Analysis of Solana in 2025: Key Events, Trends, and Forecasts
Source Cryptopolitan
In 2025, Solana (SOL) experienced significant volatility, starting the year on a high note and reaching an all-time high (ATH) of approximately $294–$295 in January. This peak was fueled by post-election optimism in the crypto market and renewed institutional interest. However, the year saw a sharp correction, with SOL dropping over 55% during Q4 amid broader market pressures, including macroeconomic uncertainties and reduced liquidity. By mid-December 2025, SOL traded around $130–$135, reflecting a bearish short-term sentiment but strong underlying fundamentals.
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Daily active addresses averaged 3–6 million, with peaks exceeding 7 million, highlighting sustained user engagement despite price dips. DeFi activity remained robust, with Total Value Locked (TVL) surpassing $4.5–$13 billion at points, driven by high-throughput applications.
Major Events Impacting Price
Several pivotal events shaped SOL’s trajectory:
- January ATH Surge. SOL hit $294 amid crypto-friendly policy expectations following the U.S. election outcomes, boosting overall market sentiment.
- Network Upgrades. Key advancements included the rollout of Firedancer (a new validator client for improved reliability and performance) and progress on Alpenglow consensus upgrade, reducing finality to ~150ms and enhancing scalability. These mitigated past outage concerns and attracted high-frequency trading firms.
- Breakpoint 2025 Conference. Held in Abu Dhabi (or alternative locations per reports), it featured announcements on tokenization, stablecoins (e.g., Circle minting $500M USDC on Solana), and real-world assets (RWAs), reinforcing institutional adoption.
- Q4 Correction. A 55% drawdown from the ATH was influenced by global risk-off sentiment, though fundamentals like revenue and activity diverged positively from price action.
Meme coin frenzy and DeFi volumes also played roles, with spikes in activity from tokens like BONK and new launches driving temporary pumps followed by corrections.
Trends and Developments
Solana solidified its position as a high-performance Layer-1 in 2025:
- DeFi and Meme Coin Dominance. Solana led in DEX volumes and meme coin launches, with vibrant ecosystems in NFTs, gaming, and RWAs. TVL growth and developer activity outpaced competitors.
- Institutional Momentum. Partnerships, stablecoin integrations, and potential ETF speculation increased inflows, positioning Solana for tokenized securities and payments.
- Technical Resilience. Upgrades like Firedancer and Alpenglow addressed scalability and reliability, enabling 65,000+ TPS and sub-150ms latency.
Despite challenges like regulatory uncertainty, Solana’s low fees and speed continued attracting builders, with events like Accelerate and community conferences fostering growth.
Forecast for 2026
Looking to 2026, experts are predominantly bullish on SOL, citing continued upgrades, ecosystem expansion, and potential bull market recovery. Predictions vary:
- CoinCodex and similar platforms forecast $140–$150 early in 2026, with upside to $200+ if adoption accelerates.
- More optimistic views (e.g., InvestingHaven, CryptoNews) see averages around $300–$400, with highs up to $644 in bullish scenarios.
- Analysts like Miles Deutscher and panels from Changelly emphasize $300–$500 potential, driven by DeFi dominance and institutional capital.
Risks include macro downturns or delays in upgrades, but Solana’s flywheel of activity and innovation positions it for strong recovery and growth in 2026.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Bitcoin Slides 5% as Sellers Lean In — Can BTC Reclaim $88,000?Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average.
The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000.
Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.”
Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal.
Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000（h3）
BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500.
The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet.
Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot:
It’s trading below $88,000, and
It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward.
Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area（h3）
If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession.
First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim.
A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle.
If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased.
If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear（h3）
The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower.
Support levels line up like this:
Immediate support: $85,500
First major support: $85,000
Next support: $83,500
Then $82,500 in the near term
Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking.
Indicators: momentum still leans bearish（h3）
The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet:
Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes.
So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average.
The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000.
Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.”
Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal.
Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000（h3）
BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500.
The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet.
Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot:
It’s trading below $88,000, and
It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward.
Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area（h3）
If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession.
First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim.
A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle.
If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased.
If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear（h3）
The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower.
Support levels line up like this:
Immediate support: $85,500
First major support: $85,000
Next support: $83,500
Then $82,500 in the near term
Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking.
Indicators: momentum still leans bearish（h3）
The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet:
Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes.
So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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