EUR/JPY retreats below 163.00 following upbeat Tokyo CPI data

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY declines as the Japanese Yen gains strength following the release of Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday.
  • Tokyo’s core CPI increased by 2.4% year-on-year in March, staying above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target.
  • The Euro (EUR) weakens as trade tensions rise between the United States and the Eurozone.

EUR/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 162.70 during the Asian hours. The currency cross depreciates as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens following the release of Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday.

Tokyo’s core CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, up from 2.2% in February, aligning with market expectations. This marks the fifth consecutive month that core inflation has remained above the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target, reinforcing speculation that the central bank will continue normalizing its monetary policy.

The headline Tokyo CPI for March increased 2.9% YoY, unchanged from the previous month, according to Japan’s Statistics Bureau. Meanwhile, Tokyo CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, rose to 1.1% in March from 0.8% in February (revised from 2.2%).

The BoJ, in its March meeting summary, reaffirmed its commitment to raising policy interest rates and adjusting monetary accommodation if economic and price conditions warrant. The central bank emphasized a flexible, data-driven approach, taking into account evolving economic trends, inflationary pressures, and associated risks.

The EUR/JPY cross also faces pressure as the Euro (EUR) weakens against its peers amid escalating trade tensions between the United States (US) and the Eurozone. Concerns over a potential trade war have intensified as the European Union (EU) prepares retaliatory tariffs in response to the 25% auto tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, set to take effect on April 2.

Germany is expected to be significantly impacted, as 13% of its total auto exports are sent to the US. This development could weigh on the Euro’s outlook. On Wednesday, Trump signed a proclamation enforcing the tariffs and warned of stricter measures against the EU and Canada if they retaliate.

Economic Indicator

Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)

The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on a monthly basis, measures the price fluctuation of goods and services purchased by households in the Tokyo region excluding fresh food, whose prices often fluctuate depending on the weather. The index is widely considered as a leading indicator of Japan’s overall CPI as it is published weeks before the nationwide reading. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Japanese Yen (JPY), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Mar 27, 2025 23:30

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 2.4%

Consensus: 2.2%

Previous: 2.2%

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
U.S. August CPI Preview: Persistent Rise in Inflation, What Impact on Rate Cuts? And on US Stocks?On Thursday, the U.S. will publish August CPI data. Consensus forecasts indicate a 0.3% month-over-month increase for both headline CPI and core CPI.
Author  TradingKey
Sep 09, Tue
On Thursday, the U.S. will publish August CPI data. Consensus forecasts indicate a 0.3% month-over-month increase for both headline CPI and core CPI.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD gains momentum to near $3,650, eyes on US CPI releaseThe Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to near $3,645 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
The Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to near $3,645 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
placeholder
US CPI data set to point to sticky inflation as tariff pressures persistThe United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August on Thursday at 12:30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August on Thursday at 12:30 GMT.
placeholder
Forex Today: ECB rate decision, US inflation data to drive market actionMajor currency pairs trade in narrow ranges early Thursday as investors move to the sidelines ahead of key events.
Author  FXStreet
5 hours ago
Major currency pairs trade in narrow ranges early Thursday as investors move to the sidelines ahead of key events.
placeholder
Charlie Kirk’s Death Becomes a Crypto Flashpoint With ‘Justice’ TokensThe launch of new tokens following headline-making events is not new in the crypto market.
Author  Beincrypto
3 hours ago
The launch of new tokens following headline-making events is not new in the crypto market.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote