I've Covered Many IPOs for The Motley Fool. Here's What Most Investors Get Wrong.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • High-profile IPO stocks are often expensive at first, which can set the stage for a fall.

  • Stocks often become more attractively priced after their lockup periods expire.

  • You don't have to buy a stock right at IPO to experience life-changing gains.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Space Exploration Technologies ›

Investors love initial public offerings (IPO). An IPO is when a private company goes public for the first time, and, in theory, it is the best time to buy shares. However, that's not always the case. In fact, in many cases, it's best to avoid IPO stocks. Here's what most investors get wrong.

What happens at IPO

An IPO is the first time that any outside investor can buy shares of a company's stock on an open market. Before an IPO, investors usually provide private seed money. These days, there are funds that offer access to private equity, providing retail investors with an early channel to invest in companies before they go public. But in general, an IPO is the first chance to invest in a company.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Person cheering in a stock exchange with stock charts.

Image source: Getty Images.

However, even the IPO is largely unavailable to individual investors. Most IPO stocks go straight to institutional investors, and they receive their shares before the first day of trading. Once they start trading on a public exchange like the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or the Nasdaq, they're available to anyone with a trading account.

Recently, many high-profile stocks have set aside some IPO shares for retail investors. Trading platforms like Robinhood Markets and SoFi Technologies offer IPO access to members who request shares, but they don't always get them. Elon Musk, for example, set aside 20% of Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) IPO shares for retail investors, according to reports, but the IPO was reportedly oversubscribed by four or five times the shares being sold, and not all requests were granted.

When is the right time to buy?

The problem with many IPOs is that they get hyped up to unreasonable prices. SpaceX, for example, was initially priced at $130 for the IPO, and by the time the markets opened on the first day of trading, it was already touching $150 per share. That was around 100 times trailing 12-month sales, which is an astronomical valuation. (The company isn't profitable so there isn't a price-to-earnings ratio.) However, investors were still rushing to get shares, and the stock shot higher out of the gate before falling a few days later. It now sits at about $148, or slightly below its first-day trading price, but it was well below the IPO price for a while, too.

The IPO, or even the first day of trading, isn't always the right time to buy. In lower-profile IPOs, if you've studied the business and believe it's a good long-term investment, your stock has time to grow before the market catches on. But in high-profile IPOs, enthusiastic investors can sometimes bid up a stock to unreasonable highs out of excitement, setting it up for a fall. It's usually prudent to wait out that cycle before investing in a great IPO stock.

There's another reason it could make more sense to wait. IPOs have a lockup period when insiders and early investors can't sell their shares on the open market. Employees of a private company may have stock options that become valuable when the company goes public, and they are often priced well below the IPO price. To prevent a flood of new shares into the open market that could distort the stock's price, insiders typically are restricted from selling right away. Usually, the lockup period is 180 days, by which time the stock is expected to settle into a reasonable market price. The stock price often does fall after the lockup period expires, which could be a more auspicious time to buy.

You don't need to buy right away to maximize your gains

As with the SpaceX IPO, you might be able to get your hands on a stock for even less than the IPO price if you wait for a better entry point. But you don't need to get in right away to be successful. IPO stocks are often risky, and it could make more sense to wait until it's on a more solid footing before deciding it's worth your money. Over time, a great stock will provide value for shareholders who hold for long periods, and it doesn't matter if they got in right away.

Here are some examples of total returns when a stock was bought after it was already public for a year, and I didn't only choose the obvious examples:

  • Amazon: IPO on May 15, 1997. Gain today from one year later: 69,120%
  • Nvidia: IPO Jan. 22, 1999. Gain today from one year later: 613,000%.
  • Visa: IPO March 19, 2008. Gain today from one year later: 3,130%.
  • Starbucks: IPO June 26, 1992. Gain today from one year later: 18,710%.

These are just a few examples to make the point, but I would also note that if you spot a great stock, you can buy it and enjoy gains at any time.

Should you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies right now?

Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $421,997!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,413,876!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 978% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 8, 2026.

Jennifer Saibil has positions in SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Nvidia, Starbucks, and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,350 as US Dollar, Treasury yields slipGold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 03, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
placeholder
Gold rebounds past $4,400 as rate-hike odds cool ahead of NFPGold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 03, Thu
Gold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,450 as Waller tempers Fed rate hike bets ahead US jobs dataGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Sep 04, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 42
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
goTop
quote