Fed’s Kashkari: Can’t allow inflation expectations to get unanchored
Source Fxstreet
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari warned that US tariffs act as a drag on economic growth and emphasised the central bank’s responsibility to prevent those trade measures from fuelling longer-term inflation.
Key Quotes
- Independent monetary policy leads to better economic outcomes, is foundational.
- Notes that his own change from dove to hawk to current moderate came from analysis of data.
- Fed policymakers are making best call they can, based on data. That's what independence means.
- Tariffs are somewhat inflationary.
- Tariffs also slow growth.
- Fed's one tool is in tension.
- Too soon to judge path of interest rates.
- Logical that tariff leads to one-time increase in prices, but backdrop of high inflation runs risk of unanchoring inflation expectations.
- Can't allow inflation expectations to get unanchored.
- So far long-run inflation expectations have not moved much. Fed's job to make sure they don't.
- Fed's job is to make sure tariffs don't lead to longer-term inflation.
- To no longer have a trade deficit, investors would have to conclude US is no longer best place to invest.
- Still early to tell if that's happening.
- Bond yield up and dollar down indicates some reassessment of where global investors want to invest.
- All of this can change quickly, with resolution of trade uncertainty.
- Haven't seen this level of anxiety since COVID hit.
- Interest rate level in US is largely influenced by capital flows.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
Nvidia slid 7.7% after hours while AMD and Broadcom rose — the AI trade changed hands, it didn't breakNvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
Nvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
US October PPI Preview: Fed Rate Hike Expectations Rise, PPI May Be Key Variable; How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold Move?On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
Gold hit a one-year low while central banks bought 321 tonnes — the sellers were never the ones you thinkSpot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
Spot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
Brent rose 3.3% and US crude stocks built 4.66 million barrels in the same weekBrent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
Brent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
