Fed Chair Powell to likely sound more cautious than usual – TD Securities

Source Fxstreet
Apr 29, 2024 14:28

Analysts at TD Securities share a brief preview of this week's key macroeconomic events from the US.

Looking for payrolls to lose momentum

The FOMC meeting will grab the headlines this week amid a very busy data calendar for the US. Chair Powell will likely sound more cautious than usual, with a hawkish bent, regarding the policy outlook. "Higher for longer" will likely remain the name of the game for now. We also expect the Fed to announce a preliminary plan to taper QT starting in June.

We also look for payrolls to lose momentum at the start of the second quarter following Q1's notable showing, while ECI growth likely picked up modestly. The QRA, the March JOLTS report and the ISM surveys for April will also garner attention this week.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Powell speech: Confidence in inflation moving back down is lower than it wasFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at a moderated discussion with De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) President Klaas Knot at the Foreign Bankers' Association's Annual General Meeting in Amsterdam.
Source  Fxstreet
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at a moderated discussion with De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) President Klaas Knot at the Foreign Bankers' Association's Annual General Meeting in Amsterdam.
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NY Fed Perli: Fed has tools to deal with unexpected money market stressManager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) at the New York Federal Reserve (Fed) Roberto Perli noted during prepared remarks on Wednesday that the Fed's recent announcement to slow the pace of Fed balance sheet run-off should reduce prospects for market stress.
Source  Fxstreet
Manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) at the New York Federal Reserve (Fed) Roberto Perli noted during prepared remarks on Wednesday that the Fed's recent announcement to slow the pace of Fed balance sheet run-off should reduce prospects for market stress.
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US weekly Initial Jobless Claims steady at 208K vs. 212K expectedThere were 208,000 initial jobless claims in the week ending April 27, the weekly data published by the US Department of Labor (DOL) showed on Thursday.
Source  Fxstreet
There were 208,000 initial jobless claims in the week ending April 27, the weekly data published by the US Department of Labor (DOL) showed on Thursday.
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