Silver Price Forecast: Fresh yearly low puts $50 in bears’ sights

Source Fxstreet

XAG/USD hits fresh yearly low at $53.03, confirming bearish continuation.

RSI approaches oversold territory as sellers maintain downward pressure.

Break below $53.00 exposes $50.00, followed by $48.64 and $45.56.

Silver price downtrend extended on Friday, losing over 1% after reaching a new yearly low of $53.03, paving the way for sellers to challenge the $50.00 level in the foreseeable future. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades near $54.00.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

The downtrend is poised to extend after Silver hit a new yearly low, opening the door to further downside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish and about to become oversold, indicating that sellers are gaining strength as XAG/USD edges lower.

The first support is $53.50. A breach of the latter will expose the YTD low of $53.05, followed by $50.00. The next area of interest is the November 21, 2025, swing low at $48.64, before the precious metal challenges the October 28, 2025, swing low at $45.56.

For a bullish reversal, Silver must rise above $55.00. Once it clears that level, the next stop is the October 22 high of $58.02, followed by the $60.00 milestone.

XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily

Silver daily chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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