My Biggest Investing Mistake of 2024 Wasn't What You'd Expect, but It's a Mistake I Won't Be Repeating Next Year

Source The Motley Fool

The S&P 500 goes up about 10% annually on average. But 2024 has been an above-average year. As of this writing, the index has jumped almost 28% year to date. In short, investors didn't need to do anything special to make some serious money. Simply buying an S&P 500 index fund to perform in line with the market benchmark would have been a great move.

It's a move I personally didn't make. I prefer to select individual stocks rather than go with simple index funds. But opting for this approach, I open myself up to the potential for more mistakes. So while I made some good investing decisions in 2024, I also made some pretty costly ones and have underperformed the S&P 500 this year as a result.

In August, I bought shares of Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ: CELH). I like the company's growth, improving profit margins, and impressive balance sheet that boasts over $900 million in cash and zero debt. I believe the business can grow for many years to come. And when I invested, shares had already dropped more than 50% to what I thought was a reasonable valuation. To me, it looked like a great time to buy.

But Celsius stock is down another 30% since I bought it -- in other words, my timing wasn't great. Granted, it's been only a few months, and I plan to hold this stock for years. Therefore, it can easily bounce back with time. However, I still don't like being down 30% on any position, regardless of how long I've held it.

As discouraging as my investment in Celsius stock has been so far, it isn't even close to being my biggest mistake of 2024. As it turns out, it's not what I bought that was the problem. On the contrary, the problem is what I sold.

Repeat after me: Don't sell your winners!

Investors must appreciate the power of compounding returns. Consider that an investment has to go up 100% for someone to double their money. But another 100% gain from there quadruples the original investment, and so on. The longer one allows compounding to do its work, the greater the potential impact.

This is why investing legend Charlie Munger once said, "The first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily."

I'm sorry to admit it, but I unnecessarily interrupted compounding in 2024.

In Dec. 2019, I purchased shares of United Rentals (NYSE: URI). Then, in May 2020, I bought shares of Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON). These were large positions in my portfolio when I bought them. Over the years, they grew into my second- and third-largest holdings with Axon being the more valuable of the two.

In 2022, I watched huge gains in my portfolio get completely erased as valuations dropped during the bear market. Fast-forward to Feb. 2024, and the market had recovered, but I was again fretting over the valuations of both Axon and United Rentals. Consequently, I sold out of both positions believing they were overvalued at the time and fearing a repeat of 2022.

Investors can learn the wrong lesson from their mistakes, and it seems that's exactly what I did with the 2022 market pullback. I sold both Axon and United Rentals out of fear of another downturn, but since I did so, they've climbed about 110% and 30%, respectively, as of this writing. If I had held onto those stocks, I would be outperforming the S&P 500 this year.

One of the main points of The Motley Fool's investment philosophy is to "Let your portfolio's winners keep winning." This idea wasn't plucked out of thin air. On the contrary, holding winners and selling losers is a well-recognized, effective approach. As investing great Peter Lynch wrote, "You won't improve results by pulling out the flowers and watering the weeds."

My plan for 2025

I've been investing for a long time and know this lesson in my head. But my head doesn't always make the decisions -- sometimes, my heart does. But this coming year, I'll endeavor to better control my emotions and hold on to my winners.

This includes my current largest position, MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI). Fortunately, I believe this task will be a little easier. Unlike Axon and United Rentals, which posed valuation concerns, MercadoLibre trades at a reasonable 5.5 times sales. For a business that's profitably grown like MercadoLibre with so much opportunity ahead of it, that's a bargain, in my opinion.

MELI Revenue (TTM) Chart

Data by YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Then again, even if it's not valuation, I'm sure something else will come along in the next 12 months that will spook me. But MercadoLibre is serving a market in Latin America that's poised for great e-commerce growth and fintech adoption going forward. That's a stock I want to hold on to for the long term, and I'll avoid interrupting the compounding process this next time around the sun.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $369,349!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $45,990!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $504,097!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of December 2, 2024

Jon Quast has positions in Celsius and MercadoLibre. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Axon Enterprise, Celsius, and MercadoLibre. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin CME gaps at $35,000, $27,000 and $21,000, which one gets filled first?Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 22, 2023
Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
placeholder
Pinduoduo Earnings Incoming: Morgan Stanley Sees Long-Term Profit Potential​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 20, 2024
​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
placeholder
Elon Musk’s xAI and Neuralink Launch New Funding Rounds​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
Author  Insights
Jun 03, 2025
​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
placeholder
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 17, 2025
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Does Gold Falling Below $4,000 Mean the Bull Market Is Over? Will It Still Rise in the Second Half of 2026?Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
Author  TradingKey
Jun 29, Mon
Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
goTop
quote