Where Will the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) Be in 20 Years? Here's What History Suggests.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Over the past 100 years, the S&P 500 has generated an average annual return of roughly 10%.

  • If the index can achieve that over the next 20 years, investors would see their money grow by nearly six times.

  • The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) is one of the cheapest and best ways to invest in the index.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ›

Over the past 100 years, a simple buy-and-hold investment in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) would have been one of the best ways to make money. During that time, the index averaged a roughly 10% annual return.

At that return, a $100 investment in the S&P 500 100 years ago would have turned into nearly $1.4 million.

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While returns can vary widely on a short-term basis, it's still reasonable to think that a 10% average annual return for index funds such as the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) is possible over the next 20 years.

Kids screaming in delight while holding handfuls of money.

Source: Getty Images.

If that were to happen without any additional contributions at all, a $10,000 investment would grow to roughly $67,275 or a total return of more than 570%.

The argument is pretty simple: for decades, the U.S. economy has been one of the world's greatest growth engines. It continues to innovate and expand. New companies emerge to replace those that don't evolve fast enough. It's been the constant catalyst that's kept the global economy moving for decades.

And investors have been prime beneficiaries. An investment in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF hasn't required anybody to pick winners or even constantly manage their portfolios. The index evolves on its own because more successful companies grow larger and ultimately receive greater weightings in this market-cap-weighted index.

While future returns are by no means guaranteed, investing in the S&P 500 remains one of the best ways to create long-term wealth.

Should you buy stock in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $440,710!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,335,252!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 978% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of August 30, 2026.

David Dierking has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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