NZD/USD is clinging to the 0.5800 mark at the start of the Asian session on Friday after dipping to a near two-month low around 0.5797 earlier in the American session.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 99.00 barrier and then some, rebounding firmly as the hot Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 5.4% over the year to August, hardening expectations for a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting.

The Kiwi Dollar fails to clear a confluence of key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and dives below 0.5800, printing a near two-month low of 0.5797. At the time of writing, NZD/USD is down 0.65% and poised to test lower levels if it closes below 0.58.

EUR/JPY rises above the 179.00 mark on Thursday in the aftermath of the European Central Bank (ECB) raising its deposit rate by a quarter point to 2.50%, its second hike since the US-Iran war broke out.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that USD/JPY is edging higher as the Japanese Yen trades defensively after its sharp late-August rally. The Bank of Japan’s messaging is described as unequivocally hawkish ahead of a widely anticipated 25 bps hike on September 18.

USD/CAD holds modest gains on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) loses momentum after staging a modest recovery, despite US Producer Price Index (PPI) data showing that producer inflation picked up again in August.

The Pound Sterling loses traction against the US Dollar after the latest producer inflation report, which exceeded estimates, prompting investors to price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3525, down 0.17%.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note GBP/USD is little changed as it extends its recovery from last week’s lows, with risk set to rise on upcoming United Kingdom (UK) trade and industrial data.

The Australian Dollar eased against the US Dollar on Thursday, slipping back below the 0.7200 mark after touching its highest level since mid-May earlier in the week. AUD/USD trades in the 0.7160 area, lower on the day, as a firmer US Dollar pulls the pair away from a recent peak around 0.7220.

EUR/GBP trades with a modest positive bias on Thursday but stays within the narrow range that has been in place for more than a week.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD is holding a tight sideways range near 1.38 with no domestic data, leaving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) driven by external factors and technicals.

Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the recent USD/JPY decline has stalled despite hawkish comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) member Kazuyuki Masu, with markets already pricing a 25 bps hike to 1.25% on September 18.

USD/JPY advances to around 154.15 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day. The pair benefits from a rebound in the US Dollar (USD), supported by US data showing accelerating producer price pressures and a still-resilient labor market.

EUR/USD extends its intraday decline on Thursday as a recovery in the US Dollar (USD) weighs on the Euro (EUR), while the European Central Bank’s (ECB) widely expected rate hike fails to offer support.

GBP/JPY edges higher on Wednesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens across the board, likely reflecting some profit-taking after the currency’s strong run since the start of the month.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe EUR/USD as range-bound near 1.1630, with recent trading contained between 1.1619 and 1.1653. They maintain an upside bias but expect the Euro to stay within 1.1585–1.1670 in the coming weeks.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY weakness is stabilising around 153.45 after a drop to 152.92 and recovery to 153.54. They now expect consolidation between 153.00 and 154.30 intraday.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to play a central role in reshaping broader macro dynamics, with its recent appreciation easing trade-weighted exchange rate pressures across Asia-Pacific (APAC) currencies and creating room for nominal appreciation in regional peers.

USD/CAD trades around 1.3820 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.11% on the day. The pair edges higher as investors await the release of the United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) data for August, scheduled for 12:30 GMT.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that EUR/USD has been gradually moving higher, supported by more energy-sensitive European yields and expectations of a hawkish ECB.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see AUD/USD steady near 0.7220 after quiet sessions, with intraday ranges around 0.7205–0.7238. They maintain that the Australian Dollar could edge higher but expect gains to stay within 0.7160–0.7240 over the next 1–3 weeks.

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to keep the one-week repo rate at 37.0%, but stresses that effective monetary conditions depend on liquidity tools.

EUR/CAD trades around 1.6060 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The cross consolidates as investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy decision, due at 12:15 GMT.

GBP/USD remains stronger for the fourth successive day, trading around 1.3550 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair is maintaining a modest bullish bias as it holds above both the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

The USD/JPY pair seesaws between tepid gains and minor losses through the first half of the European session on Thursday, consolidating its recent heavy losses to a nearly seven-month low, touched earlier this week.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) has given back previous daily gains against the US Dollar (USD) in a calm trading session on Thursday, as the USD/CHF pair returned above 0.8100, although it remains halfway through the weekly trading range.

The Euro (EUR) trades in a tight range at around 1.1640 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair consolidates as investors await the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy decision, which will be announced at 12:15 GMT.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to keep its policy rate at 37% for now, after normalising liquidity and lowering the effective funding rate.

The EUR/JPY cross struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains and trades around the 178.75 region during the first half of the European session on Thursday.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that markets fully price today’s ECB rate hike and see around 85 basis points of additional tightening by mid-2027, heavily driven by Oil dynamics.