The US Dollar (USD) has added to Wednesday’s pullback, receding to multi-day lows and breaching below its key 200-day SMA.
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights strong Japanese Yen flows and a declining USD/JPY as markets hesitate to challenge Japanese and U.S. authorities. He argues that heavy post-intervention selling has largely run its course and that around 160 in USD/JPY now acts as a practical intervention ceiling.
The Pound Sterling rises against the US Dollar on Thursday, as Fed Governor Christopher Waller favors holding the rate unchanged, shifting to a more neutral stance regarding monetary policy, while data showed that the US labour market is solid and that business activity improved.
USD/CAD extends its decline for the second consecutive day on Thursday as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness and the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) hawkish message at its September policy meeting support the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team reports the British Pound (GBP) is flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but softer on crosses, with UK PMI data offering little new insight. Markets price minimal tightening for the September Bank of England (BoE) meeting and modest moves for November.
Societe Generale strategists highlight heavy USD/JPY turnover as the pair slid below its 200-day moving average, with leveraged accounts forced to cover shorts.
USD/JPY extends its decline for a second consecutive day and trades around 155.40 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 2.07% on the day.
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Euro (EUR) is higher against the US Dollar (USD), supported by strong euro area Producer Price Index (PPI) and firmer European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations. Markets now price more than one 25bp hike by year-end.
EUR/USD attracts buyers on Thursday as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY), softer United States labour-market data and a pullback in US Treasury yields weigh on the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades around 1.1622, up roughly 0.30% on the day.
Brown Brothers Harriman ’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Swiss Franc (CHF) is the second-best performer today after the Japanese Yen as Swiss inflation surprised to the upside in August, reinforcing Swiss National Bank (SNB) hike expectations.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is modestly outperforming after a slightly hawkish Bank of Canada (BoC). Policy was left unchanged, but inflation risks were highlighted and December tightening is fully priced.
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights renewed Japanese Yen strength as markets price in more Bank of Japan hikes following recent comments from Takata and Ueda.
USD/CHF comes under selling pressure on Thursday as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs broadly on the US Dollar (USD), while the Swiss Franc (CHF) draws support from stronger-than-expected inflation and growth data.
AUD/USD advances on Thursday, trading around 0.7215 at the time of writing, up 0.45% on the day.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad observes USD/CAD is testing key support at 1.3800, where a break could open further downside. The Bank of Canada (BoC) delivered a hawkish hold, keeping rates at 2.25% but warning about increased upside inflation risks.
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Eurozone assets remain supported by steady composite PMI readings and improving signs in German demand, while speculation over ECB leadership succession grows.
GBP/JPY extends its steep decline on Thursday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens sharply across the board for the second consecutive day. The cross fell 1.13% on Wednesday and is down around 1.60% at the time of writing, trading near 210.60, its lowest level in a month.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister highlights renewed weakness in the Japanese Yen as USD/JPY repeatedly breaks above 160 despite record FX interventions.
The Euro (EUR) is up 0.2% to near 1.1610 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is up 0.16% at around 0.5860 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
EUR/JPY falls sharply on Thursday and trades around 181.40 at the time of writing, down 1.37% on the day. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens significantly against the Euro (EUR), supported by renewed warnings from Japanese authorities over foreign exchange market moves.
The Euro (EUR) extends gains against a weaker British Pound (GBP) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, following downward revisions of both the Eurozone and UK Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) figures.
Derek Halpenny at MUFG notes the Canadian Dollar’s (CAD) immediate advance after the Bank of Canada left rates unchanged at 2.25% but signalled greater concern over inflation.
USD/JPY extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 156.80 during the European hours on Thursday.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report AUD/USD dipped to 0.7122 before a strong rebound to 0.7176, leaving intraday price action in a 0.7140–0.7180 range. Downward momentum is fading and a break above 0.7190 would confirm 0.7120 is out of reach.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, September 3:
The Euro (EUR) picks up against a somewhat softer US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, but upside attempts are frail, after last week's 0.8% decline and Eurozone PMI data have failed to boost confidence in the Eurozone's economic outlook.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD extended its decline to 1.3475 before rebounding, closing at 1.3485. Intraday bias remains lower, but any weakness is seen limited to a test of 1.3465, with 1.3510 marking a shift back to range trading.
Danske Research Team reports that EUR/USD is around the 1.16 level while European government bond yields continue to climb and US yields show a mixed pattern.
USD/CAD extends its losses for the second consecutive day. trading around 1.3820 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is positioned within the descending channel pattern, signalling a bearish bias.