SpaceX's Super Intelligence (AI) segment is driving explosive growth, and Starlink's strong performance is, too.
The stock has upside if SpaceX hits Q1 2027 guidance and continues to grow at that pace.
But there are risks, including a political landscape that recently became trickier to navigate.
Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), or SpaceX for short, pulled off a historic $1.77 trillion initial public offering just months ago. There have been some ups and downs early on, but today shares trade at $134, almost a bullseye on its $135 IPO price.
The company recently posted impressive growth with its Q3 2026 earnings. As a result, I predict that SpaceX stock could run 65% from here, closing 2027 at around $250 per share.
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
A word of caution: the artificial intelligence landscape is changing quickly, and some storm clouds could be on the horizon.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
For all the attention SpaceX receives for launching rockets into space, the company operates three distinct business segments. Beyond the Space segment, investors will also find the Connectivity business, which holds Starlink, as well as the Super Intelligence (AI) segment, which houses xAI and Cursor.
The Super Intelligence segment exploded, posting $7.56 billion in revenue, up from just $813 million a year ago. Not to be overlooked, Connectivity remains a winner, with revenue growing 69% to $5.25 billion and subscribers reaching 13.6 million, up 89% from the prior year.
SpaceX is selling compute to other AI hyperscalers, and business is booming. Management guided for Q1 2027 revenue of $33 billion to $37 billion, implying the size of the business as a whole could more than double over the next six months.
SpaceX's fundamentals are changing quickly, making it that much more challenging for investors to gauge how attractive the stock is today. Suppose SpaceX hits the high end of its Q1 2027 guidance. Annualize that, and you get to roughly $150 billion in 2027 revenue.
At 20 times this hypothetical 2027 revenue, shares would trade at that $250 target. SpaceX's market cap would come in around $3.4 trillion. In other words, it would be one of the world's most valuable companies. It's worth noting that no other company, save Nvidia, is growing so quickly at such a large size.
There's also suddenly some political risk here, too. CEO Elon Musk has been a close ally of President Donald Trump for most of the past few years. Naturally, Musk has a target on his back as the world's wealthiest individual. Democrats reclaimed control of the U.S. House and Senate following the recent midterm elections.
Voters came out in force against various data center proposals, and some politicians have already made it clear they intend to scrutinize AI companies more closely. This could become a big challenge for SpaceX, which is now counting on its AI computing business to achieve the blistering growth it's guiding for.
Despite all this, Wall Street analysts remain bullish on SpaceX. There are 47 analyst ratings on CNN Business, with a median 12-month price target of $245 -- right around my prediction. But don't forget that things can change quickly.
Owning SpaceX is essentially a vote of confidence in Musk's ability to lead the company through this increasingly complex AI revolution while simultaneously delivering on lofty growth goals. There might not be a riskier stock at its market cap, but the upside is there if SpaceX delivers.
Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $341,966!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,146,819!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 852% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 203% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of November 10, 2026.
Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia and Space Exploration Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.