The USD/CAD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second consecutive day and trades around the 1.3800 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since April 13, touched last week.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Tuesday at 6.8288 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.8318 and 6.7822 Reuters estimate.

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3495 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The British Pound (GBP) softens against the US Dollar (USD) on weak underlying UK data and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

The USD/JPY pair edges higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 159.00 mark before positioning for further gains.

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) as uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement boosts a safe-haven currency.

The British Pound (GBP) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with GBP/USD climbing toward the 1.3500 mark as improving optimism surrounding a possible US-Iran agreement boosts market sentiment and weighs on the Greenback.

USD/CAD trades on the back foot on Monday, snapping a four-day winning streak as markets monitor evolving developments surrounding ongoing US-Iran negotiations. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3803 after easing from an intraday high near 1.3820.

The Greenback has started the week on the back foot, receding to multi-week lows on the back of the generalised improvement in the risk complex, all in response to rising optimism on a potential US-Iran deal.

The Euro advances during Monday’s session, up by 0.37% amid renewed hopes for an agreement between the US and Iran to extend the ceasefire by 60 days and discuss a deal regarding Iran’s uranium enrichment program. The EUR/USD trades at 1.1645 at the time of writing.

GBP/JPY trades with a positive bias on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) outperforms the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid improving market sentiment surrounding a potential US-Iran deal. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 214.52, up 0.30% on the day.

Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team, including Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret, notes that the Canadian Dollar is flat against the Dollar and underperforming other G10 currencies due to its differentiated risk profile.

USD/JPY consolidates on Monday after opening the week with a bearish gap as the US Dollar (USD) comes under pressure amid growing optimism that the United States (US) and Iran are moving closer toward a deal that could eventually reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

The British Pound (GBP) clings to opening gains around 1.3500 against the US Dollar (USD) during the late European trading session on Monday. The GBP/USD pair trades higher as the market sentiment remains risk-on due to expectations that the United States (US) and Iran will reach a deal soon.

The Euro (EUR) remains practically flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, capped below the top of last week’s range, in the 1.1660-1.1675 area, with seven-week lows, at 1.1575 relatively close.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY pulled back sharply after closing at 159.19, with scope to test 158.70 while a sustained drop below that level and 158.40 strong support is seen as unlikely.

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that higher United States (US) 2-year yields and elevated Brent prices are weighing on Indonesian Rupiah (IDR), Philippine Peso (PHP) and Indian Rupee (INR).

BNY’s Bob Savage argues that South African Reserve Bank (SARB) is likely to lead emerging market tightening as South Africa reverses its easing path and hikes the repo rate back to 7.0%.

ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to deliver a hawkish hold at the 27 May meeting, while warning markets underprice the risk of a surprise hike. He sees new projections signalling tightening from 3Q and looks for two 25bp hikes starting in July.

The USD/CAD pair reverses an intraday dip to sub-1.3800 levels and fills a modest weekly bearish gap, hitting a fresh daily top during the first half of the European session on Monday.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note a sharp opening rise in GBP/USD, with rapid upward momentum that could see the pair test 1.3505, while 1.3530 remains a key resistance.

The Euro (EUR) trades 0.15% higher to near 185.00 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Monday.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) accelerates its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with the USD/CHF pair reaching 11-day lows below 0.7820 at the moment of trading, down from highs past 0.7900 last week.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the European Central Bank's (ECB) April Account to underline a tightening bias, with markets already pricing high odds of a June rate hike to 2.25%.

HSBC analysts argue that foreign exchange intervention alone is unlikely to keep the USD/JPY pair sustainably below 160. They stress that effectiveness increases when intervention coincides with Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes and lower Oil prices.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) maintains a moderately negative tone against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, despite a somewhat brighter market sentiment.

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that AUD/USD rebounded sharply after recent weakness, with the pair swinging between 0.7100 and 0.7168 and now trading near 0.7155.

AUD/USD holds ground after two days of losses, trading around 0.7170 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) receives support from fading safe-haven demand in anticipation of the United States (US)-Iran accord.

The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buyers following a bearish gap opening on Monday and reclaims the 159.00 mark during the early part of the European session.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the RBNZ to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% this week, while swaps price 125 bps of tightening over the next year.

MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews recent USD/JPY performance, noting that the pair opened at 156.86 and rose toward 158.50 as the Dollar strengthened on difficult US-Iran negotiations, higher crude oil prices and renewed inflation concerns.