Why Wingstop Stock Plummeted This Week

Source The Motley Fool

Shares of quickly growing chicken wing franchisor Wingstop (NASDAQ: WING) were down by 19% as of 1:50 p.m. ET Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Despite the company reporting otherwise stellar earnings on Wednesday, Wingstop's shares have declined this week as its sales didn't meet analysts' lofty expectations.

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Wingstop's good earnings versus analysts' great expectations

During the fourth quarter, Wingstop grew revenue by 28%, domestic same-store sales by 10%, and net income by 42%. In a vacuum, these would typically be incredible results.

However, thanks to the company's lofty valuation and analysts' high hopes, Wingstop was thoroughly punished for missing sales expectations by $3 million in Q4. In other words, Wingstop's market cap dropped by nearly $2 billion because it delivered revenue growth of $162 million instead of analysts' expectations of $165 million.

I don't point this out as a critique of the market. Instead, I highlight it to show that it is not uncommon for a stock's underlying operations to be fantastic, yet its share price can move in the opposite direction for shorter-term "misses."

If we zoom out and look at Wingstop's 2024, the company:

  • delivered same-store sales growth for the 21st consecutive year
  • grew its store count by 15%
  • increased its digital sales mix to 70% of total systemwide revenue
  • raised its dividend 23%
  • lowered its share count by nearly 1%
  • expanded its digital database to over 50 million customers
  • announced it has 2,000 restaurant commitments in its pipeline, compared to its current store count of 2,563

Simply put, Wingstop remains a cash-generating machine that is right in the middle of its growth story. Now trading at 39 times cash from operations -- well below its 10-year average of 62 -- Wingstop remains one of my favorite growth stocks right now.

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Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Wingstop. The Motley Fool recommends Wingstop. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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