EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Extends its upside, the next hurdle is seen at 169.40

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY gains momentum near 169.20 in Friday’s early European session. 
  • The cross keeps the bullish vibe unchanged above the key EMA, with the RSI indicator standing above the 50-midline.
  • The first upside barrier is seen at 169.40; 167.80 acts as an initial support level. 

The EUR/JPY cross extends the rally around 169.20 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has weakened as Japan's economy contracted more than expected in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024, challenging the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) push to get interest rates further away from near zero. On Friday, the BoJ left the amount of bonds it buys at regular operations unchanged, adding to a modest dip in the JPY after helping the currency earlier in the week with a surprise reduction in purchases, per Bloomberg. 

Technically, EUR/JPY maintains the bullish outlook unchanged as the cross holds above the 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. The upward momentum is backed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands in bullish territory near 62.60, supporting the buyers for the time being.  

The immediate resistance level for the cross will emerge near a high of May 15 at 169.40. The additional upside filter to watch is the 170.00 psychological round figure. A decisive break above the latter will see a rally to the next barrier around a high of April 29 at 171.60. 

On the flip side, the first downside target is seen at the 100-period EMA at 167.80. Further south, the next contention level is located near a low of May 16 at 167.33, followed by a low of April 29 at 165.66. 

EUR/JPY four-hour chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 169.27
Today Daily Change 0.41
Today Daily Change % 0.24
Today daily open 168.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 166.95
Daily SMA50 164.87
Daily SMA100 162.68
Daily SMA200 160.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 168.91
Previous Daily Low 167.33
Previous Weekly High 167.97
Previous Weekly Low 164.48
Previous Monthly High 171.6
Previous Monthly Low 162.28
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 168.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 167.93
Daily Pivot Point S1 167.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 166.79
Daily Pivot Point S3 166.24
Daily Pivot Point R1 169.4
Daily Pivot Point R2 169.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 170.98

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold falls to two‑month low below $4,050 as oil spikesGold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 23, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 23, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
placeholder
Brent tops $113 on Saudi supply risk — but the diesel line in the EIA report is the tellBrent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote