AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day support below 96.50 ahead of RBA policy decision

Source Fxstreet
  • AUD/JPY tests the immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 96.34.
  • The 14-day RSI remains just below the 50 mark, reinforcing the prevailing bearish momentum.
  • The primary barrier appears around the descending channel’s upper boundary at the 97.00 level.

AUD/JPY remains attempts to recover its recent losses registered in the previous session, hovering around 96.40 during Tuesday’s Asian hours. Traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy decision later in the day. The central bank is widely expected to lower its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10%, marking the first rate cut in four years.

A review of the daily chart shows the currency cross trading sideways within a descending channel pattern, indicating a prevailing bearish bias. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains slightly below the 50 level, reinforcing bearish momentum.

However, the AUD/JPY cross continues to trade around the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is neutral. Further movement will offer a clear understanding of the directional price movement.

The immediate support level for the AUD/JPY cross is at the nine-day EMA of 96.34. A decisive break below this level could lead the currency cross to navigate the region around the five-month low of 94.37, recorded on February 10. Further support appears at the six-month low of 93.59, recorded on September 11, followed by the lower boundary of the descending channel around 93.50.

On the upside, the AUD/JPY cross could approach the upper boundary of the descending channel at the psychological level of 97.00, followed by the 50-day EMA at 97.18. A break above this critical resistance zone could cause the emergence of the bullish bias and support the currency cross to test the six-week high at 98.77 level, which was recorded on January 24.

AUD/JPY: Daily Chart

Australian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.15% 0.17% 0.26% 0.07% 0.24% 0.47% 0.09%
EUR -0.15%   0.02% 0.11% -0.08% 0.10% 0.32% -0.06%
GBP -0.17% -0.02%   0.10% -0.10% 0.08% 0.30% -0.08%
JPY -0.26% -0.11% -0.10%   -0.19% -0.02% 0.19% -0.18%
CAD -0.07% 0.08% 0.10% 0.19%   0.17% 0.40% 0.02%
AUD -0.24% -0.10% -0.08% 0.02% -0.17%   0.22% -0.16%
NZD -0.47% -0.32% -0.30% -0.19% -0.40% -0.22%   -0.37%
CHF -0.09% 0.06% 0.08% 0.18% -0.02% 0.16% 0.37%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US September Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Job Growth May Cool, How Will US Stocks, Dollar and Gold React?On Friday, October 2 (EDT), the U.S. will release its September nonfarm payrolls report, with markets focusing on whether job growth can sustain August's rebound and whether the data will
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
On Friday, October 2 (EDT), the U.S. will release its September nonfarm payrolls report, with markets focusing on whether job growth can sustain August's rebound and whether the data will
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: US August PCE Imminent, Will Gold Prices Rise or Fall Short-Term?As of the European session on September 30, gold prices (XAUUSD) continued to recover after a sharp drop earlier this week, reclaiming $4,200 intraday, with the latest price trading near
Author  TradingKey
Sep 30, Wed
As of the European session on September 30, gold prices (XAUUSD) continued to recover after a sharp drop earlier this week, reclaiming $4,200 intraday, with the latest price trading near
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】The dollar ground higher for six days — and the AUD fell 2% in the very week the RBA hiked to a 15-year highThe dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 30, Wed
The dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote