The $97.2 Billion Portfolio Behind AGNC Investment's 13%+ Yield

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • AGNC Investment primarily invests in low-risk Agency MBS.

  • The mortgage REIT uses leverage to boost its returns.

  • Its strategy has successfully supported 75 consecutive monthly dividend payments at its current rate.

  • 10 stocks we like better than AGNC Investment Corp. ›

AGNC Investment (NASDAQ: AGNC) stands out for its mammoth monthly dividend. The real estate investment trust (REIT) currently yields 13.4%, more than 10 times higher than the S&P 500 (1.1% yield).

The mortgage REIT supports its ultra-high-yielding payout with a large portfolio of mortgage investments. Here's a look at the portfolio behind AGNC Investment's dividend.

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AGNC Investment's logo.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

The portfolio supporting the dividend

AGNC Investment recently reported its second-quarter financial results, which included an update on its investment portfolio. The REIT's portfolio stood at $97.1 billion at the end of the second quarter, up $2.5 billion from the prior quarter. That's the second-largest portfolio among residential mortgage REITs behind Annaly Capital, which had a $109.4 billion investment portfolio at the end of the second quarter.

The bulk of AGNC Investment's portfolio ($92 billion or 95%) consists of fixed-rated Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS: pools of mortgages guaranteed against credit losses by government agencies such as Fannie Mae). These primarily 30-year mortgages have a weighted-average coupon of 5.04%, up from 4.95% at the end of the first quarter. They provide the REIT with stable fixed income.

Most of the REIT's remaining investments are Agency MBS backed by multifamily properties ($3.5 billion or 4%). AGNC also has some Agency MBS backed by adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs: $815 million, or about 1%), as well as some other credit and non-Agency securities.

Focused on one low-risk asset class

Almost all of AGNC Investment's portfolio is Agency MBS, which are extremely low-risk fixed-income investments. That low-risk profile allows AGNC Investment to leverage its capital to earn a higher return. It currently leverages its capital at 7.0 to 7.5 times (7.4x at the end of the second quarter). That leverage boosts its returns.

In the current market environment, the REIT can earn a return on equity of 15% to 17% on new MBS investments if it leverages its capital at 7-7.5x. That's an attractive return compared to its current dividend level. AGNC Investment can sell stock at around a 13.5% yield and leverage that capital into new MBS investments, earning returns of 15% to 17%. That aligns with the economics of its dividend. As long as that alignment remains, AGNC can continue paying its current dividend.

AGNC's strategy is paying dividends

AGNC Investment focuses exclusively on investing in Agency MBS, which are very low-risk fixed-income investments. That allows it to prudently use leverage to boost returns and provides it with the income to support its high dividend yield. While that use of leverage increases its risk, the REIT has navigated the market's challenges over the past few years, enabling it to maintain its dividend for 75 consecutive months. The REIT's investment strategy should continue to pay off for investors as long as there isn't a meaningful deterioration in the returns it can earn on levered Agency MBS investments.

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Matt DiLallo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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