UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated.
The British Pound (GBP) recovers its early losses and flattens around 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retraced previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and trades higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching three-week highs near 0.5800.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has been range‑trading slightly higher than expected, with intraday levels seen between 0.6920 and 0.6960. The earlier tentative upside momentum has faded, and for the next 1–3 weeks the pair is expected to trade between 0.6890 and 0.6975.
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change itself.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) posts marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as the pair's reversal from Friday's 0.6970 highs found support above 0.6120. Rising tensions in Iran have hammered risk appetite, but the US Dollar’s weakness is keeping the Aussie from retreating further.
The Euro (EUR) claws back its early losses and turns slightly positive at around 1.6170 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) during the European trading session on Monday. The cross bounces back as the Euro strengthens amid hopes that the ongoing aggression in the Middle East won’t be prolonged.
EUR/USD gains ground after posting losses in the previous day, trading around 1.1440 during the European hours on Monday. The currency pair holds just above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but remains capped by the 50-day EMA, keeping the near-term tone cautiously bearish.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that USD/JPY rebounded after a sharp drop to 161.26, with intraday gains expected to be capped between 161.60 and 162.45. Over the next 1–3 weeks, the outlook is described as mixed, with trading likely between 160.60 and 163.00.
The US Dollar posts moderate gains against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Monday, yet with price action contained within the last two weeks’ trading range, and with the 0.8100 level capping bulls for now.
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose contrasts upbeat remarks from CBT governor Fatih Karahan with more cautious comments from deputy governor Gazi Ishak Kara on Turkey’s inflation dynamics.
The Euro (EUR) is higher by 0.36% to near 185.25 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Monday. The Japanese Yen underperforms across the board despite hopes that Japan’s inflation would remain above the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target for a longer period.
The USD/JPY pair sticks to its modest intraday gains through the early European session on Monday and currently trades above the 162.00 mark, up 0.30% for the day.
XAG/USD struggles for the second consecutive day, trading around $58.20 per troy ounce during the European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the spot price is remaining within the descending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bearish bias.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD gapped lower after briefly breaking above 1.3445, with momentum turning down and risks of a test below 1.3360, though 1.3320 is seen as distant for now.
The Euro (EUR) is trading practically flat against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday after dropping about 2% over the past three weeks. Euro bulls remain subdued amid the risk-averse mood, but sellers are struggling to find acceptance below 0.8500.
GBP/USD remains in negative territory after paring daily losses, trading around 1.3390 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground on rising safe-haven demand amid intensifying tensions in the Middle East.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades firmly against its major currency peers, but is flat at around 1.4160 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
The NZD/USD pair trades on a flat note near 0.5760 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following the US's launch of fresh missile attacks against Iran on Sunday boost the US Dollar (USD) as a safe-haven asset.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that recent Canadian labour data and a new US-Canada bridge agreement are not the main drivers of USD/CAD above 1.41.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has slipped after testing 1.1460, with increasing downward momentum but major support at 1.1360 seen as difficult to reach near term. For the coming 1–3 weeks, they expect EUR/USD to remain in a 1.1360–1.1450 range.
The Euro (EUR) depreciates moderately against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as escalating tensions between the US and Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz dampened appetite for risk and boosted inflationary pressures at the week's opening.The EUR/USD pair is trading at the 1.1400 area at th
The Australian Dollar (AUD) underperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.32% lower to near 0.6930 against the US Dollar (USD) during the early European trading session at the start of the week.
The GBP/JPY cross rebounds a few pips following an Asian session dip to mid-216.00s on Monday, stalling its modest pullback from the highest level since January 2008, touched last week.
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens significantly lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday. The USD/INR jumps to over a six-week high around 95.80, as renewed Middle East hostilities have strengthened the US Dollar and oil prices.
USD/JPY gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 162.00 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency pair is keeping a bullish near-term bias as spot holds above both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
The AUD/JPY cross trades in negative territory around 112.25 during the early European trading hours on Monday.
USD/CHF gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 0.8100 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar rises on increased safe-haven demand amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The Euro (EUR) holds opening losses at around 1.1390 against the US Dollar (USD) during the mid-Asian trading session on Monday. The major currency pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar starts the week on a strong note due to an increase in the appeal of safe-haven assets.
The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory around 184.65 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. However, the potential upside for the cross might be limited as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could boost a safe-haven currency.