Lululemon’s valuation has compressed to levels investors rarely see.
The company’s underlying strengths remain intact.
The value case hinges on execution, not optimism.
Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) spent most of the past decade trading like a premium growth stock. Investors rewarded the company for its strong brand, expanding international footprint, and industry-leading margins. It wasn't unusual for the stock to command a valuation north of 35 to 40 times earnings, as the market believed Lululemon could compound revenue and profits for years.
Today, that narrative looks very different. After several quarters of softer U.S. demand, inconsistent product execution, and rising margin pressure from tariffs, the stock has fallen sharply from its highs. With the valuation now sitting well below historical norms, a new question has emerged: Is Lululemon quietly becoming a value stock?
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Let's break down what has changed and what matters most for long-term investors.
Image source: Getty Images.
Lululemon's stock is undergoing the kind of significant valuation compression unseen in years. It now trades at a valuation far below its five-year average, reflecting the market's concerns about slowing North American demand and rising costs. As of the time of writing, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.4 times.
This reset doesn't automatically make Lululemon a value stock, but it creates a setup investors haven't seen in years. When a historically premium business trades at a discount, investors must determine whether the lower valuation reflects temporary issues or a permanent shift in fundamentals.
The key is that valuation only unlocks opportunity when the underlying business remains intact. That brings us to the next factor.
The U.S. slowdown is real, but the long-term outlook remains resilient. For instance, Lululemon maintains gross margins that rank among the highest in the apparel industry. As of the quarter ended Aug. 3, 2025, the gross margin was 58.5%. Even with tariff headwinds, the company continues to operate with superior margins.
Besides, the balance sheet remains clean and cash-generative. Lululemon built its model around direct-to-consumer distribution, tight inventory discipline, and premium pricing -- structural strengths that do not disappear overnight, even though the business is currently going through some challenges to regain its peak performance.
Meanwhile, international markets continue to grow at a strong pace. China and Europe have delivered double-digit growth in recent quarters, and the company is still in the early stages of its long-term expansion plan outside North America. That global runway gives Lululemon multiple growth levers that remain intact even as the U.S. business resets.
This combination of high margins, international growth, and financial stability suggests the business hasn't fundamentally broken. Instead, it shows a strong company navigating a slowdown -- something even great brands experience occasionally.
Part of the valuation reset stems from concerns about brand cooling in the U.S. Analysts have pointed out issues with inconsistent design choices and product cycles that were too lengthy. Competition from rivals has also intensified.
These concerns have merit, but they also risk overstating the near-term slowdown as something more permanent. Lululemon continues to demonstrate high customer loyalty, a strong social media presence, and a differentiated position in the performance apparel market. The company has already acknowledged its product missteps and outlined a plan to address them.
This kind of volatility is not new to the apparel industry, as leading companies like Nike and Adidas have also experienced similar tough periods. Recovery takes management's willingness to acknowledge the issues and tackle them head on, and that's what Lululemon is doing now. If the company executes well on its reset, U.S. demand could stabilize faster than the current sentiment suggests.
By then, there may be another reset in sentiment, albeit toward the upside.
Lululemon doesn't fit the traditional definition of a value stock.
It remains a premium global brand, carries high margins, and operates with a long growth runway. Just that the stock now trades at a valuation that no longer assumes flawless execution, uninterrupted growth, or endless pricing power.
That shift creates a compelling setup for patient investors. If management establishes a strong product discipline, stabilizes U.S. demand, and effectively manages margin pressure, the stock could rerate higher as confidence returns. But if it fails to execute, the current valuation could persist.
In other words, there is a window of opportunity for those who have conviction that Lululemon can execute and return to its historical trajectory to buy at a multi-year low valuation.
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Lawrence Nga has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Nike. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.