The Japanese Yen trades a little firmer on Monday, with USD/JPY down 0.05% and sitting short of 164.00 after last week's high stalled a hundredth of a Yen beneath the figure.

The Australian Dollar trades just beneath 0.7000 on Monday, up around 0.1%, having covered less than 30 pips between its session high and its session low. For the better part of a fortnight the market has tried to make something of the 0.7000 area and given up each time.

British Pound Sterling trades beneath 1.3300 against the Dollar on Monday, roughly 0.3% lower on the day and back at ground it last held in the opening days of July. It gets there at the end of the strongest run of British data since the spring, which is the part worth sitting with.

NZD/USD trades near the 0.5790 area on Monday, struggling to extend its recovery despite modest weakness in the US Dollar (USD).

BNP Paribas strategists see Japan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowing to 0.8% in 2026 from 1.1% in 2025 as higher inflation and energy-related costs weigh on activity, partly offset by fiscal support and AI (Artificial intelligence) investment.

The EUR/JPY holds firm around 163.70 on Monday as the Japanese Yen strengthens, with investors cautious about opening fresh hawkish bets amid fears of intervention in the foreign exchange market.

The USD/CHF extends its advance for the sixth straight trading session, up 0.11%, as the Greenback holds firm against a basket of six currencies, the US Dollar Index (DXY). At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.8190, with buyers targeting 0.8200.

Silver (XAG/USD) reverses part of its earlier gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds after opening the week with a bearish gap following a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran.

EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Monday, surrendering earlier gains as investors remain cautious ahead of key Eurozone growth figures and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy decision.

The Pound Sterling retreats by 0.13% even though the Greenback is flat during the day, as risk appetite shifted sour on news that a Chinese state-backed company is producing chipmaking machines, prompting a sell-off in ASML, the Dutch-based company.  The GBP/USD trades at 1.3305, after reaching a hi

USD/CHF climbs to fresh highs since June 2025 on Monday after Bloomberg reported that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) could keep its policy rate at zero until the end of 2027. The SNB later declined to comment on the report, according to Reuters.

USD/JPY edges lower on Monday and trades around 163.70 at the time of writing, down 0.09% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) comes under pressure from improving risk sentiment following the latest geopolitical developments.

AUD/USD retreats to 0.6990 on Monday, though still up on Friday's close, after briefly rising as high as 0.7011 during the Asian session as investors prepare for key Australian inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision.

USD/CAD edges higher on Monday, paring earlier losses as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds after opening the week with a bearish gap. The Greenback initially weakened as a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran improved risk sentiment.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Eurozone leading indicators, including Germany’s IFO, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and ZEW, point to improving activity.

EUR/USD reverses its early gains on Monday and moves toward filling the bullish gap at the weekly open. The pair initially rose after a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran improved risk sentiment, sent Oil prices sharply lower and weighed on the US Dollar (USD).

HSBC argues that GBP/USD faces renewed downside as UK disinflation and a softer labour market reduce urgency for further Bank of England tightening, even though markets still price hikes out to 2027.

BNP Paribas strategists project Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow to 0.8% in 2026 from 1.5% in 2025 due to spillovers from the Middle East conflict and weaker consumption.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 at the time of writing on Monday, virtually unchanged on the day.

GBP/JPY edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) weakens across the board following its recent advance, with traders trimming exposure ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest-rate decision on Thursday. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 217.84, down 0.23% on the day.

The Euro (EUR) gives back a majority of its early gains against the US Dollar (USD) after failing to rise above the intraday high of 1.1418 on Monday.

HSBC strategists see EUR/USD at risk of moving lower as the European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a cautious, data-dependent stance and refrains from signalling further rate hikes.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that benign Consumer Price Index (CPI) and CPIF inflation leave Sweden and the Riksbank better positioned than many G10 peers to delay rate hikes despite supply disruptions from the Iran war.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains vulnerable, despite the safe-haven US Dollar’s (USD) weakness on Monday, and extends losses for the second consecutive day.

AUD/USD trades around 0.7000 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.33% on the day, supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD) as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East show signs of easing.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad anticipates the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will leave its policy rate at 1.00% after June’s hike, with inflation still below target and markets pricing only gradual tightening.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) pares recent losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, favoured by a relief rally, as the US and Iran halted their hostilities, opening the door for further negotiations.

Geoff Yu at BNY argues that the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to keep policy unchanged despite energy-driven price pressures, as markets have already tightened financial conditions.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that lower energy prices have eased pressure on Japanese policymakers and slowed USD/JPY’s climb below 164.00. Markets expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep rates unchanged but are focused on any hawkish signals on future hikes.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad sees above-target Australian inflation keeping Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike risks alive, with June and Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) expected to show firm trimmed mean readings.