MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan analyzes new RBI measures restricting Indian Rupee non-deliverable derivatives and recent limits on onshore USD/INR positions. He argues these steps deepen the divide between onshore and offshore markets and aim to curb INR weakness.
EUR/GBP’s reversal from one-month highs at 0.8740 found buyers right above 0.08700 on Wednesday, and the pair has trimmed losses on Thursday, returning to the 0.8720 area at the time of writing.The Euro (EUR) seems to be faring better than the British Pound (GBP) amid the risk-averse market mood, an
NZD/USD depreciates nearly 0.8% after two days of gains, trading around 0.5710 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart signals a persistent bearish bias as the pair remains within a descending channel pattern.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 2:
The US Dollar (USD) is trading higher against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday. The pair bounced up from lows near 0.7900 on Wednesday, but it is struggling to confirm above the 0.8000 psychological level, despite the release of softer-than-expected Swiss inflation figures.
ING’s Chris Turner highlights that Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey pushed back against aggressive tightening expectations, warning markets are overpricing rate hikes that hurt confidence.
The EUR/USD pair is down 0.5% to near 1.1530 in the European session on Thursday, resuming its decline after a two-day recovery move. The major currency pair faces intense selling pressure as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens due to fears that the Middle East war is far from over.
The GBP/JPY cross meets with a fresh supply on Thursday and reverses a part of the previous day's goodish recovery from the 209.70-209.65 area, or the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Silver price (XAG/USD) slumps to around $70.60 during the early European session on Thursday. The white metal faces some selling pressure after comments from US President Donald Trump on the Iran conflict.
The USD/JPY pair is up 0.4% to near 159.50 in the early European trade on Thursday. The pair recovers strongly after a two-day corrective move as the safe-haven demand of the US Dollar (USD) has revived, following threats that the United States (US) will hit Iran extremely hard in the coming weeks.
The GBP/USD pair attracts some sellers to near 1.3215 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) as US President Donald Trump’s comments dampen de-escalation hopes.
The US Dollar (USD) is retracing Wednesday’s losses against the Canadian Dollar on Thursday, as investors resume the cautious trade witnessed in March, amid dwindling hopes of a de-escalation in Iran.
Commerzbank analysts Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has banned authorised dealers from offering non-deliverable INR derivative contracts to residents and non-residents, and from transacting FX derivatives with related parties.
The Indian Rupee (INR) fails to hold opening strength and falls lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday.
The AUD/USD pair is down 0.7% to near 0.6870 in the late Asian trading session on Thursday. The Aussie pair faces intense selling pressure as the Australian Dollar (AUD) underperforms due to a risk-off mood.
The USD/CHF pair jumps to around 0.7985 during the early European session on Thursday. The Greenback strengthens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) following an address to the nation by US President Donald Trump.
AUD/JPY loses ground after two days of gains, trading around 109.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday.
EUR/JPY depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 183.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the currency cross is moving sideways within an ascending triangle pattern, indicating consolidation.
The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its gains registered over the past two days, reaching the weekly top the previous day, and attracts heavy selling during the Asian session on Thursday.
USD/CAD rebounds after two days of losses, trading around 1.3900 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens after US President Donald Trump’s latest address showed no clear Middle East de-escalation, keeping geopolitical risk elevated.
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
The NZD/USD pair tumbles to near 0.5725 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as market caution persists due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which boosts safe-haven demand.
The GBP/USD pair meets fresh supply during the Asian session on Thursday. It retreats further from the weekly high, which was around the 1.3345 area touched the previous day. Spot prices decline to the mid-1.3200s after US President Donald Trump's comments.
The USD/JPY pair gains momentum to near 159.20 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following US President Donald Trump’s speech from the White House.
AUD/USD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 0.6900 during the Asian hours on Thursday.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 6.8880 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.9025 and 6.8764 Reuters estimate.
The EUR/USD pair holds steady around 1.1590 during the early Asian session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious ahead of US President Donald Trump’s address on the Iran war. The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report is due later on Thursday.
The GBP/JPY edges higher by nearly 0.60% on Wednesday as the market mood improved amid speculation of a possible end to Iran’s war. Although the pair found support at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 210.08, sentiment remains fragile amid geopolitical uncertainty.
GBP/USD posted a solid recovery on Wednesday, climbing around 0.6% to trade back above the 1.3300 level after spending much of late March pinned below that figure.