AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day support below 96.50 ahead of RBA policy decision

Source Fxstreet
  • AUD/JPY tests the immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 96.34.
  • The 14-day RSI remains just below the 50 mark, reinforcing the prevailing bearish momentum.
  • The primary barrier appears around the descending channel’s upper boundary at the 97.00 level.

AUD/JPY remains attempts to recover its recent losses registered in the previous session, hovering around 96.40 during Tuesday’s Asian hours. Traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy decision later in the day. The central bank is widely expected to lower its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10%, marking the first rate cut in four years.

A review of the daily chart shows the currency cross trading sideways within a descending channel pattern, indicating a prevailing bearish bias. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains slightly below the 50 level, reinforcing bearish momentum.

However, the AUD/JPY cross continues to trade around the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is neutral. Further movement will offer a clear understanding of the directional price movement.

The immediate support level for the AUD/JPY cross is at the nine-day EMA of 96.34. A decisive break below this level could lead the currency cross to navigate the region around the five-month low of 94.37, recorded on February 10. Further support appears at the six-month low of 93.59, recorded on September 11, followed by the lower boundary of the descending channel around 93.50.

On the upside, the AUD/JPY cross could approach the upper boundary of the descending channel at the psychological level of 97.00, followed by the 50-day EMA at 97.18. A break above this critical resistance zone could cause the emergence of the bullish bias and support the currency cross to test the six-week high at 98.77 level, which was recorded on January 24.

AUD/JPY: Daily Chart

Australian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.15% 0.17% 0.26% 0.07% 0.24% 0.47% 0.09%
EUR -0.15%   0.02% 0.11% -0.08% 0.10% 0.32% -0.06%
GBP -0.17% -0.02%   0.10% -0.10% 0.08% 0.30% -0.08%
JPY -0.26% -0.11% -0.10%   -0.19% -0.02% 0.19% -0.18%
CAD -0.07% 0.08% 0.10% 0.19%   0.17% 0.40% 0.02%
AUD -0.24% -0.10% -0.08% 0.02% -0.17%   0.22% -0.16%
NZD -0.47% -0.32% -0.30% -0.19% -0.40% -0.22%   -0.37%
CHF -0.09% 0.06% 0.08% 0.18% -0.02% 0.16% 0.37%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
On the Eve of Nonfarm Payrolls, How Will Employment Data Affect Stock Market Trends and Rate Cut Expectations?TradingKey - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February non-farm payroll (NFP) data at 8:30 AM ET on March 6. This release comes as the market is oscillating between Middle East geo
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
TradingKey - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February non-farm payroll (NFP) data at 8:30 AM ET on March 6. This release comes as the market is oscillating between Middle East geo
placeholder
Gold slumps below $5,100 as US Dollar gainsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $5,085 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground amid a stronger US Dollar (USD). The US employment report for February will take center stage later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $5,085 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground amid a stronger US Dollar (USD). The US employment report for February will take center stage later on Friday. 
placeholder
How to Survive Bitcoin Winter? Will It Still Fall Below $60,000 in 2026?Recently, after meeting with the CEO of Coinbase, Donald Trump pressured Congress to push for the CLARITY Act. Driven by this news, Bitcoin (BTC) prices once surged past $73,000, successf
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 09: 55
Recently, after meeting with the CEO of Coinbase, Donald Trump pressured Congress to push for the CLARITY Act. Driven by this news, Bitcoin (BTC) prices once surged past $73,000, successf
placeholder
US Dollar Index gathers strength to near 99.00 on Middle East tensions, robust US services data The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.00 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The DXY edges higher amid uncertainty and persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 21
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.00 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The DXY edges higher amid uncertainty and persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
placeholder
Gold rises as safe-haven demand increases on Iran warGold price (XAU/USD) extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 06: 24
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote