The USD/JPY pair extends the range play through the Asian session on Friday, stalling this week's solid recovery from its lowest level since May, touched in the aftermath of a joint US-Japan intervention.
USD/CHF extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 0.8130 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains strength, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating Middle East tensions.
The NZD/USD pair sticks to a negative bias for the second consecutive day and trades near the lower end of its weekly range, around the 0.5865 region, during the Asian session on Friday.
The AUD/USD pair steadies around the 0.7030-0.7025 region during the Asian session on Friday as traders opt to wait for the release of the closely watched US monthly employment details before placing fresh directional bets.
USD/CAD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.4020 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair continues to gain ground as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from revived safe-haven demand.
On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7904 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.7895 and 6.7548 Reuters estimate.
The USD/JPY pair is seen consolidating this week's solid recovery gains from the 155.25-155.20 region, the lowest since May, touched in the aftermath of a joint US-Japan intervention, and holds steady near the weekly top.
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song highlight a sharp 8% drop in USD/KRW earlier in the second quarter, driven by temporary flows such as Hynix ADR repatriation and National Pension Service hedging adjustments, alongside a hawkish Bank of Korea (BoK) hike.
The Mexican peso extends its rally to 10 straight days, gaining over 0.12% on Thursday after the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) left interest rates unchanged. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN exotic pair trades at 17.21, after reaching a daily high of 17.26.
NZD/USD trades lower near the 0.5900 level at the time of writing, with no New Zealand catalyst behind the move. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.26% near the 100.00 level, and the Kiwi is simply on the wrong side of it.
The US Dollar (USD) posted gains against every major currency on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.26% near the 100.00 level as Oil rallied 3% on the reported Strait of Hormuz vessel ban, while Gold and Silver declined.
Societe Generale strategist Kiyong Seong turns tactically constructive on USD/KRW, arguing that recent Won strength has been driven by late-stage flow factors rather than fundamentals.
The Bank of Mexico, also known as Banxico, held rates unchanged at 6.50% as expected by most analysts, unanimously, for the third consecutive meeting, after ending its easing cycle in May.
The USD/JPY advances by some 0.41%, clearing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 158.06, as the Greenback recovers some ground following two days of intervention in the FX markets by US and Japanese authorities.
AUD/USD is down 0.36% for the day, but still above the 0.7000 region, giving back Wednesday's gains as the US Dollar (USD) firms across the board. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.28% near the 100.00 psychological level.
The USD/CHF snaps two days of losses and rises by over 0.60% on Thursday after solid US jobs data. Also, buyers stepped in at key support at the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.8052, pushing the pair back above the 0.8100 threshold.
The Pound Sterling holds firm against the US Dollar during the North American session on Thursday, after US jobs data reinforces the thesis that the labour market remains solid ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3466, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3404.
USD/CAD rebounds on Thursday after briefly slipping below the key 1.4000 support level, as the US Dollar (USD) snaps a two-day losing streak with traders repositioning ahead of Friday's employment reports from the United States (US) and Canada.
Scotiabank highlights that the Euro is slightly softer versus the Dollar after touching levels last seen in mid-June, with fundamentals still supportive as yield spreads turn. Spot has nearly converged with their fair value based on the 2-year Germany–US spread.
USD/JPY trades modestly higher near 158.20 on Thursday, extending a fourth session of Japanese Yen (JPY) softness as the pair claws back ground lost to last week's coordinated Japan-United States (US) intervention.
The Indian Rupee (INR) has found local support against the US Dollar (USD), with USD/INR easing to around 95.10 following the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) decision to hold its benchmark repo rate steady at 5.25% for a fourth consecutive meeting.
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song note that the Indian Rupee (INR) has given back much of its June gains as US–Iran tensions and rising Oil prices hurt sentiment.
EUR/USD trades on the back foot on Thursday, snapping a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) steadies. Still, the near-term technical picture remains bullish following the late-July rebound from below 1.1400. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1534, down 0.15% on the day.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but modestly outperforming other majors, trading close to their fair value estimate around 1.40.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5880 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.10% on the day. The pair remains under pressure as renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) emerges, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid fresh geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
AUD/USD edges lower on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies following two consecutive days of losses. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.7036, down roughly 0.32% on the day.
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Mexican Peso (MXN) carry demand is surging ahead of Banxico’s decision, with MXN the best-bought currency on a weekly basis. However, weak volumes, deteriorating equity flows and only modest sovereign bond demand temper the story.
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes AUD/USD has trended higher since July, mainly due to a softer US Dollar (USD), with the Australian Dollar (AUD) mid-pack versus G10 peers.
ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole notes Sweden’s core CPIF excluding energy rose to 0.6% in July, giving the Swedish Krona (SEK) a modest boost, while headline inflation slowed as expected.
MUFG notes that USD/JPY remains well below pre-intervention levels. Japanese retail traders entered the episode with a record short position in the pair and likely covered those positions during the intervention-led decline, partially offsetting official yen purchases.