Written by Suzie
Written by Suzie
Bitcoin lost its 200-day average — but the exit started three sessions before the CPIBitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
Bitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
Bitcoin ETFs sold $1.28 billion in a week — and BTC is still above 75,000US spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $1.28 billion of net outflows in the week to Nov 6, the largest since late June, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for $1.21 billion. Yet BTC only fell from $80,405 to $74,940, a 6.8% move. The gap between the fund flow and the price is the story: leveraged longs were flushed, but spot holders did not follow the ETFs out — and $75,000 is the line that decides whether that reading holds.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $1.28 billion of net outflows in the week to Nov 6, the largest since late June, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for $1.21 billion. Yet BTC only fell from $80,405 to $74,940, a 6.8% move. The gap between the fund flow and the price is the story: leveraged longs were flushed, but spot holders did not follow the ETFs out — and $75,000 is the line that decides whether that reading holds.
Binance replaced 95% of a $6.3bn hole — Bitcoin is trading the plumbing, not the coinBinance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
Binance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
Bitcoin is back above $80,000 — but 75% of the bounce was shorts, not buyersBitcoin trades at $80,669, back above the $80,000 line after touching $79,145 on October 24. But 75.4% of the last 24 hours of futures liquidations were shorts, CME open interest fell 36,545 BTC in October, and spot ETFs lost $773.5 million on October 22-23. Price is up; positioning is down. Here is why the bounce is a squeeze, and the four things that would make it real.
Bitcoin trades at $80,669, back above the $80,000 line after touching $79,145 on October 24. But 75.4% of the last 24 hours of futures liquidations were shorts, CME open interest fell 36,545 BTC in October, and spot ETFs lost $773.5 million on October 22-23. Price is up; positioning is down. Here is why the bounce is a squeeze, and the four things that would make it real.
Bitcoin's double top at $88,000: why $78,000 is the line that decides the next moveBitcoin trades near $82,500 (+0.47%) after twice failing at the $88,000 area, forming a potential double top with a neckline at $78,000. A break below the neckline would project a measured target near $68,200; a close back above $88,000 would invalidate the pattern. Here are the structure, the levels and what would confirm either side.
Bitcoin trades near $82,500 (+0.47%) after twice failing at the $88,000 area, forming a potential double top with a neckline at $78,000. A break below the neckline would project a measured target near $68,200; a close back above $88,000 would invalidate the pattern. Here are the structure, the levels and what would confirm either side.