NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pair plunges to 0.5830 after rejection at 20-day SMA

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD drops sharply on Friday, settling around 0.5830.
  • Pair faces strong resistance at the 20-day SMA, which remains unbroken.
  • Indicators show weakening buying traction, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

The NZD/USD pair extended its decline on Friday, plunging to 0.5830 after failing to break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This key technical level continues to act as a formidable resistance, preventing a bullish recovery and leaving the pair under significant selling pressure.

Technical indicators reflect the loss of bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a falling trajectory, staying in negative territory, signaling weakening buying traction. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a shrinking histogram with fading green bars, indicating a slowdown in bullish momentum and reinforcing the bearish sentiment.

For now, the outlook remains decidedly bearish, with the 20-day SMA serving as a critical barrier for any upside attempts. Should the selling pressure persist, the pair may target further declines towards the 0.5800 psychological level. On the upside, a decisive break above the 20-day SMA, currently near 0.5880, is necessary to shift momentum in favor of the bulls.

NZD/USD daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
placeholder
Brent swings $105.63 to $102.33 as Gulf risk meets an 'energy ceasefire' — can $100 hold into CPI?Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
placeholder
Bank earnings kick off tomorrow with the S&P 500 seven points from a record — what JPMorgan, Goldman, Citi and Wells Fargo must proveQ3 earnings season starts Tuesday with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting before the open — with the S&P 500 just 7 points from its record close, bank stocks down 7.5% over the past month, and September CPI landing the next day. Here are the numbers to watch, the two-sided setup and the levels that matter.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
Q3 earnings season starts Tuesday with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting before the open — with the S&P 500 just 7 points from its record close, bank stocks down 7.5% over the past month, and September CPI landing the next day. Here are the numbers to watch, the two-sided setup and the levels that matter.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote