WTI Oil pulls back as Hormuz supply worries ease, Iran-US tensions keep volatility high

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  • WTI Oil corrects after Monday’s sharp rally as immediate supply fears ease.

  • US military intervention in the Strait of Hormuz provides partial reassurance to markets.

  • Tensions between Iran, the US and the UAE remain high, sustaining volatility.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $101.10 on Tuesday, down 1.26% at the time of writing, after posting strong gains the previous day amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Oil market is now giving back part of those gains as concerns over immediate supply disruptions begin to fade.

The pullback comes as the US Navy steps up efforts to restore maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic chokepoint for global Oil shipments. Confirmation from Maersk that a vessel successfully transited the strait under US military escort helps ease worst-case scenarios, although analysts note that this remains an isolated event rather than a full normalization of shipping flows.

That said, the geopolitical backdrop remains highly fragile. Iran recently launched drone and missile attacks against the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while the United States (US) reported destroying Iranian boats in the strait. US President Donald Trump also escalated rhetoric, warning Tehran of severe consequences if it targets vessels protected by Washington.

On the Iranian side, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stressed that there is no military solution to the current crisis, calling for diplomatic engagement, notably with mediation efforts involving Pakistan. Meanwhile, Iranian officials remark on the emergence of a “new equation” in the Strait of Hormuz, accusing the US and its allies of undermining energy transit.

In this environment, the Oil market is caught between two opposing forces. On one hand, easing fears of immediate supply disruption, and on the other, persistently high geopolitical risks that could trigger fresh price shocks. This tension explains the current volatility in WTI, which remains highly sensitive to developments on the ground.

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