Fed’s Kashkari: Can’t allow inflation expectations to get unanchored
Source Fxstreet
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari warned that US tariffs act as a drag on economic growth and emphasised the central bank’s responsibility to prevent those trade measures from fuelling longer-term inflation.
Key Quotes
- Independent monetary policy leads to better economic outcomes, is foundational.
- Notes that his own change from dove to hawk to current moderate came from analysis of data.
- Fed policymakers are making best call they can, based on data. That's what independence means.
- Tariffs are somewhat inflationary.
- Tariffs also slow growth.
- Fed's one tool is in tension.
- Too soon to judge path of interest rates.
- Logical that tariff leads to one-time increase in prices, but backdrop of high inflation runs risk of unanchoring inflation expectations.
- Can't allow inflation expectations to get unanchored.
- So far long-run inflation expectations have not moved much. Fed's job to make sure they don't.
- Fed's job is to make sure tariffs don't lead to longer-term inflation.
- To no longer have a trade deficit, investors would have to conclude US is no longer best place to invest.
- Still early to tell if that's happening.
- Bond yield up and dollar down indicates some reassessment of where global investors want to invest.
- All of this can change quickly, with resolution of trade uncertainty.
- Haven't seen this level of anxiety since COVID hit.
- Interest rate level in US is largely influenced by capital flows.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC slips below $64,000 as hawkish Fed stance weighs on risk appetiteBitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Thursday. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged but struck a hawkish tone on Wednesday, dampening the risk sentiment.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Thursday. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged but struck a hawkish tone on Wednesday, dampening the risk sentiment.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – steadies during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's downfall amid mixed messaging from the US and Iran.
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds to around $4,120 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal edges higher as traders weigh a resumption of war in the Middle East.
