Wells Fargo Economics projects Brazil’s April IPCA inflation to rise 0.9% month-over-month and around 4.5% year-over-year, near or above the target band. Energy and food pressures are intensifying, while inflation expectations have risen.
The USD/JPY pair fell toward the 156.60 region on Friday, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) gained modest support from safe-haven flows despite resilient United States (US) labor-market data limiting broader downside pressure on the US Dollar (USD).
USD/CHF trades on the back foot on Friday and is set for a second straight weekly decline amid broad-based weakness in the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.7773, hovering near two-month lows.
EUR/USD edges higher during the North American session amid heightened tensions in the Middle East, even though a solid US jobs report might prevent the Fed from cutting rates in the first half of the year. The pair trades at 1.1775, up 0.44%.
The AUD/USD pair surged near the 0.7240 region on Friday as traders digest a combination of escalating Middle East tensions and the latest United States (US) labor market data.
USD/CAD edges higher on Friday as softer-than-expected Canadian employment data weighs on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the back foot following mixed US labor market data and hopes for a US-Iran deal to end the war.
GBP/USD advances around 1.3630 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.54% on the day, benefiting from broad US Dollar weakness following the release of the US employment report.
The Euro (EUR) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Greenback remains under pressure following mixed US labor market data. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1777, up roughly 0.44% on the day.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is modestly higher versus the Dollar, supported by risk sentiment around the US/Iran conflict despite softer German trade data and slightly reduced ECB tightening expectations.
USD/JPY edges lower on Friday and trades around 156.65 at the time of writing, down 0.17% on the day, despite the release of a stronger-than-expected US employment report.
GBP/JPY edges higher on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to face selling pressure despite suspected intervention by Japanese authorities earlier this week.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades higher against its major currency peers, is up 0.43% around 1.3610 against the US Dollar (USD), during the European trading session on Friday.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extends gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, reaching session highs at 0.5970, after bouncing from 0.5930 earlier on the day.
The US Dollar (USD) resumes its broader bearish trend against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains and reaching levels a few pips above the two-month lows of 0.7765, as the market shifts its focus to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, due later on Friday.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades 0.4% higher against the US Dollar (USD) at around 0.7240 during the European trading session on Friday.
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that recent Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention, estimated around JPY 10 trillion, has so far failed to deliver a sustained Yen rebound, with USD/JPY still stable.
USD/CAD edges lower on Friday and trades around 1.3650 at the time of writing, snapping a two-day winning streak. However, the downside remains limited as investors prefer to stay cautious ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and Canadian employment data later in the day.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to be cushioned even if markets scale back aggressive Bank of Canada (BoC) rate hike pricing.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is one of the strongest performers on Friday, showing moderate gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY). The GBP/JPY pair returns above 213.00 at the time of writing, and is on track to end the week near opening levels.
ING’s Francesco Pesole argues the Pound remains vulnerable as United Kingdom (UK) local election results show heavy losses for Labour and early calls for Prime Minister Starmer to resign.
The Euro (EUR) posts moderate gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, trading a few pips shy of the 1.1750 level at the time of writing, to reverse Thursday's losses.
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that the Euro has been resilient on crosses but slipped versus the Dollar, with softer equities and commodity FX underperformance shaping flows.
The US Dollar (USD) trades moderately lower against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday, on track to close the week practically flat, as Japanese authorities’ warnings about further interventions keep Yen sellers on their toes.
The GBP/USD pair trades 0.25% higher to near 1.3590 during the European trading session on Friday. The Cable reflects strength as the Pound Sterling (GBP) outperforms its major currency peers, except antipodeans, amid a revived risk-on rally.
The EUR/JPY cross gains traction to around 184.15 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid improved risk sentiment and hawkish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB).
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur argues that an end to the Iran conflict and a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could support the Euro against the Dollar via relative real-rate dynamics.
AUD/USD pares its recent losses from the previous day, trading around 0.7220 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving upwards within the ascending channel, suggesting an ongoing bullish bias.