NZD/USD falls to near 0.6100 as RBNZ expects to keep rates unchanged

Source Fxstreet
May 21, 2024 06:12
  • NZD/USD depreciates due to the hawkish remarks from Fed officials regarding maintaining higher rates for longer.
  • RBNZ is expected to maintain its Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, marking the seventh consecutive meeting without changes.
  • Fed maintains a cautious stance regarding inflation and the possibility of rate cuts in 2024.

NZD/USD extended losses to near 0.6100 during Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Investors are awaiting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) policy meeting scheduled for Wednesday. It's widely anticipated that the RBNZ will maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.5%, marking the seventh consecutive meeting without changes. Policymakers are expected to emphasize the necessity of maintaining a restrictive policy stance for an extended period to steer inflation back within the 1-3% target range.

Recent data showed a decline in the country’s 2-year inflation expectations to their lowest point in nearly three years during the second quarter. This has fueled speculation that the RBNZ might contemplate rate cuts later in 2024.

Support for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could arise from China's announcement of a comprehensive package to bolster its struggling property market. China's finance ministry plans to start raising 1 trillion Yuan in issuing 20 to 50 years bonds for larger stimulus measures. Measures include the relaxation of mortgage regulations and encouragement for local governments to purchase unsold homes. This development may boost sentiment in Kiwi markets, given the close trade ties between New Zealand and China.

The US Dollar (USD) remains stable as there are no major economic data releases from the United States (US). The Greenback receives support from higher US Treasury yields. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a cautious stance regarding inflation and the possibility of rate cuts in 2024.

Based on the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve implementing a 25 basis-point rate cut in September has seen a slight uptick to 49.6%, compared to 48.6% a week ago.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.61
Today Daily Change -0.0006
Today Daily Change % -0.10
Today daily open 0.6106
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6007
Daily SMA50 0.6006
Daily SMA100 0.6075
Daily SMA200 0.604
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6139
Previous Daily Low 0.6096
Previous Weekly High 0.6146
Previous Weekly Low 0.5995
Previous Monthly High 0.6079
Previous Monthly Low 0.5851
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6112
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6123
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6088
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6071
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6045
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6131
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6157
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6174

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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