 area, or a nearly one-month low, touched the previous day.
USD/JPY depreciates after three days of gains, trading around 155.80 during the European session on Thursday. The pair loses ground as the Japanese Yen (JPY) advances on market expectations of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Friday.
The British Pound (GBP) trades 0.3% lower at around 208.50 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Thursday. GBP/JPY is under pressure as the British currency underperforms ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcement.
The GBP/USD pair stages a modest recovery from its lowest level since July 30, around the 1.3375-1.3370 region touched earlier this Thursday, and, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak.
The US Dollar (USD) held its ground at one-and-a-half-month highs against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Thursday, supported by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate hike and the unexpectedly hawkish message from Chairman Kevin Warsh.