Where Will Rocket Lab Be in 10 Years?
Key Points
Rocket Lab has been posting real wins in the space industry, but strong growth is also already priced into the stock.
The company has been making some smart moves to expand its operations beyond its core launch-service strengths.
The stock is high risk, but the company has huge long-term growth potential.
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Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) stock has posted big valuation gains over the last year, rising roughly 178% as of this writing. The gains have been propelled by strong sales growth, new and expanded partnerships, and general interest surrounding space stocks.
But the stock has seen a substantial pullback from its lifetime valuation high reached this May and currently trades down roughly 34.5% from its peak. Despite the valuation contraction, the company still has a market capitalization of roughly $56.7 billion and is valued at approximately 62 times this year's expected sales.
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With Rocket Lab's big expansion opportunities and high-risk valuation profile in mind, where will the company be 10 years from now?
Image source: Getty Images.
Does Rocket Lab have what it takes to keep winning big?
When it comes to charting the outlooks for companies operating at the frontiers of transformative new technologies and services, there's inevitably a lot of speculation. Rocket Lab has a strong position in the rocket-launching services space, trailing only Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX), but there's a lot of guesswork when it comes to forecasting how the category will unfold over the long term.
On the other hand, Rocket Lab's strengths in launch technologies and services look promising -- and the company has been making some smart moves to capitalize on them. The space tech specialist recently announced it is purchasing telecom company Iridium Communications in an $8 billion deal that should significantly expand the business and dramatically improve its financial picture.
The move will move Rocket Lab into more direct competition with SpaceX's Starlink business, but that actually looks like a smart move. With Rocket Lab already offering strong rocket launch services, it makes sense to move more directly into satellite and communications businesses to capitalize on substantial cost synergies.
So while Rocket Lab stock remains very risky, I think it offers potentially massive upside for investors willing to hold it over a decade.
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Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Rocket Lab. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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