Japanese Yen strengthens in reaction to upward revision of Japan’s Q1 GDP print

FXStreet
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  • The Japanese Yen attracts fresh buyers on Monday and snaps a two-day losing streak.

  • An upward revision of Japan’s Q1 GDP reaffirms BoJ rate hike bets and boosts the JPY.

  • The emergence of some USD selling exerts additional downward pressure on USD/JPY.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) edges higher at the start of a new week in reaction to an upward revision of Japan's Q1 GDP print. This comes on top of signs of broadening inflation in Japan and reaffirmed bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates, which, in turn, provides a modest lift to the JPY. Adding to this,  a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick exerts some downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session.

The JPY, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak against its American counterpart, though traders might refrain from placing aggressive directional bets ahead of the key US-China trade talks in London. Moreover, stronger-than-expected US jobs data released on Friday dampened hopes for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year, which could act as a tailwind for the USD and limit losses for the USD/JPY pair.

Japanese Yen bulls to regain control on the back of better-than-expected Japan’s Q1 GDP print

Japan’s Cabinet Office reported earlier this Monday that the economy registered no growth during the first quarter of 2025, against the 0.2% contraction initially estimated. The revised data further revealed that Japan’s economy contracted at a slower pace, by 0.2% annualized during the reported month, compared to the 0.7% contraction initially reported.

Additional details showed that private consumption, which accounts for more than half of the Japanese economy, inched up by 0.1% during the January-March period versus a flat preliminary reading. This gives the Bank of Japan headroom to hike interest rates further this year and provides a modest lift to the Japanese Yen at the start of a new week.

The US Dollar, on the other hand, struggles to capitalize on Friday's move higher, led by the better-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial US employment data showed that the economy added 139K new jobs in May, lower than the previous month's downwardly revised print of 147K, though it was better than the 130K forecasted.

Other details of the report showed that the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.2%, as anticipated. Adding to this,  Average Hourly Earnings remained unchanged at 3.9%, surpassing consensus estimates of 3.7%. This reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would hold interest rates steady at its upcoming meeting and boosted the USD.

Top US and Chinese officials will meet in London on Monday for negotiations aimed at defusing the high-stakes trade dispute between the world's two largest economies. US President Donald Trump said last week that a call with Chinese leader Xi Jinping was focused almost entirely on trade and resulted in a very positive conclusion.

On the geopolitical front, Russian forces launched massive attacks on Ukraine's second-largest city of Kharkiv with drones, missiles, and guided bombs. Moreover, Russia claimed that a tank division has reached the western border of Donetsk and is continuing its advance, signaling a serious escalation in the conflict amid stalled peace talks.

USD/JPY could attract dip-buyers near trading range hurdle breakpoint, around the 144.00 mark

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

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