The USD/CAD pair trades in a narrow range on Tuesday, with choppy price action as a mild pullback in Oil prices puts modest pressure on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3619 after hitting an intraday low of 1.3604.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that Asian FX has softened again as Oil prices jump on renewed Middle East tensions and concerns over the Strait of Hormuz.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Japanese Yen (JPY) is underperforming, with USD/JPY modestly higher and clearing the low 157s in thin holiday trade. Wider yield spreads and lingering intervention risk keep price action erratic.

The Euro (EUR) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as a mild pullback in Oil prices pushes US Treasury yields lower, adding pressure on the Greenback. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1701, rebounding from an intraday low of 1.1676.

The AUD/USD pair is surging near the 0.7190 price zone, building upside momentum after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a fresh rate hike. Markets now shift their focus toward what comes next in the policy path.

The Pound Sterling rises by over 0.20% as risk appetite improves. The ceasefire between the US and Iran, although fragile, is holding, pushing oil prices lower, the US Dollar lower, and US equities higher. Hence, the risk-sensitive GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3560, with buyers eyeing 1.3600.

Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia notes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifted the cash rate to 4.35% in an 8-1 decision, but Governor Bullock later softened the hawkish tone. The bank’s baseline is for no further hikes, though risks lean toward another move in H2 if growth stays above trend.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Euro (EUR) is flat versus the US Dollar (USD), with EUR/USD stuck in a range as markets weigh conflict-related inflation risks and a hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) stance.

GBP/JPY edges higher on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen tumbles across the board, with the impact of Tokyo’s intervention fading and attention shifting back to ongoing tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 213.90, up nearly 0.53% on the day.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Australian Dollar (AUD) fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a widely expected 25 bps hike to 4.35% and signalled a data‑dependent pause.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is slightly firmer with USD/CAD holding near prior ranges. A softer US Dollar (USD) and firmer risk appetite are seen as mildly supportive for the CAD, while fair value has shifted lower toward 1.3424.

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note that the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) sharp rebound after USD/JPY breached 160 was driven by intervention rather than a shift in fundamentals.

USD/INR trades slightly lower on Tuesday, pressured by a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD), though the downside remains limited as ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on the Indian Rupee (INR).

ING’s Chris Turner argues that Japanese FX intervention is having diminishing impact on USD/JPY. He notes that high energy prices, rising US yields and a dovish Bank of Japan create strong headwinds for the Japanese Yen.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley expects interest rate differentials to support an upward bias in EUR/USD in the second half of the year, but sees Euro gains capped by Eurozone growth headwinds from the current supply shock.

AUD/USD trades around 0.7170 on Tuesday, remaining slightly on the back foot for a second consecutive day despite the monetary policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

USD/CHF trades around 0.7830 on Tuesday, down slightly by 0.07% on the day.

The US Dollar (USD) keeps crawling higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) for the third consecutive day on Tuesday. The pair has reached the upper range of the 157.00s, trading at 157.65 at the time of writing, as the escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz boost the safe-haven US Dollar.

The US Dollar (USD) shows minor losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Tuesday, although it remains steady above 1.3600 so far, trading at 1.3515 at the time of writing and holding most of the last two trading days' gains, after bouncing from Friday’s lows at 1.3550.A moderate risk aversion is

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that Switzerland’s April Consumer Price Index (CPI) was mixed, with headline inflation boosted by energy but core CPI slipping to a multi‑year low.

TD Securities strategists Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo note that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a widely expected 25 bps hike to 4.35%, but Governor Bullock’s dovish tone suggests a preference to pause.

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms describe an uneven near-term backdrop for the Euro (EUR), citing elevated geopolitical risk, high energy costs and weak growth.

DBS Group Research’s Chang Wei Liang notes that Japan has stepped up intervention to support the Japanese Yen after the US–Iran clash in the Strait of Hormuz lifted Brent towards USD115.

ING’s Chris Turner warns that higher natural gas prices could become a fresh headwind for the Euro (EUR). He reiterates ING’s view that 1.17 remains a fair level for EUR/USD under current assumptions for energy, policy and equities.

Societe Generale strategists note AUD/USD has pulled back after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a third 25bp hike to 4.35% while signalling a pause.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that recent strength in the Pound (GBP) is unlikely to last, as ambitious Bank of England (BoE) rate expectations and renewed political risks weigh on the outlook.

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has rebounded sharply, with USD/CAD moving back toward 1.35 as higher Oil prices bolster Canada’s trade and fiscal outlook.

NZD/USD inches higher after two days of losses, trading around 0.5880 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair holds ground as the US Dollar (USD) lost its daily gains despite increased safe-haven demand following uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised rates for the third time this year to 4.35%, prioritizing inflation expectations and second‑round risks over softer March Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Brazil Fipe's IPC Inflation: 0.4% (April) vs previous 0.59%