Fed’s dovish pivot to set the tone for the Dollar to weaken into year-end – UBS
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar has regained ground in recent weeks after depreciating in late 2023. Economists at UBS analyze the FX market outlook.
Most G10 currency pairings are likely to remain range-bound in the months ahead
Most G10 currency pairings are now back in familiar ranges (e.g., EUR/USD between 1.0500 and 1.1000), where we expect them to remain in the coming months.
Better relative growth in the US than in Europe and a partial reversal of US rate cut expectations should support the Greenback in the near term. However, the Fed’s dovish pivot is likely to limit the extent of any rallies and sets the tone for the Dollar to weaken into year-end.
Our most preferred currency is the Australian Dollar. We also see opportunities for investors to sell near-term upside risks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD, or downside risks in USD/CHF, GBP/CHF, and USD/JPY in exchange for yield pickup.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP Look for a Foothold After a Sharp ShakeoutBitcoin trades near $92,600 after a dip below $90,000, while Ethereum around $3,118 and XRP near $2.21–$2.23 sit on key support zones, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn a sharp correction into a tradable rebound rather than a deeper slide.
Bitcoin trades near $92,600 after a dip below $90,000, while Ethereum around $3,118 and XRP near $2.21–$2.23 sit on key support zones, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn a sharp correction into a tradable rebound rather than a deeper slide.
Bitcoin's volatility is surging, suggesting a shift back to options-driven price action seen before Bitcoin ETFs were launched.
2025 Black Friday is coming! Which stocks may see volatility?Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends.
The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent.
Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday.
The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends.
The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent.
Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday.
The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to near $4,150 as Fed rate cut bets growGold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers to around $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal rises on growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in the December policy meeting.
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers to around $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal rises on growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in the December policy meeting.
Bitcoin Bleeds to $86K, But This Key Indicator Screams "The Top Isn't In"Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
