USD/CAD extends its advance for a fifth consecutive day on Tuesday, hovering near a two-week high as the US Dollar (USD) stays firmly supported ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
The Pound Sterling edges lower, by some 0.07%, against the Greenback on Tuesday, with the latter enjoying inflows due to its haven status amid fears of a possible Oil supply shortage. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3487, after peaking at around 1.3505.
EUR/GBP trades in the mid-0.8500s, unable to reclaim the 0.8600 barrier on Tuesday as the Euro (EUR) has struggled even after the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key rates by 25 basis points (bps) on September 10, lifting the deposit rate to 2.50%.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe USD/JPY trading higher as the Japanese Yen underperforms G10 peers ahead of trade, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision. A BoJ hike is fully priced, with risks focused on guidance for future moves.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang reports GBP/USD slipped below 1.3475 before rebounding, with intraday trade now expected between 1.3470 and 1.3520. He notes building downside momentum and sees scope for further British Pound (GBP) weakness, though the major support at 1.3410 may not be tested immediately.
AUD/USD trades near the 0.7120s, down from the four-month highs it set near 0.7200 earlier this month. The US Dollar (USD), tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY), holds just below the 100.00 mark and is firmer on the day as traders square positions before the main event.
USD/CHF extends its advance for a fifth consecutive day on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays firmly bid ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8191, near levels last seen on July 29.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD is fractionally lower but stabilizing just above Monday’s one-month low in the mid/lower-1.15s.
USD/JPY extends its rebound on Tuesday and trades around 155.00 at the time of writing, up 0.41% on the day. The pair continues its recovery from levels below 153.00 reached last week, mainly supported by broad-based strength in the US Dollar (USD).
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang reports USD/JPY reversed earlier downside expectations, dipping to 153.29 before surging to 154.99 and closing at 154.35. The bank now sees scope for a move above 155.00, though 155.50 is likely out of reach near term.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively unchanged versus the US Dollar (USD) but outperforming peers, supported by firmer Oil and steady US-Canada front-end spreads.
EUR/USD remains on the back foot on Tuesday as rising US Treasury yields support the US Dollar. However, the pair lacks strong follow-through selling as traders avoid placing large bets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
GBP/JPY trades on the front foot on Tuesday but remains confined to a narrow range following the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) sharp rally earlier this month.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights that USD/CHF extended gains to 0.8195 before consolidating, with intraday trade now expected between 0.8150 and 0.8195. He sees strong but overbought momentum and says a sustained move to 0.8245 requires a clear break and hold above 0.8205.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) keeps heading lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with NZD/USD bears pushing against two-month lows at 0.5765 after dropping beyond 2.5% so far in September.
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes USD/JPY has rebounded as higher UST yields, a firmer USD and rising Oil offset support from Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening expectations. He warns against extrapolating gains ahead of Friday’s BoJ meeting, with markets almost fully pricing another hike.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) consolidates losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the USD/CHF trading just below one-and-a-half-month highs at the 0.8200 level.
Quek Ser Leang at UOB notes AUD/USD fell more sharply than anticipated to 0.7109, leaving short-term conditions oversold and favouring consolidation between 0.7110 and 0.7155 intraday.
The British Pound (GBP) reflects a mixed performance against its currency peers after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for three months ending July.
The Euro (EUR) remains on the defensive against the US Dollar (USD) as investors brace for the first interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after three years.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights renewed EUR/USD weakness after a sharper-than-expected drop below 1.1565 to 1.1522. He sees scope for a further test of 1.1520 intraday, with 1.1490 as the next key support over the coming weeks.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) hovers near monthly lows against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, as rising expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will tighten its monetary policy on Wednesday underpin speculative demand for the Greenback.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovers half of its early losses against the US Dollar (USD), but is still 0.17% down at around 0.5770 during the European trading session on Tuesday.
The AUD/USD pair sticks to a negative bias for the second consecutive day and trades around the 0.7120 region during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is showing a moderately softer tone against the US Dollar (USD) this week, with all eyes on the monetary policy decisions bu¡y the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), due later this week.
ING’s Francesco Pesole says EUR/USD is trading close to its short-term fair value, while expectations for improving German ZEW data and the lingering impact of last week’s hawkish ECB hike offer some support to the Euro.
The Euro (EUR) posts minor gains on Tuesday as the British Pound (GBP) falls after mixed UK employment data.
Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park and Nicholas Chia expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver a 25bps rate hike in September but maintain a gradual normalisation path.
The British Pound (GBP) extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the GBP/USD pair hovering a few pips above five-week lows near 1.3465 at the London session opening times.
The Euro (EUR) is down 0.12% at around 1.1535 against the US Dollar (USD) in the early European trading session on Tuesday.