The US Dollar (USD) is trading practically flat, right above 159.00 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, consolidating Tuesday’s gains amid cautious markets. Most US Dollar crosses remain moving within previous ranges as the situation in the Middle East deteriorates.
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes argues EUR/USD is likely to stay range-bound as geopolitical risks and US policy uncertainty offset economic fundamentals. He notes two-year rate differentials point to EUR/USD near 1.14–1.17, while consensus GDP suggests 1.14 is appropriate.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that USD/JPY climbed to 159.37 as the Dollar strengthened. They see scope for a retest of 159.65, with limited follow-through above that level, and expect a broader 157.55–160.50 range.
The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1745 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair consolidates while the US Dollar (USD) edges lower amid hopes of a prolonged standoff between the United States (US) and Iran.
BNY’s Bob Savage notes that Australia’s Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index has slipped below trend, signaling weaker growth ahead as higher rates and the Middle East energy shock weigh on activity.
GBP/USD trades around 1.3515 on Wednesday, gaining a modest 0.06% at the time of writing, as investors digest the latest inflation figures from the United Kingdom (UK) and assess the outlook for monetary policy on both sides of the Atlantic.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that United Kingdom (UK) inflation remains persistently above target, limiting the Bank of England’s (BoE) ability to ignore the energy shock. However, he argues current BoE rate hike expectations are excessive given estimated economic slack.
Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every highlights mounting European energy and geopolitical pressures, including disrupted Oil flows via Druzhba and potential EU financing for Ukraine.
Silver (XAG/USD) nudges higher on Wednesday, but remains at the lower range of Tuesday’s trading, consolidating below $78.00 and with the previous support area of $78.50 capping upside attempts, for now.
The US Dollar (USD) posts minor losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Wednesday, and is testing session lows below 1.3650 at the time of writing, following rejection at the 1.3675 area on Tuesday.
ING strategist Francesco Pesole argues that EUR/GBP has limited further downside after slipping below 0.8700, as United Kingdom (UK) political risks and stretched Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations offset risk-on pressures.
EUR/JPY trades around 187.25 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up a modest 0.05% on the day. The cross remains supported by relative stability in the Euro (EUR) as investors assess the impact of geopolitical tensions and diverging monetary policy expectations between Europe and Japan.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that AUD/USD eased to 0.7152 after recent gains, with price action offering few fresh clues. They expect intraday trading between 0.7125 and 0.7175 and see the pair locked in a 0.7060–0.7210 range over the coming weeks.
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose sees a binary Turkish central bank (CBT) decision, with markets split between no change and a 300 bp hike, and stresses that corridor tightening would still be de facto tightening.
The US Dollar (USD) posts moderate losses against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Wednesday, but remains trading within previous ranges, with price action fluctuating around 0.7800, halfway through the weekly trading band.
The AUD/USD pair trades 0.25% higher to near 0.7170 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Aussie pair gains as the Australian Dollar (AUD) outperforms its peers amid improved market sentiment.
The Euro (EUR) posts marginal gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday. The pair, however, remains near the bottom of the last few days’ trading range, around 1.1750, as hopes of a positive outcome from the US-Iran peace negotiations vanish.US President Trump has extended the ceasefire unilat
AUD/JPY inches higher after remaining flat in the previous session, trading around 114.10 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD slipped to 1.1742 as the Dollar firmed on stalled US–Iran talks and weaker German sentiment.
The GBP/JPY pair falls to near 215.10 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The pair drops as the Pound Sterling (GBP) faces selling pressure as the United Kingdom (UK) core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March arrives lower than estimates.
The USD/JPY pair adds to its modest intraday losses and moves further away from over a one-week high, around the 159.70 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices drop to the 159.00 neighborhood, or a fresh daily low, during the early European session, though the downside potential seems limited.
The NZD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.5915 during the early European session on Wednesday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) after US President Donald Trump says the US is extending the ceasefire with Iran at Pakistan's request.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that the extended ceasefire with Iran and ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz keep global inflation risks elevated, even if EUR/USD does not currently reflect this.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) faces slight selling pressure against its major currency peers after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. The British currency drops to near 1.3518 against the US Dollar (USD), but still holds little gains.
The Indian Rupee (INR) weakens further against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, extending its losing streak for the third trading day.
The AUD/JPY cross gains momentum to around 114.05 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on a hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
EUR/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1740 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair holds little losses as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground on increased market caution amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict.
The USD/CAD pair fails to capitalize on the previous day's modest recovery from the 1.3630 region, or its lowest level since March 13, and remains on the back foot during the Asian session on Wednesday.
The AUD/USD pair trades in positive territory near 0.7160 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the potential upside for the pair might be limited amid uncertainty regarding Iran's participation in further peace talks.
The GBP/JPY cross trades with a positive bias for the third straight day and touches a fresh weekly top, around the 215.35-215.40 region during the Asian session on Wednesday.