GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound extends its reversal below 202.00
Source Fxstreet
- The Pound extends losses on Monday and hits fresh one-week lows at the 201.35 area.
- Higher-than-expected UK employment sent the Pound tumbling across the board on Tuesday.
- GBP/JPY reversal from 203.50 keeps bears in control.
Pound’s reversal against the Yen extended to fresh one-week lows at 201.34, hammered by a downbeat UK employment report and the risk-averse sentiment stemming from a new chapter of the Sino-US trade feud.
Data from the UK released earlier on Tuesday revealed an unexpected increase in the jobless rate to 4.8% for the three months up to August, up from 4.7% in July, while net employment increased by 91K, down from 232K in July.
Technical analysis: Failure at 203.50 keeps the bears in control
From a technical perspective, the impulsive reversal from 203.50 keeps the downside trend from the early October highs at 205.33 in play. The 4-hour RSI remains below the 40.00 level, highlighting the bearish momentum.
Price action remains close to the weekly lows at 201.35. Further down, the 200.40 level (September 26 highs and October 6 low) emerges as the next target ahead of Monday’s gap opening level, at 198.85.
On the upside, previous support, at the 202.00 level (October 10 low), has now turned into resistance. Above here, the daily high at the 203.50 area is closing the path towards the October 8 high, at 206.35.
Pound Sterling Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.16% | 0.53% | -0.12% | 0.24% | 0.96% | 0.67% | 0.05% | |
| EUR | -0.16% | 0.38% | -0.26% | 0.07% | 0.85% | 0.51% | -0.10% | |
| GBP | -0.53% | -0.38% | -0.65% | -0.29% | 0.46% | 0.18% | -0.48% | |
| JPY | 0.12% | 0.26% | 0.65% | 0.37% | 1.07% | 0.76% | 0.13% | |
| CAD | -0.24% | -0.07% | 0.29% | -0.37% | 0.77% | 0.43% | -0.19% | |
| AUD | -0.96% | -0.85% | -0.46% | -1.07% | -0.77% | -0.33% | -0.94% | |
| NZD | -0.67% | -0.51% | -0.18% | -0.76% | -0.43% | 0.33% | -0.62% | |
| CHF | -0.05% | 0.10% | 0.48% | -0.13% | 0.19% | 0.94% | 0.62% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
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